Working Paper Series

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2016-21: The Impact of Weather on Local Employment: Using Big Data on Small Places

Daniel Wilson

2016-20: Does Greater Inequality Lead to More Household Borrowing? New Evidence from Household Data

Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Marianna Kudlyak and John Mondragon

2016-2: Credit-fuelled bubbles

Antonio Doblas-Madrid and Kevin Lansing

2016-19: Sentiments and Economic Activity: Evidence from U.S. States

Jess Benhabib and Mark Spiegel

2016-18: Reassessing Longer-Run U.S. Growth: How Low?

John Fernald

2016-17: Recent Flattening in the Higher Education Wage Premium: Polarization, Skill Downgrading, or Both?

Robert Valletta

2016-16: The Social Cost of Near-Rational Investment

Tarek Hassan and Thomas Mertens

2016-15: A Risk-based Theory of Exchange Rate Stabilization

Tarek Hassan, Thomas Mertens and Tony Zhang

2016-14: The Outlook for U.S. Labor-Quality Growth

Canyon Bosler, Mary Daly, John Fernald and Bart Hobijn

2016-13: The Intensity of Job Search and Search Duration

Jason Faberman and Marianna Kudlyak

2016-12: A Portfolio Model of Quantitative Easing

Jens Christensen and Signe Krogstrup

2016-11: Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest: International Trends and Determinants

Kathryn Holston, Thomas Laubach and John Williams

2016-10: Reserve Requirements and Optimal Chinese Stabilization Policy

Chun Chang, Zheng Liu, Mark Spiegel and Jingyi Zhang

2016-1: Shock Transmission through Cross-Border Bank Lending: Credit and Real Effect

Galina Hale, Tumer Kapan and Camelia Minoiu

2015-9: Bond vigilantes and inflation

Andrew Rose and Mark Spiegel

2015-8: Protecting working-age people with disabilities: experiences of four industrialized nations

Richard Burkhauser, Mary Daly and Nicolas Ziebarth

2015-7: Physician competition and the provision of care: evidence from heart attacks

Abe Dunn and Adam Shapiro

2015-6: The effect of state taxes on the geographical location of top earners: evidence from star scientists

Enrico Moretti and Daniel Wilson

2015-5: Domestic bond markets and inflation

Andrew Rose and Mark Spiegel

2015-4: Does Medicare Part D save lives?

Abe Dunn and Adam Shapiro

2015-3: The effect of extended unemployment insurance benefits: evidence from the 2012-2013 phase-out

Henry S. Farber, Jesse Rothstein and Robert Valletta

2015-22: Disentangling goods, labor, and credit market frictions in three European economies

Thomas Brzustowski, Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau and Etienne Wasmer

2015-21: Not so disconnected: exchange rates and the capital stock

Tarek Hassan, Thomas Mertens and Tony Zhang

2015-20: Credit frictions and optimal monetary policy

Vasco Cúrdia and Michael Woodford

2015-2: Explaining the Boom-Bust Cycle in the U.S. Housing Market: A Reverse-Engineering Approach

Paolo Gelain, Kevin Lansing and Gisle Natvik

2015-19: Cyclical and market determinants of involuntary part-time employment

Leila Bengali, Robert Valletta and Catherine van der List

2015-18: Unconventional monetary policy and the dollar: conventional signs, unconventional magnitudes

Reuven Glick and Sylvain Leduc

2015-17: Sticker shocks: using VAT changes to estimate upper-level elasticities of substitution

Bart Hobijn and Fernanda Nechio

2015-16: Measuring the natural rate of interest redux

Thomas Laubach and John Williams

2015-15: Robust bond risk premia

Michael Bauer and James Hamilton

2015-14: Aggregation level in stress testing models

Galina Hale, John Krainer and Erin McCarthy

2015-13: Robust stress testing

Rhys Bidder and Andrew McKenna

2015-12: Is China fudging its figures? Evidence from trading partner data

John Fernald, Eric Hsu and Mark Spiegel

2015-11: Currency unions and trade: a post-EMU mea culpa

Reuven Glick and Andrew Rose

2015-10: Leveraged bubbles

Oscar Jorda, Moritz Schularick and Alan Taylor

2015-1: Resolving the spanning puzzle in macro-finance term structure models

Michael Bauer and Glenn Rudebusch

2014-9: Inflation Expectations and the News

Michael Bauer

2014-8: Did Consumers Want Less Debt? Consumer Credit Demand Versus Supply in the Wake of the 2008-2009 Financial Crisis

Reint Gropp, John Krainer and Elizabeth Laderman

2014-7: Monetary Policy Effectiveness in China: Evidence from a FAVAR Model

John Fernald, Mark Spiegel and Eric Swanson

2014-6: Scraping By: Income and Program Participation After the Loss of Extended Unemployment Benefits

Jesse Rothstein and Robert Valletta

2014-5: Mortgage Choice in the Housing Boom: Impacts of House Price Appreciation and Borrower Type

Frederick Furlong, David Lang and Yelena Takhtamanova

2014-4: Breaking the “Iron Rice Bowl” and Precautionary Swings: Evidence from Chinese State-Owned Enterprises Reform

Hui He, Feng Huang, Zheng Liu and Dongming Zhu

2014-3: Can Spanned Term Structure Factors Drive Stochastic Yield Volatility?

Jens Christensen, Jose Lopez and Glenn Rudebusch

2014-28: Betting the House

Oscar Jorda, Moritz Schularick and Alan Taylor

2014-27: A Dynamic Model of Price Signaling, Consumer Learning, and Price Adjustment

Matthew Osborne and Adam Shapiro

2014-26: Financial Frictions, the Housing Market, and Unemployment

William Branch, Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau and Guillaume Rocheteau

2014-25: The International Transmission of Shocks: Foreign Bank Branches in Hong Kong during Crises

Cho-hoi Hui, Simon Kwan and Eric T. C. Wong

2014-24: Shopping Time

Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau, Etienne Wasmer and Shutian Zeng

2014-23: The Great Mortgaging: Housing Finance, Crises, and Business Cycles

Oscar Jorda, Moritz Schularick and Alan Taylor

2014-22: Explaining Exchange Rate Anomalies in a Model with Taylor-Rule Fundamentals and Consistent Expectations

Kevin Lansing and Jun Ma