Agricultural Transformation and Farmers' Expectations: Experimental Evidence from Uganda
Jacopo Bonan (),
Harounan Kazianga () and
Mariapia Mendola ()
No 456, GLO Discussion Paper Series from Global Labor Organization (GLO)
Why adoption rate of potentially profitable agricultural technologies in Africa remains low is still puzzling. This paper uses a randomized control trial to study Ugandan subsistence smallholders' decisions to adopt cash crops. A unique way of eliciting farmers price and yield expectations allows us to investigate the role of farmers' ex-ante beliefs about crop profitability on adoption decisions. We find that the provision of extension services increases oilseeds adoption by 15%, and farmers who under-estimate oilseeds price at baseline are the most likely to adopt the new crops. The results suggest that changes in expectations drive agricultural technology take-up.
Keywords: Technology Adoption; Commercial Farming; Randomized Controlled Trial; Uganda (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O13 O33 Q14 Q15 Q16 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-agr, nep-dev and nep-exp
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Working Paper: Agricultural Transformation and Farmers' Expectations: Experimental Evidence from Uganda (2019)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:zbw:glodps:456
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