Exchange Rate Transmission through Multinational Firms: Evidence from Japan
Ryan Kim,
Bin Ni,
Hyunseung Oh and
Choongryul Yang
No 1446, International Finance Discussion Papers from Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)
Abstract:
We study an income-account channel of exchange-rate transmission using matched data on Japanese multinational parents and their foreign affiliates. During the sharp yen depreciation of 2021–22, we find that (i) foreign affiliates with greater exchange-rate exposure expanded their activity and generated more profits, with larger payments to their Japanese parents, and (ii) more exposed parents increased their average wages and shifted employment toward commercial branches and offices involved in sales, purchasing, and related business functions, with offsetting declines in other employment. A multinational firm model in which scarce parent-side support inputs are allocated between domestic operations and foreign affiliates rationalizes these findings. To study the aggregate implications, we embed this mechanism in a two-country general-equilibrium model with trade and multinational production. The model shows that moving foreign-market activity from exports to affiliate production reduces the domestic real GDP response to depreciation and shifts more of the external adjustment from trade and toward income earned abroad. Depreciation therefore need not generate a large expansion in domestic production.
Keywords: exchange rates; multinational firms; current account; Japan (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F23 F31 F32 F41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 102 p.
Date: 2026-09-04
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:fip:fedgif:103753
DOI: 10.17016/IFDP.2026.1446
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