Trading activity and price volatility in the municipal bond market

Chris Downing and Frank X. Zhang

No 2002-39, Finance and Economics Discussion Series from Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)

Abstract: Utilizing a comprehensive database of transactions in municipal bonds, we investigate the volume-volatility relationship in the muni market. We find a positive relationship between the number of transactions and a bond's price volatility. In contrast to previous studies, we find a negative relationship between average deal size and price volatility. These results are found to be robust throughout the sample. Our results are inconsistent with current theoretical models of the volume-volatility relationship. These inconsistencies may arise because current models fail to account for the effects of overall market liquidity on the costs of large transactions.

Keywords: Bonds; Prices (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2002
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-fin, nep-fmk and nep-rmg
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