Working Paper Series

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2023-33: The Active Role of the Natural Rate of Unemployment during Cyclical Recoveries

Robert E. Hall and Marianna Kudlyak

2023-32: Demographics and Real Interest Rates Across Countries and Over Time

Carlos Carvalho, Andrea Ferrero, Felipe Mazin and Fernanda Nechio

2023-31: Perceptions about Monetary Policy

Michael Bauer, Carolin Pflueger and Adi Sunderam

2023-30: The Effect of U.S. Climate Policy on Financial Markets: An Event Study of the Inflation Reduction Act

Michael Bauer, Eric Offner and Glenn Rudebusch

2023-29: Productivity in the World Economy During and After the Pandemic

John Fernald and Huiyu Li

2023-28: The Effect of Second-Generation Rent Controls: New Evidence from Catalonia

Joan Monras and Jose G. Montalvo

2023-27: Long-Run Effects of Incentivizing Work After Childbirth

Elira Kuka and Na'ama Shenhav

2023-26: Floating Population: Migration With(Out) Family and the Spatial Distribution of Economic Activity

Clément Imbert, Joan Monras, Marlon Seror and Yanos Zylberberg

2023-24: Passive Quantitative Easing: Bond Supply Effects through a Halt to Debt Issuance

Jens Christensen and Simon Thinggaard Hetland

2023-23: Quantitative Easing and Safe Asset Scarcity: Evidence from International Bond Safety Premia

Jens Christensen, Nikola Mirkov and Xin Zhang

2023-22: Currency Areas, Labor Markets, and Regional Cyclical Sensitivity

Katheryn Russ, Jay Shambaugh and Sanjay Singh

2023-21: Supply or Demand? Policy Makers' Confusion in the Presence of Hysteresis

Antonio Fatas and Sanjay Singh

2023-20: The Financial Origins of Non-Fundamental Risk

Sushant Acharya, Keshav Dogra and Sanjay Singh

2023-19: Incorporating Diagnostic Expectations into the New Keynesian Framework

Jean-Paul L’Huillier, Sanjay Singh and Donghoon Yoo

2023-18: Monetary Transmission through Bank Securities Portfolios

John Krainer and Pascal Paul

2023-17: Climate Change and the Geography of the U.S. Economy

Sylvain Leduc and Daniel Wilson

2023-16: Local Projections for Applied Economics

Oscar Jorda

2023-15: Significance Bands for Local Projections

Atsushi Inoue, Oscar Jorda and Guido Kuersteiner

2023-14: Decomposing the Monetary Policy Multiplier

Pietro Alessandrini, Oscar Jorda and Fabrizio Venditti

2023-13: Targeted Reserve Requirements for Macroeconomic Stabilization

Zheng Liu, Mark Spiegel and Jingyi Zhang

2023-12: A Local Projections Approach to Difference-in-Differences Event Studies

Arindrajit Dube, Daniele Girardi, Oscar Jorda and Alan Taylor

2023-11: The Transmission of Negative Nominal Interest Rates in Finland

Simon Kwan, Mauricio Ulate and Ville Voutilainen

2023-10: The Quality-Adjusted Cyclical Price of Labor

Mark Bils, Marianna Kudlyak and Paulo Lins

2023-09: The Canary in the Coal Decline: Appalachian Household Finance and the Transition from Fossil Fuels

Joshua Blonz, Brigitte Roth Tran and Erin Troland

2023-08: Labor Market Effects of Global Supply Chain Disruptions

Mauricio Ulate, Jose Vasquez and Roman D. Zarate

2023-07: The Productivity Slowdown in Advanced Economies: Common Shocks or Common Trends?

John Fernald, Robert Inklaar and Dimitrije Ruzic

2023-06: Loose Monetary Policy and Financial Instability

Maximilian Grimm, Oscar Jorda, Moritz Schularick and Alan Taylor

2023-05: State-Dependent Local Projections: Understanding Impulse Response Heterogeneity

James Cloyne, Oscar Jorda and Alan Taylor

2023-04: The Benefit of Inflation-Indexed Debt: Evidence from an Emerging Bond Market

Cristhian Hernando Ruiz Cardozo and Jens Christensen

2023-03: A Denial a Day Keeps the Doctor Away

Abe Dunn, Joshua Gottlieb, Adam Shapiro, Daniel J. Sonnenstuhl and Pietro Tebaldi

2023-02: Inflationary Effects of Fiscal Support to Households and Firms

Galina Hale, John Leer and Fernanda Nechio

2023-01: Fiscal Policies for Job Creation and Innovation: The Experiences of US States

Bob Chirinko and Daniel Wilson

2022-22: Fiscal Stimulus Under Average Inflation Targeting

Zheng Liu, Jianjun Miao and Dongling Su

2022-21: Understanding Climate Damages: Consumption versus Investment

Gregory Casey, Stephie Fried and Matthew Gibson

2022-20: Projecting the Impact of Rising Temperatures: The Role of Macroeconomic Dynamics

Gregory Casey, Stephie Fried and Ethan Goode

2022-19: The Impact of COVID on Productivity and Potential Output

John Fernald and Huiyu Li

2022-18: Decomposing Supply and Demand Driven Inflation

Adam Shapiro

2022-17: Inflation and Wage Growth Since the Pandemic

Oscar Jorda and Fernanda Nechio

2022-16: House Price Responses to Monetary Policy Surprises: Evidence from the U.S. Listings Data

Denis Gorea, Oleksiy Kryvtsov and Marianna Kudlyak

2022-14: Evergreening

Miguel Faria-e-Castro, Pascal Paul and Juan Sanchez

2022-13: Dynastic Home Equity

Matteo Benetton, Marianna Kudlyak and John Mondragon

2022-12: Making Sense of Negative Nominal Interest Rates

Cynthia Balloch, Yann Koby and Mauricio Ulate

2022-11: Housing Demand and Remote Work

John Mondragon and Johannes Wieland

2022-10: Minimum Wage Increases and Vacancies

Marianna Kudlyak, Murat Tasci and Didem Tuzemen

2022-09: In Search of Dominant Drivers of the Real Exchange Rate

Wataru Miyamoto, Thuy Lan Nguyen and Hyunseung Oh

2022-08: Dale W. Jorgenson: An Intellectual Biography

John Fernald

2022-07: The UK Productivity “Puzzle” in an International Comparative Perspective

John Fernald and Robert Inklaar

2022-06: Macroeconomic Drivers and the Pricing of Uncertainty, Inflation, and Bonds

Brandyn Bok, Thomas Mertens and John Williams

2022-05: Automation, Market Concentration, and the Labor Share

Hamid Firooz, Zheng Liu and Yajie Wang

2022-04: Fiscal Stimulus and Commercial Bank Lending Under COVID-19

Joshua Aizenman, Yothin Jinjarak and Mark Spiegel