Agricultural Transformation and Farmers' Expectations: Experimental Evidence from Uganda
Jacopo Bonan (),
Harounan Kazianga () and
Mariapia Mendola ()
No 458, Development Working Papers from Centro Studi Luca d'Agliano, University of Milano
Adoption rate of profitable agricultural technologies in Africa remains low and variations in adoption choices across farmers are yet to be fully understood. This paper studies Ugandan subsistence smallholders’ decisions to adopt proﬁtable cash crops (oilseeds) that can allow them to transition to commercial farming. More speciﬁcally, we exploit the randomized roll-out of a national extension service program in order to investigate the role of farmers’ expectations in crop take–up decisions as well as the extent to which ex-ante beliefs about crop proﬁtability explain adoption. We ﬁnd that, randomly assigned extension services lead to an increase of oilseeds adoption by 15%, and farmers who under-estimate the oilseeds price at baseline are the most likely to adopt new crops. By testing how farmers update their beliefs after being randomly provided with extension services, our results point towards changes in expectations as an important driver of agricultural technology take-up.
Keywords: Technology Adoption; Commercial Farming; Randomized Controlled Trial; Uganda (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O13 O33 Q14 Q15 Q16 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-agr, nep-dev and nep-exp
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1) Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
Working Paper: Agricultural Transformation and Farmers' Expectations: Experimental Evidence from Uganda (2020)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:csl:devewp:458
Access Statistics for this paper
More papers in Development Working Papers from Centro Studi Luca d'Agliano, University of Milano Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Chiara Elli ().