House Price Responses to Monetary Policy Surprises: Evidence from the U.S. Listings Data

Denis Gorea, Oleksiy Kryvtsov and Marianna Kudlyak

No 2022-16, Working Paper Series from Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

Abstract: Existing literature documents that house prices respond to monetary policy surprises with a significant delay, taking years to reach their peak response. We present new evidence of a much faster response. We exploit information contained in listings for the residential properties for sale in the United States between 2001 and 2019 from the CoreLogic Multiple Listing Service Dataset. Using high-frequency measures of monetary policy shocks, we document that a one standard-deviation contractionary monetary policy surprise lowers housing list prices by 0.2–0.3 percent within two weeks—a magnitude on par with the effect on stock prices. House prices respond stronger to the surprises to future rates as compared to the surprise changes in the federal funds rate. Sale prices are mostly pre-determined by list prices and do not independently respond to monetary policy surprises.

Keywords: house prices; monetary policy; monetary policy transmission; house sales (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E52 R21 R31 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 36
Date: 2022-08-05
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mon and nep-ure
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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Related works:
Working Paper: House price responses to monetary policy surprises: evidence from US listings data (2024)
Working Paper: House Price Responses to Monetary Policy Surprises: Evidence from the U.S. Listings Data (2023)
Working Paper: House Price Responses to Monetary Policy Surprises: Evidence from the U.S. Listings Data (2022)
Working Paper: House Price Responses to Monetary Policy Surprises: Evidence from the U.S. Listings Data (2022)
Working Paper: House Price Responses to Monetary Policy Surprises: Evidence from the U.S. Listings Data (2022)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:fip:fedfwp:94745

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DOI: 10.24148/wp2022-16

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