Working Papers

From Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
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1710: Industry Effects of Oil Price Shocks: Re-Examination

Soojin Jo, Lilia Karnizova and Abeer Reza

1709: Does Medicaid Generosity Affect Household Income?

Anil Kumar

1708: The U.S. Shale Oil Boom, the Oil Export Ban, and the Economy: A General Equilibrium Analysis

Nida Cakir Melek, Michael Plante and Mine Yucel

1707: Equity Regulation and U.S. Venture Capital Investment

Tyler Atkinson and John Duca

1706: Uncertainty Shocks in a Model of Effective Demand: Comment

Oliver de Groot, Alexander Richter and Nathaniel Throckmorton

1705: A New Way to Quantify the Effect of Uncertainty

Alexander Richter and Nathaniel Throckmorton

1704: New Findings on the Fiscal Impact of Immigration in the United States

Pia Orrenius

1703: How Taxes and Required Returns Drove Commercial Real Estate Valuations over the Past Four Decades

John Duca, Patric Hendershott and David Ling

1702: Macroeconomic Uncertainty Through the Lens of Professional Forecasters

Soojin Jo and Rodrigo Sekkel

1701: Unauthorized Mexican Workers in the United States: Recent Inflows and Possible Future Scenarios

Pia Orrenius and Madeline Zavodny

1616: Fiscal stabilization and the credibility of the U.S. budget sequestration spending austerity

Ruiyang Hu and Carlos Zarazaga

1615: What drives economic policy uncertainty in the long and short runs? European and U.S. evidence over several decades

John Duca and Jason Saving

1614: What drives commodity price booms and busts?

David Jacks and Martin Stuermer

1613: The roles of inflation expectations, core inflation, and slack in real-time inflation forecasting

N Kishor and Evan Koenig

1612: Forward guidance and the state of the economy

Benjamin Keen, Alexander Richter and Nathaniel Throckmorton

1611: Estimating Taxable Income Responses with Elasticity Heterogeneity

Anil Kumar and Che-Yuan Liang

1610: Targeted search in matching markets

Anton Cheremukhin, Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria and Antonella Tutino

1609: Student loan relief programs: implications for borrowers and the federal government

Wenhua Di and Kelly Edmiston

1608: Residual seasonality in U.S. GDP data

Keith Phillips and Jack Wang

1607: The rank effect for commodities

Ricardo Fernholz and Christoffer Koch

1606: Are nonlinear methods necessary at the zero lower bound?

Alexander Richter and Nathaniel Throckmorton

1605: Economic policy uncertainty and the credit channel: aggregate and bank level U.S. evidence over several decades

Michael Bordo, John Duca and Christoffer Koch

1604: Why are big banks getting bigger?

Ricardo Fernholz and Christoffer Koch

1603: Irregular immigration in the European Union

Pia Orrenius and Madeline Zavodny

1602: Targeted business incentives and the debt behavior of households

Wenhua Di and Daniel Millimet

1601: Why does the FDIC sue?

Christoffer Koch and Ken Okamura

1506: Non-renewable resources, extraction technology, and endogenous growth

Gregor Schwerhoff and Martin Stuermer

1505: Seasonal adjustment of state and metro ces jobs data

Keith Phillips and Jianguo Wang

1504: The other (commercial) real estate boom and bust: the effects of risk premia and regulatory capital arbitrage

John Duca and David Ling

1503: Money and velocity during financial crises: from the Great Depression to the Great Recession

Richard Anderson, Michael Bordo and John Duca

1502: Are income taxes destined to rise? the fiscal imbalance and future tax policy

Jason Saving and Alan Viard

1501: Declining female labor supply elasticities in the U.S. and implications for tax policy: evidence from panel data

Anil Kumar and Che-Yuan Liang

1416: Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey: survey methodology and performance

Jesus Cañas and Emily Kerr

1415: The impact of temporary protected status on immigrants’ labor market outcomes

Pia Orrenius and Madeline Zavodny

1414: 150 years of boom and bust: what drives mineral commodity prices?

Martin Stuermer

1413: Industrialization and the demand for mineral commodities

Martin Stuermer

1412: Macroelasticities and the U.S. sequestration budget cuts

Carlos Zarazaga

1411: Asymmetric firm dynamics under rational inattention

Anton Cheremukhin and Antonella Tutino

1410: Do restrictions on home equity extraction contribute to lower mortgage defaults? evidence from a policy discontinuity at the Texas border

Anil Kumar

1409: A closer look at the Phillips curve using state-level data

Anil Kumar and Pia Orrenius

1408: Income inequality and political polarization: time series evidence over nine decades

John Duca and Jason Saving

1407: Fuel subsidies, the oil market and the world economy

Nathan Balke, Michael Plante and Mine Yucel

1406: Deposit interest rate ceilings as credit supply shifters: bank level evidence on the effects of Regulation Q

Christoffer Koch

1405: The zero lower bound and endogenous uncertainty

Michael Plante, Alexander Richter and Nathaniel Throckmorton

1404: Heterogeneous bank lending responses to monetary policy: new evidence from a real-time identification

John Bluedorn, Christopher Bowdler and Christoffer Koch

1403: How do e-verify mandates affect unauthorized immigrant workers?

Pia Orrenius and Madeline Zavodny

1402: A theory of targeted search

Anton Cheremukhin, Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria and Antonella Tutino

1401: What drives the shadow banking system in the short and long run?

John Duca

1309: Disastrous disappointments: asset-pricing with disaster risk and disappointment aversion

Jim Dolmas

1308: A closer look at potential distortions in state RGDP: the case of the Texas energy sector

Raúl Hernandez, Keith Phillips and Benjamin Scheiner