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The fiscal and macroeconomic effects of government wages and employment reform

Javier Pérez (), Marta Rodríguez-Vives, Domenico Depalo (), Evangelia Papapetrou, Marie Aouriri, Maria Campos (), Dmitrij Celov, Jurga Pesliakaite () and Roberto Ramos ()

No 176, Occasional Paper Series from European Central Bank

Abstract: This paper examines the overall macroeconomic impact arising from reform in government wages and employment, at times of fiscal consolidation. Reform of these two components of the government wage bill appeared necessary for containing the deterioration of the public finances in several EU countries, as a consequence of the financial crisis. Such reforms entailed in some instances, but not always, the implementation of cost-cutting measures affecting the government wage bill, as part of broader consolidation packages that typically hinged more heavily on other fiscal instruments, like public investment. While such measures have adverse short-term macroeconomic effects, public wage bill restraining policy changes present the idiosyncrasy that they can yield medium- to longer-term benefits due to possible competitiveness and efficiency gains through their impact on labour market dynamics. This paper provides some evidence of such medium- to long-run effects, based on a wealth of micro and macro data in the euro area and the EU. It concludes that appropriately designed government wage bill moderation could indeed produce positive dividends to the economy, which depend on certain country-specific conditions. These gains can be reinforced by relevant fiscal-structural reforms. JEL Classification: H50, E62, J45

Keywords: Fiscal consolidation; fiscal policies; labour market; public employment; public wages (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016-08
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-eec, nep-lma, nep-mac and nep-pbe
Note: 1649295
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
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