Stated preferences outperform elicited preferences for predicting reported compliance with Covid-19 prophylactic measures

Phu Nguyen-Van, Thierry Blayac, Dimitri Dubois, Sebastien Duchene, Bruno Ventelou and Marc Willinger

No 2023-27, EconomiX Working Papers from University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX

Abstract: This paper studies the behavioral and socio-demographic determinants of reported compliance with prophylactic measures against COVID-19: barrier gestures, lockdown restrictions and mask wearing. The study contrasts two types of measures for behavioral determinants: experimentally elicited preferences (risk tolerance, time preferences, social value orientation and cooperativeness) and stated preferences (risk tolerance, time preferences, and the GSS trust question). Data were collected from a representative sample of the metropolitan French adult population (N=1154) surveyed during the first lockdown in May 2020, and the experimental tasks were carried out on-line. The in-sample and out-of-sample predictive power of several regression models - which vary in the set of variables that they include - are studied and compared. Overall, we find that stated preferences are better predictors of compliance with these prophylactic measures than preferences elicited through incentivized experiments: self-reported level of risk, patience and trust are predicting compliance, while elicited measures of risk-aversion, patience, cooperation and prosociality did not.

Keywords: COVID-19; individual preferences; social preferences; elicited preferences; stated preferences (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C90 D90 I18 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 40 pages
Date: 2023
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cbe, nep-dcm, nep-exp, nep-ger and nep-hea
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Related works:
Journal Article: Stated preferences outperform elicited preferences for predicting reported compliance with COVID-19 prophylactic measures (2023)
Working Paper: Stated preferences outperform elicited preferences for predicting reported compliance with Covid-19 prophylactic measures (2023)
Working Paper: Stated preferences outperform elicited preferences for predicting reported compliance with Covid-19 prophylactic measures (2023)
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