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The impact of hurricanes on housing prices: evidence from U.S. coastal cities

Anthony Murphy (anthony.murphy@dal.frb.org) and Eric Strobl (eastrobl13@gmail.com)

No 1009, Working Papers from Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

Abstract: We investigate the effect of hurricane strikes on housing prices in U.S. coastal cities. To this end, we construct a new index of hurricane destruction which varies over time and space. Using this index and an annual, two equation, dynamic equilibrium correction panel model with area and time fixed effects, we model the effects of hurricanes on real house process and real incomes. In our model hurricanes have a direct effect on house prices and an indirect effect via a fall in local incomes. Our results show that the typical hurricane strike raises real house prices for a number of years, with a maximum effect of between 3 % to 4 % three years after occurrence. There is also a small negative effect on real incomes. These results are stable across models and subsamples.

Keywords: Econometric models; Housing - Prices (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ure
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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Working Paper: The Impact of Hurricanes on Housing Prices: Evidence from US Coastal Cities (2009) Downloads
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