Working Paper Series / Economic Activity Section

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103: Production smoothing evidence from physical-product data

Steven Braun and Spencer Krane

102: The covariability of productivity shocks across industries

David E. Lebow

101: Internal finance and investment: testing the role of asymmetric information and agency costs

Stephen Oliner and Glenn Rudebusch

100: A comparison of fiscal measures using reduced-form techniques

Darrel Cohen

99: An evaluation of the sources of aggregate price rigidity

John Roberts, David J. Stockton and Charles S. Struckmeyer

98: Business cycle duration dependence: a parametric approach

Daniel Sichel

97: Can we improve preliminary estimates of payroll employment growth?

David Neumark and William Wascher

96: Declining union strength and wage inflation in the 1980s

David Neumark

95: Does overtime use affect marginal cost?

John Roberts

94: Is superwoman a myth? marriage, children, and wages

Sanders Korenman and David Neumark

93: Business cycle asymmetry: a deeper look

Daniel Sichel

92: Capital gains taxation and the demand for owner-occupied housing

William Hoyt and Stuart Rosenthal

91: Regional labor markets, cost-of-living differentials, and migration

Stuart Gabriel, Janice Shack-Marquez and William Wascher

90: A nonparametric investigation of duration dependence in the American business cycle

Francis Diebold and Glenn Rudebusch

89: Evidence on price adjustment costs in U.S. manufacturing industry

John Roberts

88: A reconciliation of two empirical views of business cycle asymmetry

Daniel Sichel

87: Capital and the slowdown of growth in the United States: a review

Stephen Oliner

86: The impact of unseasonable weather on housing starts

Mark T. Cammarota

85: Measuring household saving: recent experience from the flow of funds perspective

James L. Freund, Wolfgang Lederer, John F. Wilson and Frederick O. Yohn

84: Expected appreciation for U.S. housing

Nicholas A. Walraven

83: Mortgage rationing in the post disintermediation era: does FHA make a difference?

John Duca and Stuart Rosenthal

82: Asymmetric inventory costs, aggregation, and production smoothing

Spencer Krane

81: Aggregative measures of price and quantity change in commodity markets

John Rosine

80: The effects of credit availability on consumer durable expenditures

John Duca

79: Credit rationing and the demand for owner-occupied housing

John Duca, Stuart Gabriel and Stuart Rosenthal

78: Social security benefits, consumption expenditure, and the life cycle hypothesis

David Wilcox

77: The substainability of government deficits: implications of the present- value borrowing constraint

David Wilcox

76: Are productivity fluctuations due to real supply shocks?

Glenn Rudebusch

75: Estimation of current-quarter GNP by pooling preliminary labor - market data

Steven Braun

74: Rental housing markets and the natural vacancy rate

Stuart Gabriel and Frank E. Nothaft

73: The effect of taxes on money demand and aggregate demand

Darrel Cohen

72: An empirical disequilibrium model of labor, consumption, and investment in the United States

Glenn Rudebusch

71: Tests of the specification and predictive accuracy of nonnested models of inflation

David J. Stockton and Charles S. Struckmeyer

70: Models and measures of fiscal policy

Darrel Cohen

69: Forecasting housing construction: lessons and puzzles from recent years

Stuart Gabriel and John L. Goodman

68: The size of the public sector, saving, and long-run output

Lawrence Slifman

67: The size of the public sector and long-run growth: a theoretical exposition

Darrel Cohen

66: Economic determinants of household formations and living arrangements

John L. Goodman

65: A residence time model of housing markets

Stuart Rosenthal

64: Examining alternative econometric specifications of the disequilibrium model: an empirical study with labor market data

Glenn Rudebusch

63: Some direct evidence on the importance of borrowing constraints to the labor force participation of married women

Janice Shack-Marquez and William Wascher

62: Accepted wages: examining transitions from unemployment and out of the labor force

Francis Horvath and Janice Shack-Marquez

61: Cyclical fluctuations in productivity in a long-run demand equation

Michael L. Wachter and William Wascher

60: Creative destruction and the behavior of productivity over the business cycle

Edward Montgomery and William Wascher

59: Cross-industry differences in race and gender wage differentials

Edward Montgomery and William Wascher

58: The fundamental determinants of aggregate debt and wealth

Mark J. Warshawsky

57: The macroeconomics of exchange rate shocks

Arnold Kling

56: An assessment of the effect of risk aversion on the quit decision of married men

Kathryn Shaw

55: Occupational change, employer change, and the transferability of skills

Kathryn Shaw

54: Profits, concessions, and the wage equation

Robert S. Gay