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Working Papers

From Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
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1914: Oil Prices, Exchange Rates and Interest Rates Downloads
Lutz Kilian and Xiaoqing Zhou
1913: The Rising Value of Time and the Origin of Urban Gentrification Downloads
Yichen Su
1912: Monopsony in Spatial Equilibrium Downloads
Matthew Kahn and Joseph Tracy
1911: Making Sense of Increased Synchronization in Global House Prices Downloads
John Duca
1910: Refining the Workhorse Oil Market Model Downloads
Xiaoqing Zhou
1909: The Propagation of Regional Shocks in Housing Markets: Evidence from Oil Price Shocks in Canada Downloads
Lutz Kilian and Xiaoqing Zhou
1908: The Uniform Validity of Impulse Response Inference in Autoregressions Downloads
Atsushi Inoue and Lutz Kilian
1907: Facts and Fiction in Oil Market Modeling Downloads
Lutz Kilian
1906: Do Monetary Policy Announcements Shift Household Expectations? Downloads
Daniel Lewis, Christos Makridis and Karel Mertens
1905: Do Immigrants Threaten U.S. Public Safety? Downloads
Pia Orrenius and Madeline Zavodny
1904: Uncertainty and Labor Market Fluctuations Downloads
Soojin Jo and Justin Lee
1903: Two Measures of Core Inflation: A Comparison Downloads
Jim Dolmas and Evan Koenig
1902: The Contribution of Jump Activity and Sign to Forecasting Stock Price Volatility Downloads
Ruijun Bu, Rodrigo Hizmeri, Marwan Izzeldin, Anthony Murphy and Mike Tsionas
1901: Closer to One Great Pool? Evidence from Structural Breaks in Oil Price Differentials Downloads
Michael Plante and Grant Strickler
1815: Argentina’s “Missing Capital” Puzzle and Limited Commitment Constraints Downloads
Marek Kapicka, Finn Kydland and Carlos Zarazaga
1814: Inflation and the Gig Economy: Have the Rise of Online Retailing and Self-Employment Disrupted the Phillips Curve? Downloads
John Duca
1813: Rationally Inattentive Consumer: An Experiment Downloads
Andrea Civelli, Cary Deck, Justin D. LeBlanc and Antonella Tutino
1812: Global Trends in Interest Rates Downloads
Marco Del Negro, Domenico Giannone, Marc Giannoni and Andrea Tambalotti
1811: A Closer Look at the Behavior of Uncertainty and Disagreement: Micro Evidence from the Euro Area Downloads
Robert Rich and Joseph Tracy
1810: Labor Market Effects of Credit Constraints: Evidence from a Natural Experiment Downloads
Anil Kumar and Che-Yuan Liang
1809: Hispanics in the U.S. Labor Market: A Tale of Three Generations Downloads
Pia Orrenius and Madeline Zavodny
1808: Valuation Risk Revalued Downloads
Oliver de Groot, Alexander Richter and Nathaniel Throckmorton
1807: Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Survey Methodology and Performance Downloads
Jesus Cañas and Amy Jordan
1806: The Impact of the Dodd-Frank Act on Small Business Downloads
Michael Bordo and John Duca
1805: The Dynamic Effects of Personal and Corporate Income Tax Changes in the United States: Reply to Jentsch and Lunsford Downloads
Karel Mertens and Morten Ravn
1804: The Zero Lower Bound and Estimation Accuracy Downloads
Tyler Atkinson, Alexander Richter and Nathaniel Throckmorton
1803: The Near Term Growth Impact of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act Downloads
Karel Mertens
1802: OPEC in the News Downloads
Michael Plante
1801: The Death of the Phillips Curve? Downloads
Anthony Murphy
1711: Why Haven’t Regional Wages Converged? Downloads
Jason Saving
1710: Industry Effects of Oil Price Shocks: Re-Examination Downloads
Soojin Jo, Lilia Karnizova and Abeer Reza
1709: Does Medicaid Generosity Affect Household Income? Downloads
Anil Kumar
1708: The U.S. Shale Oil Boom, the Oil Export Ban, and the Economy: A General Equilibrium Analysis Downloads
Nida Cakir Melek, Michael Plante and Mine Yucel
1707: Equity Regulation and U.S. Venture Capital Investment Downloads
Tyler Atkinson and John Duca
1706: Uncertainty Shocks in a Model of Effective Demand: Comment Downloads
Oliver de Groot, Alexander Richter and Nathaniel Throckmorton
1705: A New Way to Quantify the Effect of Uncertainty Downloads
Alexander Richter and Nathaniel Throckmorton
1704: New Findings on the Fiscal Impact of Immigration in the United States Downloads
Pia Orrenius
1703: How Taxes and Required Returns Drove Commercial Real Estate Valuations over the Past Four Decades Downloads
John Duca, Patric Hendershott and David Ling
1702: Macroeconomic Uncertainty Through the Lens of Professional Forecasters Downloads
Soojin Jo and Rodrigo Sekkel
1701: Unauthorized Mexican Workers in the United States: Recent Inflows and Possible Future Scenarios Downloads
Pia Orrenius and Madeline Zavodny
1616: Fiscal stabilization and the credibility of the U.S. budget sequestration spending austerity Downloads
Ruiyang Hu and Carlos Zarazaga
1615: What drives economic policy uncertainty in the long and short runs? European and U.S. evidence over several decades Downloads
John Duca and Jason Saving
1614: What drives commodity price booms and busts? Downloads
David Jacks and Martin Stuermer
1613: The roles of inflation expectations, core inflation, and slack in real-time inflation forecasting Downloads
N Kishor and Evan Koenig
1612: Forward guidance and the state of the economy Downloads
Benjamin Keen, Alexander Richter and Nathaniel Throckmorton
1611: Estimating Taxable Income Responses with Elasticity Heterogeneity Downloads
Anil Kumar and Che-Yuan Liang
1610: Targeted search in matching markets Downloads
Anton Cheremukhin, Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria and Antonella Tutino
1609: Student loan relief programs: implications for borrowers and the federal government Downloads
Wenhua Di and Kelly Edmiston
1608: Residual seasonality in U.S. GDP data Downloads
Keith Phillips and Jack Wang
1607: The rank effect for commodities Downloads
Ricardo Fernholz and Christoffer Koch
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