Are Short-Lived Jobs Stepping Stones to Long-Lasting Jobs ?

Bart Cockx and Matteo Picchio

No 2009004, LIDAM Discussion Papers IRES from Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES)

Abstract: This paper assesses whether short-lived jobs (lasting one quarter or less and involuntarily ending in unemployment) are stepping stones to long-lastinc jobs (enduring one year or more) for Belgian long-term unemployed school-leavers. We proceed in two steps. First, we estimate labour market trajectories in a multi-spell duration model that incorporates lagged duration and occurrence dependence. Second, we simulate them to find that (fe)male school-leavers accepting a short-lived job are, within two years, 13.4 (9.5) percentage points more likely to find a long-lastng job than in the counterfactual in which they reject short-lived jobs to search longer for more stable positions

Keywords: Event history model; transition data; state dependence; short-lived jobs; stepping stone effect; long-lasting jobs (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C15 C41 J62 J64 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 38
Date: 2009-02-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-lab
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (21)

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Related works:
Journal Article: Are Short-lived Jobs Stepping Stones to Long-Lasting Jobs? (2012)
Working Paper: Are Short-Lived Jobs Stepping Stones to Long-Lasting Jobs? (2010)
Working Paper: Are Short-Lived Jobs Stepping Stones to Long-Lasting Jobs? (2009)
Working Paper: Are Short-Lived Jobs Stepping Stones to Long-Lasting Jobs? (2009)
Working Paper: Are Short-Lived Jobs Stepping Stones to Long-Lasting Jobs? (2009)
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