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2019-12: Market-Based Monetary Policy Uncertainty Downloads
Michael Bauer, Aeimit Lakdawala and Philippe Mueller
2019-11: A Theory of Falling Growth and Rising Rents Downloads
Philippe Aghion, Antonin Bergeaud, Timo Boppart, Pete Klenow and Huiyu Li
2019-10: The Total Risk Premium Puzzle? Downloads
Oscar Jorda, Moritz Schularick and Alan M. Taylor
2019-9: A Theory of Housing Demand Shocks Downloads
Zheng Liu, Pengfei Wang and Tao Zha
2019-8: Bond Flows and Liquidity: Do Foreigners Matter? Downloads
Jens Christensen, Eric Fischer and Patrick Shultz
2019-7: Aggregate Labor Force Participation and Unemployment and Demographic Trends Downloads
Andreas Hornstein and Marianna Kudlyak
2019-6: Tracking Financial Fragility Downloads
Paolo Giordani and Simon Kwan
2019-5: Job-Finding and Job-Losing: A Comprehensive Model of Heterogeneous Individual Labor-Market Dynamics Downloads
Robert E. Hall and Marianna Kudlyak
2019-4: The Euro Crisis in the Mirror of the EMS: How Tying Odysseus to the Mast Avoided the Sirens but Led Him to Charybdis Downloads
Giancarlo Corsetti, Barry Eichengreen, Galina Hale and Eric Tallman
2019-3: Optimal Monetary Policy Regime Switches Downloads
Jason Choi and Andrew Foerster
2019-2: Taking the Fed at its Word: Direct Estimation of Central Bank Objectives using Text Analytics Downloads
Adam Shapiro and Daniel Wilson
2019-1: Monetary Policy Frameworks and the Effective Lower Bound on Interest Rates Downloads
Thomas Mertens and John Williams
2018-15: Inflation Globally Downloads
Oscar Jorda and Fernanda Nechio
2018-14: Examining the Sources of Excess Return Predictability: Stochastic Volatility or Market Inefficiency? Downloads
Kevin Lansing, Stephen F. LeRoy and Jun Ma
2018-13: Efficiency in Sequential Labor and Goods Markets Downloads
Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau, Etienne Wasmer and Philippe Weil
2018-12: Uncertainty and Fiscal Cliffs Downloads
Troy A. Davig and Andrew Foerster
2018-11: Taylor Rule Estimation by OLS Downloads
Carlos Carvalho, Fernanda Nechio and Tiago Tristao
2018-10: Optimal Capital Account Liberalization in China Downloads
Zheng Liu, Mark Spiegel and Jingyi Zhang
2018-9: Extrapolating Long-Maturity Bond Yields for Financial Risk Measurement Downloads
Jens Christensen, Jose Lopez and Paul Mussche
2018-8: Real Business Cycles, Animal Spirits, and Stock Market Valuation Downloads
Kevin Lansing
2018-7: Why Have Negative Nominal Interest Rates Had Such a Small Effect on Bank Performance? Cross Country Evidence Downloads
Jose Lopez, Andrew Rose and Mark Spiegel
2018-6: Uncertainty and Hyperinflation: European Inflation Dynamics after World War I Downloads
Jose Lopez and Kris James Mitchener
2018-5: Global Financial Cycles and Risk Premiums Downloads
Oscar Jorda, Moritz Schularick, Alan M. Taylor and Felix Ward
2018-4: Regional Consumption Responses and the Aggregate Fiscal Multiplier Downloads
Bill Dupor, Marios Karabarbounis, Marianna Kudlyak and M. Saif Mehkari
2018-3: What to Expect from the Lower Bound on Interest Rates: Evidence from Derivatives Prices Downloads
Thomas Mertens and John Williams
2018-2: U.S. Monetary Policy and Fluctuations of International Bank Lending
Stefan Avdjiev and Galina Hale
2018-1: Monitoring Banking System Fragility with Big Data Downloads
Galina Hale and Jose Lopez
2017-25: The Rate of Return on Everything, 1870–2015 Downloads
Oscar Jorda, Katharina Knoll, Dmitry Kuvshinov, Moritz Schularick and Alan M. Taylor
2017-24: Endogenous Regime Switching Near the Zero Lower Bound Downloads
Kevin Lansing
2017-23: Historical Patterns of Inequality and Productivity around Financial Crises Downloads
Pascal Paul
2017-22: A Macroeconomic Model with Occasional Financial Crises Downloads
Pascal Paul
2017-21: Term Structure Analysis with Big Data Downloads
Martin Andreasen, Jens Christensen and Glenn Rudebusch
2017-20: Measuring Heterogeneity in Job Finding Rates among the Non-Employed Using Labor Force Status Histories Downloads
Marianna Kudlyak and Fabian Lange
2017-19: Safe Collateral, Arm’s-Length Credit: Evidence from the Commercial Real Estate Market Downloads
Lamont K. Black, John Krainer and Joseph B. Nichols
2017-18: Leaning Against the Credit Cycle Downloads
Paolo Gelain, Kevin Lansing and Gisle Natvik
2017-17: Calibrating Macroprudential Policy to Forecasts of Financial Stability Downloads
Scott Brave and Jose Lopez
2017-16: Interest Rates Under Falling Stars Downloads
Michael Bauer and Glenn Rudebusch
2017-15: Interest-Rate Liberalization and Capital Misallocations Downloads
Zheng Liu, Pengfei Wang and Zhiwei Xu
2017-14: The Disappointing Recovery of Output after 2009 Downloads
John Fernald, Robert E. Hall, James H. Stock and Mark Watson
2017-13: Clearing the Fog: The Predictive Power of Weather for Employment Reports and their Asset Price Responses Downloads
Daniel Wilson
2017-12: Approximating Multisector New Keynesian Models Downloads
Carlos Carvalho and Fernanda Nechio
2017-11: The TIPS Liquidity Premium Downloads
Martin M. Andreasen, Jens Christensen and Simon Riddell
2017-10: Is There an On-the-Run Premium in TIPS? Downloads
Jens Christensen, Jose Lopez and Patrick Shultz
2017-9: The Time-Varying Effect of Monetary Policy on Asset Prices Downloads
Pascal Paul
2017-8: International Transmission of Japanese Monetary Shocks Under Low and Negative Interest Rates: A Global Favar Approach Downloads
Mark Spiegel and Andrew Tai
2017-7: A New Normal for Interest Rates? Evidence from Inflation-Indexed Debt Downloads
Jens Christensen and Glenn Rudebusch
2017-6: Bank Capital Redux: Solvency, Liquidity, and Crisis Downloads
Oscar Jorda, Björn Richter, Moritz Schularick and Alan M. Taylor
2017-5: Generalized Matching Functions and Resource Utilization Indices for the Labor Market Downloads
Andreas Hornstein and Marianna Kudlyak
2017-4: Missing Growth from Creative Destruction Downloads
Philippe Aghion, Antonin Bergeaud, Timo Boppart, Pete Klenow and Huiyu Li
2017-3: De-leveraging or de-risking? How banks cope with loss Downloads
Rhys Bidder, John Krainer and Adam Shapiro
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