A macro stress testing framework for assessing systemic risks in the banking sector

Jerome Henry, Maik Zimmermann, Miha Leber, Markus Kolb, Maciej Grodzicki, Adrien Amzallag, Angelos Vouldis, Grzegorz Halaj, Cosimo Pancaro, Marco Gross, Patrizia Baudino, Matthias Sydow, Christoffer Kok, Inês Cabral and Dawid Żochowski

No 152, Occasional Paper Series from European Central Bank

Abstract: The use of macro stress tests to assess bank solvency has developed rapidly over the past few years. This development was reinforced by the financial crisis, which resulted in substantial losses for banks and created general uncertainty about the banking sector's loss-bearing capacity. Macro stress testing has proved a useful instrument to help identify potential vulnerabilities within the banking sector and to gauge its resilience to adverse developments. To support its contribution to safeguarding financial stability and its financial sector-related work in the context of EU/IMF Financial Assistance Programmes, and looking ahead to the establishment of the Single Supervisory Mechanism (SSM), the ECB has developed a top-down macro stress testing framework that is used regularly for forward-looking bank solvency assessments. This paper comprehensively presents the main features of this framework and illustrates how it can be employed for various policy analysis purposes. JEL Classification: C53, D85, E37, E44, E47, E58, G01, G21, G28

Keywords: banking sector; financial crisis; macro-prudential policy; macro stress test; systemic risk (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba and nep-mac
Note: 123711
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (41)

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