Working Papers

From Economics Department, William & Mary
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171: Low Fertility and the Fiscal Limit: Inflation Possibilities in East Asia

Hyunduk Suh and Nathaniel Throckmorton

170: Updated Reference Forecasts for Global CO2 Emissions from Fossil-Fuel Consumption

José Belbute and Alfredo Pereira

169: Business as usual: Politicians with business experience, government budgets, and policy outcomes

Brian Beach and Daniel Jones

168: Constraints to Private Investment in a High-Growth Environment: Firm-level Evidence from Ethiopia

Admasu Shiferaw

167: Job Creation and Trade in Manufactures: Industry Level Analysis Across Countries

Admasu Shiferaw and Degol Hailu

166: Estimating the Effect of Transit on Residential Property Values: The Case of the Portland MAX System

Keith Klovers and Alfredo Pereira

165: Do Global CO2 Emissions from Fossil-Fuel Consumption Exhibit Long Memory? A Fractional Integration Analysis

José Belbute and Alfredo Pereira

164: An Alternative Reference Scenario for Global CO2Emissions from Fuel Consumption: An ARFIMA Approach

José Belbute and Alfredo Pereira

163: Does Final Energy Demand in Portugal Exhibit Long Memory? A Fractional Integration Analysis

José Belbute and Alfredo Pereira

162: Clean energy firms’ stock prices, technology, oil prices, and carbon price

Mara Madaleno and Alfredo Pereira

161: A New Carbon Tax in Portugal: A Missed Opportunity to Achieve the Triple Dividend?

Alfredo Pereira, Rui Pereira and Pedro Rodriguesa

160: Large capacity magazines and homicide

Carlisle Moody

159: Relaxing Rational Expectations

Lance Kent

158: Firearms and the Decline of Violence in Europe: 1200-2010

Carlisle Moody

157: Identifying Priorities in Infrastructure Investment in Portugal

Alfredo Pereira and Rui Pereira

156: Is All Infrastructure Investment Created Equal? The Case of Portugal

Alfredo Pereira and Rui Pereira

155: Achieving the Triple Dividend in Portugal: A Dynamic General-Equilibrium Evaluation of a Carbon Tax Indexed to Emissions Trading

Alfredo Pereira and Rui Pereira

154: Reducing Carbon Emissions in Portugal: The Relative Roles of Fossil-Fuel Prices, Energy Efficiency, and Carbon Taxation

Alfredo Pereira and Rui Pereira

153: Railroad Infrastructure Investments and Economic Development in the Antebellum United States

Rui Pereira, William Hausman and Alfredo Pereira

152: Sir W. Arthur Lewis

Berhanu Abegaz

151: ON THE LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC EFFECTS OF SOCIAL SPENDING IN THE UNITED STATES

Alfredo Pereira and Jorge Andraz

150: ON THE LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC EFFECTS OF SOCIAL SECURITY SPENDING:EVIDENCE FOR 12 EU COUNTRIES

Alfredo Pereira and Jorge Andraz

149: Bilateral Linkages and the International Transmission of Business Cycles

Lance Kent

148: Integrated technological-economic modeling platform for energy and climate policy analysis

Patrícia Fortes, Alfredo Pereira, Rui Pereira and Júlia Seixas

147: A Quality-Preserving Increase in Four-Year College Attendance: Evidence from NLS-72 and ELS:2002

Robert Archibald, David Feldman and Peter McHenry

146: Rare Institutional Disruptions and Uphill Capital Flows

Lance Kent

145: Business Cycles with Revolutions

Lance Kent and Toan Phan

144: Will Additional Federal Enforcement Improve the Performance of Pipelines in the U.S.?

Sarah Stafford

143: How Predictable are Environmental Compliance Inspections?

Sarah Stafford

141: Low-intensity Conflict and Firm Level Investment in Ethiopia

Dominik Noe and Admasu Shiferaw

140: Okun's Law, Asymmetries and Regional Spillovers: Evidence from Virginia Metropolitan Statistical Areas and the District of Columbia

Rui Pereira

139: Okun's Law across the Business Cycle and during the Great Recession: A Markov Switching Analysis

Rui Pereira

138: The Elusive Concept of Immigrant Quality: Evidence from 1970-1990

Harriet Duleep and Mark Regets

137: The Labor/Land Ratio and India’s Caste System

Harriet Duleep

136: The Civil Rights Act and the Earnings of Lower Income Hispanic Men

Harriet Duleep and Mark Regets

135: The Economic Status of Asian Americans Before and After the Civil Rights Act

Harriet Duleep and Seth Sanders

134: How Immigration May Affect U.S. Native Entrepreneurship: Theoretical Building Blocks and Preliminary Results

Harriet Duleep, David Jaeger and Mark Regets

132: One Way the Demand for Labor May Adapt to the Availability of Labor

Harriet Duleep

131: Country of Origin and Immigrant Earnings: Evidence from 1960-1990

Harriet Duleep

130: U.S. Immigration Policy at a Crossroads

Harriet Duleep

129: Road Infrastructure and Enterprise Dynamics in Ethiopia

Admasu Shiferaw, Mans Soderbom, Eyerusalem Siba and Getnet Alemu

128: Toxic Assets: How the Housing Market Responds to Environmental Information Shocks

Nicholas Sanders

127: DGEP - A Dynamic General Equilibrium Model of the Portuguese Economy: Model Documentation

Alfredo Pereira and Rui Pereira

126: Under the Cover of Darkness: Using Daylight Saving Time to Measure How Ambient Light Influences Criminal Behavior

Jennifer Doleac and Nicholas Sanders

125: GAMS Implementation and Excel Interface for Soft Link of a CGE Model for Portugal to TIMES_PT Models

Alfredo Pereira and Rui Pereira

124: Firm Decision-making Structure and Compliance with Environmental Regulations: Evidence from Environmental Auditing

Mary Evans, Lirong Liu and Sarah Stafford

123: What Affects the Environmental Performance of Pipelines in the US? An Empirical Analysis

Sarah Stafford

122: Gender and Intergenerational Mobility: Using Health Outcomes to Compare Intergenerational Mobility Across Gender and Over Time

John Parman

121: Childhood Health and Sibling Outcomes: The Shared Burden of the 1918 Influenza Pandemic

John Parman

120: Are Wage Premiums for Black Women Illusory? A Critical Examination

Peter McHenry and Melissa McInerney