Middle East geopolitical risk modestly affects inflation and inflation expectations

Isaiah Spellman and Xiaoqing Zhou

Dallas Fed Economics from Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

Abstract: While hostilities between Iran and Israel ended quickly in June 2025 without a major oil supply disruption, it is worthwhile to explore the impact on inflation and inflation expectations if this geopolitical event had turned out differently.

Keywords: energy; inflation; international economics (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025-08-21
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