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Who is confronted to insecure labor market histories? Some evidence based on the French labor market transition

M. Beffy, É. Coudin and Roland Rathelot
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M. Beffy: Direction de l’Évaluation, de la Prospective et de la Performance, Crest
É. Coudin: Insee

Documents de Travail de l'Insee - INSEE Working Papers from Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques

Abstract: This paper presents some empirical evidence on the French labor market focusing on transitions between stable jobs, temporary work, unemployment and non-participation. The model used is based on a Markov chain mixture which allows to distinguish labor market histories that are confined to contingent work and non-employment from the non-confined ones. This enables us to identify, quantify and characterize (conditional on observable characteristics) the workers who never accede to stable jobs and remain stuck to temporary jobs and non-employment spells. We consider quarterly labor market transitions, observed from 2003 to 2006 in the Labor Force survey (LFS). We find that on the whole, about 5% of the working age population experience confined transition dynamics: they cannot access to stable jobs. Confined workers are less educated and are more likely to live in distressed areas.

Keywords: labor market mobility; labor market transitions; mover-stayer models; Markov chains (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C33 J21 J60 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2008
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https://www.bnsp.insee.fr/ark:/12148/bc6p06zr06m/f1.pdf Document de travail de la DESE numéro G2008/10 (application/pdf)

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