Working Paper Series

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2016-8: The pre-Great Recession slowdown in productivity

Gilbert Cette, John Fernald and Benoit Mojon

2016-7: Why has the cyclicality of productivity changed? What does it mean?

John Fernald and J. Christina Wang

2016-6: Measuring the effect of the zero lower bound on monetary policy

Carlos Carvalho, Eric Hsu and Fernanda Nechio

2016-5: Demographics and real interest rates: inspecting the mechanism

Carlos Carvalho, Andrea Ferrero and Fernanda Nechio

2016-4: The intensive and extensive margins of real wage adjustment

Mary Daly and Bart Hobijn

2016-31: Intergenerational Linkages in Household Credit

Andra Ghent and Marianna Kudlyak

2016-30: Measuring the Effects of Dollar Appreciation on Asia: A Favar Approach

Zheng Liu, Mark Spiegel and Andrew Tai

2016-3: Does the United States have a productivity slowdown or a measurement problem?

David Byrne, John Fernald and Marshall B. Reinsdorf

2016-29: “Conditional PPP” and Real Exchange Rate Convergence in the Euro Area

Paul Bergin, Reuven Glick and Jyh-Lin Wu

2016-28: Mortgage Choice: Interactive Effects of House Price Appreciation and Mortgage Pricing Components

Frederick Furlong, David Lang and Yelena Takhtamanova

2016-27: Currency Unions and Regional Trade Agreements: EMU and EU Effects on Trade

Reuven Glick

2016-26: Stress Testing with Misspecified Models

Rhys Bidder, Raffaella Giacomini and Andrew McKenna

2016-25: FDI effects on the labor market of host countries

Galina Hale and Mingzhi (Jimmy) Xu

2016-24: Estimating Matching Efficiency with Variable Search Effort

Andreas Hornstein and Marianna Kudlyak

2016-23: Macrofinancial History and the New Business Cycle Facts

Oscar Jorda, Moritz Schularick and Alan Taylor

2016-22: Revisiting the Behavior of Small and Large Firms during the 2008 Financial Crisis

Marianna Kudlyak and Juan Sanchez

2016-21: The Impact of Weather on Local Employment: Using Big Data on Small Places

Daniel Wilson

2016-20: Does Greater Inequality Lead to More Household Borrowing? New Evidence from Household Data

Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Marianna Kudlyak and John Mondragon

2016-2: Credit-fuelled bubbles

Antonio Doblas-Madrid and Kevin Lansing

2016-19: Sentiments and Economic Activity: Evidence from U.S. States

Jess Benhabib and Mark Spiegel

2016-18: Reassessing Longer-Run U.S. Growth: How Low?

John Fernald

2016-17: Recent Flattening in the Higher Education Wage Premium: Polarization, Skill Downgrading, or Both?

Robert Valletta

2016-16: The Social Cost of Near-Rational Investment

Tarek Hassan and Thomas Mertens

2016-15: A Risk-based Theory of Exchange Rate Stabilization

Tarek Hassan, Thomas Mertens and Tony Zhang

2016-14: The Outlook for U.S. Labor-Quality Growth

Canyon Bosler, Mary Daly, John Fernald and Bart Hobijn

2016-13: The Intensity of Job Search and Search Duration

Jason Faberman and Marianna Kudlyak

2016-12: A Portfolio Model of Quantitative Easing

Jens Christensen and Signe Krogstrup

2016-11: Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest: International Trends and Determinants

Kathryn Holston, Thomas Laubach and John Williams

2016-10: Reserve Requirements and Optimal Chinese Stabilization Policy

Chun Chang, Zheng Liu, Mark Spiegel and Jingyi Zhang

2016-1: Shock Transmission through Cross-Border Bank Lending: Credit and Real Effect

Galina Hale, Tumer Kapan and Camelia Minoiu

2015-9: Bond vigilantes and inflation

Andrew Rose and Mark Spiegel

2015-8: Protecting working-age people with disabilities: experiences of four industrialized nations

Richard Burkhauser, Mary Daly and Nicolas Ziebarth

2015-7: Physician competition and the provision of care: evidence from heart attacks

Abe Dunn and Adam Shapiro

2015-6: The effect of state taxes on the geographical location of top earners: evidence from star scientists

Enrico Moretti and Daniel Wilson

2015-5: Domestic bond markets and inflation

Andrew Rose and Mark Spiegel

2015-4: Does Medicare Part D save lives?

Abe Dunn and Adam Shapiro

2015-3: The effect of extended unemployment insurance benefits: evidence from the 2012-2013 phase-out

Henry S. Farber, Jesse Rothstein and Robert Valletta

2015-22: Disentangling goods, labor, and credit market frictions in three European economies

Thomas Brzustowski, Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau and Etienne Wasmer

2015-21: Not so disconnected: exchange rates and the capital stock

Tarek Hassan, Thomas Mertens and Tony Zhang

2015-20: Credit frictions and optimal monetary policy

Vasco Cúrdia and Michael Woodford

2015-2: Explaining the Boom-Bust Cycle in the U.S. Housing Market: A Reverse-Engineering Approach

Paolo Gelain, Kevin Lansing and Gisle Natvik

2015-19: Cyclical and market determinants of involuntary part-time employment

Leila Bengali, Robert Valletta and Catherine van der List

2015-18: Unconventional monetary policy and the dollar: conventional signs, unconventional magnitudes

Reuven Glick and Sylvain Leduc

2015-17: Sticker shocks: using VAT changes to estimate upper-level elasticities of substitution

Bart Hobijn and Fernanda Nechio

2015-16: Measuring the natural rate of interest redux

Thomas Laubach and John Williams

2015-15: Robust bond risk premia

Michael Bauer and James Hamilton

2015-14: Aggregation level in stress testing models

Galina Hale, John Krainer and Erin McCarthy

2015-13: Robust stress testing

Rhys Bidder and Andrew McKenna

2015-12: Is China fudging its figures? Evidence from trading partner data

John Fernald, Eric Hsu and Mark Spiegel

2015-11: Currency unions and trade: a post-EMU mea culpa

Reuven Glick and Andrew Rose