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Innovation Adoption by Forward-Looking Social Learners

Mira Frick and Yuhta Ishii ()
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Mira Frick: Dept. of Economics, Harvard University

No 1877, Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers from Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University

Abstract: Motivated by the rise of social media, we build a model studying the effect of an economy�s potential for social learning on the adoption of innovations of uncertain quality. Provided consumers are forward-looking (i.e., recognize the value of waiting for information), equilibrium dynamics depend non-trivially on qualitative and quantitative features of the informational environment. We identify informational environments that are subject to a saturation effect, whereby increased opportunities for social learning can slow down adoption and learning and do not increase consumer welfare. We also suggest a novel, purely informational explanation for different commonly observed adoption curves (S-shaped vs. concave).

Keywords: Innovation adoption; Social learning; Poisson bandits; Informational free-Riding (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D81 D83 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 71 pages
Date: 2015-02
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ino and nep-mic
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (13)

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