Are Short-Lived Jobs Stepping Stones to Long-Lasting Jobs?

Bart Cockx and Matteo Picchio

No 4007, IZA Discussion Papers from Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)

Abstract: This paper assesses whether short-lived jobs (lasting one quarter or less and involuntarily ending in unemployment) are stepping stones to long-lasting jobs (enduring one year or more) for Belgian long-term unemployed school-leavers. We proceed in two steps. First, we estimate labour market trajectories in a multi-spell duration model that incorporates lagged duration and lagged occurrence dependence. Second, in a simulation we find that (fe)male school-leavers accepting a short-lived job are, within two years, 13.4 (9.5) percentage points more likely to find a long-lasting job than in the counterfactual in which they reject short-lived jobs.

Keywords: stepping stone effect; long-lasting jobs; state dependence; event history model; transition data; short-lived jobs (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C15 C41 J62 J64 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 38 pages
Date: 2009-02
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-lab
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (35)

Published - published in: Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics , 2012, 74 (5), 646 - 675

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https://docs.iza.org/dp4007.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Are Short-lived Jobs Stepping Stones to Long-Lasting Jobs? (2012)
Working Paper: Are Short-Lived Jobs Stepping Stones to Long-Lasting Jobs? (2010)
Working Paper: Are Short-Lived Jobs Stepping Stones to Long-Lasting Jobs? (2010)
Working Paper: Are Short-Lived Jobs Stepping Stones to Long-Lasting Jobs? (2009)
Working Paper: Are Short-Lived Jobs Stepping Stones to Long-Lasting Jobs ? (2009)
Working Paper: Are Short-Lived Jobs Stepping Stones to Long-Lasting Jobs? (2009)
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