Working Paper Series
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- 2019-10: The Total Risk Premium Puzzle?

- Oscar Jorda, Moritz Schularick and Alan Taylor
- 2019-08: Bond Flows and Liquidity: Do Foreigners Matter?

- Jens Christensen, Eric Fischer and Patrick Shultz
- 2019-01: Monetary Policy Frameworks and the Effective Lower Bound on Interest Rates

- Thomas Mertens and John Williams
- 2018-9: Extrapolating Long-Maturity Bond Yields for Financial Risk Measurement

- Jens Christensen, Jose Lopez and Paul Mussche
- 2018-8: Real Business Cycles, Animal Spirits, and Stock Market Valuation

- Kevin Lansing
- 2018-7: Why Have Negative Nominal Interest Rates Had Such a Small Effect on Bank Performance? Cross Country Evidence

- Jose Lopez, Andrew Rose and Mark Spiegel
- 2018-6: Uncertainty and Hyperinflation: European Inflation Dynamics after World War I

- Jose Lopez and Kris James Mitchener
- 2018-5: Global Financial Cycles and Risk Premiums

- Oscar Jorda, Moritz Schularick, Alan Taylor and Felix Ward
- 2018-2: U.S. Monetary Policy and Fluctuations of International Bank Lending
- Stefan Avdjiev and Galina Hale
- 2018-15: Inflation Globally

- Oscar Jorda and Fernanda Nechio
- 2018-14: Examining the Sources of Excess Return Predictability: Stochastic Volatility or Market Inefficiency?

- Kevin Lansing, Stephen LeRoy and Jun Ma
- 2018-13: When Hosios Meets Phillips: Connecting Efficiency and Stability to Demand Shocks

- Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau, Etienne Wasmer and Philippe Weil
- 2018-12: Uncertainty and Fiscal Cliffs

- Troy Davig and Andrew Foerster
- 2018-11: Taylor Rule Estimation by OLS

- Carlos Carvalho, Fernanda Nechio and Tiago Tristao
- 2018-10: Optimal Capital Account Liberalization in China

- Zheng Liu, Mark Spiegel and Jingyi Zhang
- 2018-04: Regional Consumption Responses and the Aggregate Fiscal Multiplier

- Bill Dupor, Marios Karabarbounis, Marianna Kudlyak and M. Saif Mehkari
- 2018-03: What to Expect from the Lower Bound on Interest Rates: Evidence from Derivatives Prices

- Thomas Mertens and John Williams
- 2018-01: Monitoring Banking System Connectedness with Big Data

- Galina Hale and Jose Lopez
- 2017-8: International Transmission of Japanese Monetary Shocks Under Low and Negative Interest Rates: A Global Favar Approach

- Mark Spiegel and Andrew Tai
- 2017-6: Bank Capital Redux: Solvency, Liquidity, and Crisis

- Oscar Jorda, Björn Richter, Moritz Schularick and Alan Taylor
- 2017-5: Generalized Matching Functions and Resource Utilization Indices for the Labor Market

- Andreas Hornstein and Marianna Kudlyak
- 2017-4: Missing Growth from Creative Destruction

- Philippe Aghion, Antonin Bergeaud, Timo Boppart, Pete Klenow and Huiyu Li
- 2017-3: De-leveraging or De-risking? How Banks Cope with Loss

- Rhys Bidder, John Krainer and Adam Shapiro
- 2017-25: The Rate of Return on Everything, 1870–2015

- Oscar Jorda, Katharina Knoll, Dmitry Kuvshinov, Moritz Schularick and Alan Taylor
- 2017-24: Endogenous Forecast Switching Near the Zero Lower Bound

- Kevin Lansing
- 2017-23: Historical Patterns of Inequality and Productivity around Financial Crises

- Pascal Paul
- 2017-22: A Macroeconomic Model with Occasional Financial Crises

- Pascal Paul
- 2017-21: Term Structure Analysis with Big Data

- Martin Andreasen, Jens Christensen and Glenn Rudebusch
- 2017-20: Measuring Heterogeneity in Job Finding Rates among the Non-Employed Using Labor Force Status Histories

- Marianna Kudlyak and Fabian Lange
- 2017-19: Safe Collateral, Arm’s-Length Credit: Evidence from the Commercial Real Estate Market

- Lamont K. Black, John Krainer and Joseph B. Nichols
- 2017-18: Leaning Against the Credit Cycle

- Paolo Gelain, Kevin Lansing and Gisle Natvik
- 2017-17: Calibrating Macroprudential Policy to Forecasts of Financial Stability

- Scott Brave and Jose Lopez
- 2017-16: Interest Rates Under Falling Stars

- Michael Bauer and Glenn Rudebusch
- 2017-15: Interest-Rate Liberalization and Capital Misallocations

- Zheng Liu, Pengfei Wang and Zhiwei Xu
- 2017-14: The Disappointing Recovery of Output after 2009

- John Fernald, Robert Hall, James Stock and Mark Watson
- 2017-13: Clearing the Fog: The Predictive Power of Weather for Employment Reports and their Asset Price Responses

- Daniel Wilson
- 2017-12: Approximating Multisector New Keynesian Models

- Carlos Carvalho and Fernanda Nechio
- 2017-11: The TIPS Liquidity Premium

- Martin M. Andreasen, Jens Christensen and Simon Riddell
- 2017-10: Is There an On-the-Run Premium in TIPS?

- Jens Christensen, Jose Lopez and Patrick Shultz
- 2017-1: Measuring News Sentiment

- Adam Shapiro, Moritz Sudhof and Daniel Wilson
- 2017-09: The Time-Varying Effect of Monetary Policy on Asset Prices

- Pascal Paul
- 2017-07: A New Normal for Interest Rates? Evidence from Inflation-Indexed Debt

- Jens Christensen and Glenn Rudebusch
- 2017-02: Effects of Quasi-Random Monetary Experiments

- Oscar Jorda, Moritz Schularick and Alan Taylor
- 2016-9: The slow job recovery in a macro model of search and recruiting intensity

- Sylvain Leduc and Zheng Liu
- 2016-8: The pre-Great Recession slowdown in productivity

- Gilbert Cette, John Fernald and Benoit Mojon
- 2016-7: Why has the cyclicality of productivity changed? What does it mean?

- John Fernald and J. Christina Wang
- 2016-6: Measuring the effect of the zero lower bound on monetary policy

- Carlos Carvalho, Eric Hsu and Fernanda Nechio
- 2016-5: Demographics and real interest rates: inspecting the mechanism

- Carlos Carvalho, Andrea Ferrero and Fernanda Nechio
- 2016-4: The intensive and extensive margins of real wage adjustment

- Mary Daly and Bart Hobijn
- 2016-31: Intergenerational Linkages in Household Credit

- Andra Ghent and Marianna Kudlyak
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