Working Paper Series

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2014-21: The Extent and Cyclicality of Career Changes: Evidence for the U.K

Carlos Carrillo-Tudela, Bart Hobijn, Powen She and Ludo Visschers

2014-20: Financial Crises and the Composition of Cross-Border Lending

Eugenio Cerutti, Galina Hale and Camelia Minoiu

2014-2: The Future of U.S. Economic Growth

John Fernald and Charles Jones

2014-19: The Rise in Home Currency Issuance

Galina Hale, Peter Jones and Mark Spiegel

2014-18: Transmission of Quantitative Easing: The Role of Central Bank Reserves

Jens Christensen and Signe Krogstrup

2014-17: Monetary Policy and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics in Sticky-Price Models

Carlos Carvalho, Fernanda Nechio and Fang Yao

2014-16: Long-Run Risk is the Worst-Case Scenario: Ambiguity Aversion and Non-Parametric Estimation of the Endowment Process

Rhys Bidder and Ian Dew-Becker

2014-15: Productivity and Potential Output Before, During, and After the Great Recession

John Fernald

2014-14: A Wedge in the Dual Mandate: Monetary Policy and Long-Term Unemployment

Glenn Rudebusch and John Williams

2014-13: Recent Extensions of U.S. Unemployment Benefits: Search Responses in Alternative Labor Market States

Robert Valletta

2014-12: Has U.S. Monetary Policy Tracked the Efficient Interest Rate?

Vasco Cúrdia, Andrea Ferrero, Ging Cee Ng and Andrea Tambalotti

2014-11: Labor Markets in the Global Financial Crisis: The Good, the Bad and the Ugly

Mary Daly, John Fernald, Oscar Jorda and Fernanda Nechio

2014-10: The Euro and the Geography of International Debt Flows

Galina Hale and Maurice Obstfeld

2014-1: Modernization and Discrete Measures of Democracy

Jess Benhabib, Alejandro Corvalen and Mark Spiegel

2013-40: Disability Benefit Growth and Disability Reform in the U.S.: Lessons from Other OECD Nations

Richard Burkhauser, Mary Daly, Duncan McVicar and Roger Wilkins

2013-39: Modeling Yields at the Zero Lower Bound: Are Shadow Rates the Solution?

Jens Christensen and Glenn Rudebusch

2013-38: A Probability-Based Stress Test of Federal Reserve Assets and Income

Jens Christensen, Jose Lopez and Glenn Rudebusch

2013-37: Sovereigns versus Banks: Credit, Crises, and Consequences

Oscar Jorda, Moritz Schularick and Alan Taylor

2013-36: Physician Payments Under Health Care Reform

Abe Dunn and Adam Shapiro

2013-35: The Impact of Reserves Practices on Bank Opacity

Giuliano Iannotta and Simon Kwan

2013-34: A Regime-Switching Model of the Yield Curve at the Zero Bound

Jens Christensen

2013-33: Optimal Monetary Policy and Capital Account Restrictions in a Small Open Economy

Zheng Liu and Mark Spiegel

2013-32: Shocks and Adjustments

Mary Daly, John Fernald, Oscar Jorda and Fernanda Nechio

2013-31: Factor Specificity and Real Rigidities

Carlos Carvalho and Fernanda Nechio

2013-30: Implications of Labor Market Frictions for Risk Aversion and Risk Premia

Eric Swanson

2013-29: Frequency shifting

Rhys Bidder

2013-28: Doubts and Variability: A Robust Perspective on Exotic Consumption Series

Rhys Bidder and Matthew Smith

2013-27: The Decline of the U.S. Labor Share

Michael Elsby, Bart Hobijn and Aysegul Sahin

2013-26: Does Quantitative Easing Affect Market Liquidity?

Jens Christensen and James M. Gillan

2013-25: The Time for Austerity: Estimating the Average Treatment Effect of Fiscal Policy

Oscar Jorda and Alan Taylor

2013-24: Semiparametric Estimates of Monetary Policy Effects: String Theory Revisited

Joshua Angrist, Oscar Jorda and Guido Kuersteiner

2013-23: Temptation and Self-Control: Some Evidence and Applications

Kevin Huang, Zheng Liu and Qi Zhu

2013-22: Land Prices and Unemployment

Zheng Liu, Jianjun Miao and Tao Zha

2013-21: Measuring the Effect of the Zero Lower Bound on Yields and Exchange Rates in the U.K. and Germany

Eric Swanson and John Williams

2013-20: The Effect of Capital Controls and Prudential FX Measures on Options-Implied Exchange Rate Stability

Marius Rodriguez and Thomas Wu

2013-19: Assessing the Historical Role of Credit: Business Cycles, Financial Crises, and the Legacy of Charles S. Peirce

Oscar Jorda

2013-18: Monetary Policy Expectations at the Zero Lower Bound

Michael Bauer and Glenn Rudebusch

2013-17: State Incentives for Innovation, Star Scientists and Jobs: Evidence from Biotech

Enrico Moretti and Daniel Wilson

2013-16: Are State Governments Roadblocks to Federal Stimulus? Evidence on the Flypaper Effect of Highway Grants in the 2009 Recovery Act

Sylvain Leduc and Daniel Wilson

2013-15: A Defense of Moderation in Monetary Policy

John Williams

2013-14: Bank Linkages and International Trade

Sergey Borisov, Julian Caballero, Christopher Candelaria and Galina Hale

2013-13: Inequality and Mortality: New Evidence from U.S. County Panel Data

Mary Daly and Daniel Wilson

2013-12: China’s Financial Linkages with Asia and the Global Financial Crisis

Reuven Glick and Michael Hutchison

2013-11: The Effects of Unconventional and Conventional U.S. Monetary Policy on the Dollar

Reuven Glick and Sylvain Leduc

2013-10: Is Asia Decoupling from the United States (Again)?

Sylvain Leduc and Mark Spiegel

2013-09: Do Extended Unemployment Benefits Lengthen Unemployment Spells? Evidence from Recent Cycles in the U.S. Labor Market

Henry S. Farber and Robert Valletta

2013-08: Downward Nominal Wage Rigidities Bend the Phillips Curve

Mary Daly and Bart Hobijn

2013-07: Estimating Shadow-Rate Term Structure Models with Near-Zero Yields

Jens Christensen and Glenn Rudebusch

2013-06: Persistence of Regional Inequality in China

Christopher Candelaria, Mary Daly and Galina Hale

2013-05: On the Importance of the Participation Margin for Market Fluctuations

Michael Elsby, Bart Hobijn and Aysegul Sahin