Working Papers

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2009: Complementarity and Macroeconomic Uncertainty

Tyler Atkinson, Michael Plante, Alexander Richter and Nathaniel Throckmorton

2008: A Quantitative Evaluation of the Housing Provident Fund Program in China

Xiaoqing Zhou

2007: Understanding the Exposure at Default Risk of Commercial Real Estate Construction and Land Development Loans

Shan Luo and Anthony Murphy

2006: The Econometrics of Oil Market VAR Models

Lutz Kilian and Xiaoqing Zhou

2005: How Does Immigration Fit into the Future of the U.S. Labor Market?

Stephanie Gullo, Pia Orrenius and Madeline Zavodny

2004: The Effect of Immigration on Business Dynamics and Employment

Alexander T. Abraham, Pia Orrenius and Madeline Zavodny

2003: Distant Lending, Specialization, and Access to Credit

Wenhua Di and Nathaniel Pattison

2002: Who Signs up for E-Verify? Insights from DHS Enrollment Records

Sarah Greer, Pia Orrenius and Madeline Zavodny

2001: Did the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act Create Jobs and Stimulate Growth?

Anil Kumar

1916: Does Drawing Down the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve Help Stabilize Oil Prices?

Lutz Kilian and Xiaoqing Zhou

1915: Rationally Inattentive Savers and Monetary Policy Changes: A Laboratory Experiment

Andrea Civelli, Cary Deck and Antonella Tutino

1914: Oil Prices, Exchange Rates and Interest Rates

Lutz Kilian and Xiaoqing Zhou

1913: The Rising Value of Time and the Origin of Urban Gentrification

Yichen Su

1912: Monopsony in Spatial Equilibrium

Matthew Kahn and Joseph Tracy

1911: Making Sense of Increased Synchronization in Global House Prices

John Duca

1910: Refining the Workhorse Oil Market Model

Xiaoqing Zhou

1909: The Propagation of Regional Shocks in Housing Markets: Evidence from Oil Price Shocks in Canada

Lutz Kilian and Xiaoqing Zhou

1908: The Uniform Validity of Impulse Response Inference in Autoregressions

Atsushi Inoue and Lutz Kilian

1907: Facts and Fiction in Oil Market Modeling

Lutz Kilian

1906: Do Monetary Policy Announcements Shift Household Expectations?

Daniel Lewis, Christos Makridis and Karel Mertens

1905: Do Immigrants Threaten U.S. Public Safety?

Pia Orrenius and Madeline Zavodny

1904: Uncertainty and Labor Market Fluctuations

Soojin Jo and Justin Lee

1903: Two Measures of Core Inflation: A Comparison

Jim Dolmas and Evan Koenig

1902: The Contribution of Jump Signs and Activity to Forecasting Stock Price Volatility

Ruijun Bu, Rodrigo Hizmeri, Marwan Izzeldin, Anthony Murphy and Mike Tsionas

1901: Closer to One Great Pool? Evidence from Structural Breaks in Oil Price Differentials

Michael Plante and Grant Strickler

1815: Argentina’s “Missing Capital” Puzzle and Limited Commitment Constraints

Marek Kapicka, Finn Kydland and Carlos Zarazaga

1814: Inflation and the Gig Economy: Have the Rise of Online Retailing and Self-Employment Disrupted the Phillips Curve?

John Duca

1813: Rationally Inattentive Consumer: An Experiment

Andrea Civelli, Cary Deck, Justin D. LeBlanc and Antonella Tutino

1812: Global Trends in Interest Rates

Marco Del Negro, Domenico Giannone, Marc Giannoni and Andrea Tambalotti

1811: A Closer Look at the Behavior of Uncertainty and Disagreement: Micro Evidence from the Euro Area

Robert Rich and Joseph Tracy

1810: Labor Market Effects of Credit Constraints: Evidence from a Natural Experiment

Anil Kumar and Che-Yuan Liang

1809: Hispanics in the U.S. Labor Market: A Tale of Three Generations

Pia Orrenius and Madeline Zavodny

1808: Valuation Risk Revalued

Oliver de Groot, Alexander Richter and Nathaniel Throckmorton

1807: Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey: Survey Methodology and Performance

Jesus Cañas and Amy Jordan

1806: The Impact of the Dodd-Frank Act on Small Business

Michael Bordo and John Duca

1805: The Dynamic Effects of Personal and Corporate Income Tax Changes in the United States: Reply to Jentsch and Lunsford

Karel Mertens and Morten Ravn

1804: The Zero Lower Bound and Estimation Accuracy

Tyler Atkinson, Alexander Richter and Nathaniel Throckmorton

1803: The Near Term Growth Impact of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act

Karel Mertens

1802: OPEC in the News

Michael Plante

1801: The Death of the Phillips Curve?

Anthony Murphy

1711: Why Haven’t Regional Wages Converged?

Jason Saving

1710: Industry Effects of Oil Price Shocks: Re-Examination

Soojin Jo, Lilia Karnizova and Abeer Reza

1709: Does Medicaid Generosity Affect Household Income?

Anil Kumar

1708: The U.S. Shale Oil Boom, the Oil Export Ban, and the Economy: A General Equilibrium Analysis

Nida Cakir Melek, Michael Plante and Mine Yucel

1707: Equity Regulation and U.S. Venture Capital Investment

Tyler Atkinson and John Duca

1706: Uncertainty Shocks in a Model of Effective Demand: Comment

Oliver de Groot, Alexander Richter and Nathaniel Throckmorton

1705: A New Way to Quantify the Effect of Uncertainty

Alexander Richter and Nathaniel Throckmorton

1704: New Findings on the Fiscal Impact of Immigration in the United States

Pia Orrenius

1703: How Taxes and Required Returns Drove Commercial Real Estate Valuations over the Past Four Decades

John Duca, Patric Hendershott and David Ling

1702: Macroeconomic Uncertainty Through the Lens of Professional Forecasters

Soojin Jo and Rodrigo Sekkel