Does Trade Liberalization with China Influence U.S. Elections?
Yi Lu (),
Justin Pierce (),
Peter Schott () and
Zhigang Tao ()
No 2016-039, Finance and Economics Discussion Series from Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)
This paper examines the impact of trade liberalization on U.S. Congressional elections. We find that U.S. counties subject to greater competition from China via a change in U.S. trade policy exhibit relative increases in turnout, the share of votes cast for Democrats and the probability that the county is represented by a Democrat. We find that these changes are consistent with Democrats in office being more likely than Republicans to support legislation limiting import competition or favoring economic assistance.
Keywords: China; Voting; Elections; Import Competition; Normal Trade Relations; World Trade Organization (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F13 F16 D72 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 40 pages
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cdm, nep-cna, nep-int, nep-pke and nep-pol
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Working Paper: Does Trade Liberalization with China Influence U.S. Elections? (2016)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:fip:fedgfe:2016-39
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