European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015

From Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission
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451: Inflation forecasting and the crisis: assessing the impact on the performance of different forecasting models and methods

Christian Buelens

450: Securities Transaction Taxes: Macroeconomic Implications in a General-Equilibrium Model

Rafal Raciborski, Julia Lendvai and Lukas Vogel

449: Corporate balance sheet adjustment: stylized facts, causes and consequences

Eric Ruscher and Guntram Wolff

448: Tax avoidance and fiscal limits: Laffer curves in an economy with informal sector

Lukas Vogel

447: The impact of state guarantees on banks' debt issuing costs, lending and funding policy

Patrice Muller, Shaan Devnani and Rasmus Flytkjaer

446: The improbable renaissance of the Phillips curve: The crisis and euro area inflation dynamics

Lourdes Acedo Montoya and Björn Döhring

445: Household savings and mortgage decisions: the role of the "down-payment channel" in the euro area

Narcissa Balta and Eric Ruscher

444: Global currencies for tomorrow: A European perspective

Ignazio Angeloni, Agnès Benassy-Quere, Benjamin Carton, Zsolt Darvas, Christophe Destais, Ludovic Gauvin, Jean Pisani-Ferry, Andre Sapir and Shahin Vallée

443: Structural reforms and external rebalancing in the euro area: a model-based analysis

Lukas Vogel

442: From CAB to CAAB? Correcting Indicators of Structural Fiscal Positions for Current Account Imbalances

Julia Lendvai, Laurent Moulin and Alessandro Turrini

441: Measuring Euro Area Monetary Policy Transmission in a Structural Dynamic Factor Model

Matteo Barigozzi, Antonio Conti and Matteo Luciani

440: Commodity prices, commodity currencies, and global economic developments

Paolo Pesenti and Jan Groen

439: Fiscal policy and the labour market: the effects of public sector employment and wages

Pedro Gomes

438: Extension of the Study on the Diffusion of Innovation in the Internal Market

Jordi Suriñach, Fabio Manca and Rosina Moreno

437: Food and Energy Prices, Government Subsidies and Fiscal Balances in South Mediterranean Countries

Ronald Albers and Marga Peeters

436: The EMU sovereign-debt crisis: Fundamentals, expectations and contagion

Michael Arghyrou and Alexandros Kontonikas

435: The forecasting horizon of inflationary expectations and perceptions in the EU – Is it really 12 months?

Lars Jonung and Staffan Lindén

434: The Price and Risk Effects of Option Introductions on the Nordic Markets

Staffan Lindén

433: Rules and risk in the euro area: does rules-based national fiscal governance contain sovereign bond spreads?

Anna Iara and Guntram Wolff

432: Trade Elasticities: A Final Report for the European Commission

Jean Imbs and Isabelle Mejean

431: The portfolio balance effect and reserve diversification: an empirical analysis

Costas Karfakis

430: China's External Surplus: Simulations with a Global Macroeconomic Model

Lukas Vogel

429: The Stability and Growth Pact: Lessons from the Great Recession

Martin Larch, Paul Van den Noord and Lars Jonung

428: Adjustment in the Euro Area and Regulation of Product and Labour Markets: An Empirical Assessment

Pietro Biroli, Gilles Mourre and Alessandro Turrini

427: 427 - Comparing alternative methodologies for real exchange rate assessment - Matteo Salto and Aless

Matteo Salto and Alessandro Turrini

426: Fiscal stimulus and exit strategies in the EU: a model-based analysis

Werner Roeger and Jan in 't Veld

425: Determinants of Capital Flows to the New EU Member States Before and During the Financial Crisis

Anton Jevcak, Ralph Setzer and Massimo Suardi

424: Quantifying the potential macroeconomic effects of the Europe 2020 strategy: stylised scenarios

Alexandr Hobza and Gilles Mourre

423: Assessing financial integration: a comparison between Europe and East Asia

Rossella Calvi

422: The Potential Impact of EU Cohesion Policy Spending in the 2007-13 Programming Period: A Model-Based

Jan in 't Veld and Janos Varga

421: Management of China's foreign exchange reserves: a case study on the state administration of foreign

Yu-Wei Hu

420: The production function methodology for calculating potential growth rates and output gaps

Francesca D'Auria, Cécile Denis, Karel Havik, Kieran Mc Morrow, Christophe Planas, Rafal Raciborski, Werner Roger and Alessandro Rossi

419: Discretionary measures and tax revenues in the run-up to the financial crisis

Salvador Barrios and Raffaele Fargnoli

418: EU fiscal consolidation after the financial crisis. Lessons from past experiences

Salvador Barrios, Sven Langedijk and Lucio Pench

417: Projecting future health care expenditure at European level: drivers, methodology and main results

Bartosz Przywara

416: Proliferation of risk and policy responses in the EU financial markets

Lucjan Orlowski

415: The changing pattern of international trade and capital flows of the GCC countries

Marga Peeters

414: Fiscal performance and income inequality: Are unequal societies more deficit-prone? Some cross-count

Martin Larch

413: What is the growth potential of green innovation? An assessment of EU climate policy options

Andrea Conte, Ariane Labat, Janos Varga and Ziga Zarnic

412: The Chinese pension system - First results on assessing the reform options

Heikki Oksanen

410: Does capacity utilisation help estimating the TFP cycle?

Christophe Planas, Werner Roeger and Alessandro Rossi

409: Assessing the Competitive Behaviour of Firms in the Single Market: A Micro-based Approach

Carlo Altomonte, Marcella Nicolini, Armando Rungi and Laura Ogliari

408: Support schemes for renewable electricity in the EU

Joan Canton and Åsa Johannesson Lindén

407: Heterogeneity in money holdings across euro area countries: the role of housing

Ralph Setzer, Paul Van den Noord and Guntram Wolff

406: Options for International Financing of Climate Change Mitigation in Developing Countries

Mark Hayden, Paul J.J. Veenendaal and Ziga Zarnic

405: EU labour market behaviour during the Great Recession

Alfonso Arpaia and Nicola Curci

404: Unexpected changes in tax revenues and the stabilisation function of fiscal policy. Evidence for EU

Salvador Barrios and Pietro Rizza

403: Market Integration and Technological Leadership in Europe

Rene Belderbos, Leo Sleuwaegen and Reinhilde Veugelers

402: Business Cycle Synchronization in Europe: Evidence from the Scandinavian Currency Union

U. Michael Bergman and Lars Jonung

401: An indicator-based assessment framework to identify country-specific challenges towards greener grow

Joan Canton, Ariane Labat and Anton Roodhuijzen