A monetary policy rule based on nominal and inflation-indexed Treasury yields

Brian P. Sack

No 2003-07, Finance and Economics Discussion Series from Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)

Abstract: The yields on nominal and inflation-indexed Treasury debt securities can be used to derive a proxy for the inflation expectations of market participants. This paper investigates whether such a measure has provided a useful guide for monetary policy decisions by the Federal Reserve. The results indicate that since 1999, U.S. monetary policy decisions can be effectively characterized by a simple policy rule in which changes in the federal funds rate respond to the forward rate of inflation compensation.

Keywords: Monetary policy; Government securities; Inflation-indexed bonds (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2003
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mac
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