Conditional Treatment and Its Effect on Recidivism

Jose Raimundo Carvalho and Herman Bierens ()

No 84, Econometric Society 2004 Latin American Meetings from Econometric Society

Abstract: The objective of this paper is to evaluate the effect of the 1985 “Employment Services for Ex-Offenders†(ESEO) program on recidivism. Initially, the sample has been split randomly in a control group and a treatment group. However, the actual treatment (mainly being job related counseling) only takes place conditional on finding a job, and not having been arrested, for those selected in the treatment group. We use a multiple proportional hazard model with unobserved heterogeneity for job search and recidivism time which incorporates the conditional treatment effect. We find that the program helps to reduce criminal activity, contrary to the result of the previous analysis of this data set. This finding is important for crime prevention policy

Keywords: Econometric Evaluation; Recidivism; Multiple Durations (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C41 J64 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2004-08-11
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ecm:latm04:84

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