Forced migration and food crises

Federico Carril-Caccia, Jordi Paniagua and Marta Suarez-Varela
Additional contact information
Jordi Paniagua: University of Valencia. Kellogg Institute, University of Notre Dame.
Marta Suarez-Varela: Bank of Spain

No 2505, Working Papers from Department of Applied Economics II, Universidad de Valencia

Abstract: This paper analyses the effects of food crises on forced international migration (FIM) flows using a structural gravity model, testing the influence of liquidity constraints in the context of heterogeneous migration costs and economic resources of potential migrants. We construct a dataset that captures the severity, persistence, and causes of food crises. Our results suggest that food crises increase FIM. While mild food crises skew international migrants towards developed and non-neighbouring countries, more severe events divert them to closer destinations. The results indicate that food crises tighten liquidity constraints on migration, and this worsens as they intensify. Under more severe food crises, migrants may be unable to afford the higher costs of migrating internationally, particularly to a developed nation, thus choosing a closer destination or migrating internally.

Keywords: Forced migration; Food crisis; Food insecurity; liquidity constraints; heterogeneous migration costs; Gravity equation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F22 O15 Q18 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025-03
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Working Paper: Forced migration and food crises (2022)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eec:wpaper:2505

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