Working Paper Series

From Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
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2016: Just What the Nurse Practitioner Ordered: Independent Prescriptive Authority and Population Mental Health

Diane Alexander and Molly Schnell

2016: The Term Structure and Inflation Uncertainty

Tomas Breach, Stefania D'Amico and Athanasios Orphanides

2016: Expectation and Duration at the Effective Lower Bound

Thomas King

2016: Interest Rates or Haircuts? Prices Versus Quantities in the Market for Collateralized Risky Loans

Robert Barsky, Theodore Bogusz and Matthew Easton

2016: Evidence on the Within-Industry Agglomeration of R&D, Production, and Administrative Occupations

Benjamin Goldman, Thomas Klier and Thomas Walstrum

2016: Monetary Policy and Durable Goods

Robert Barsky, Christoph Boehm, Christopher House and Miles Kimball

2016: The Role of Selective High Schools in Equalizing Educational Outcomes: Heterogeneous Effects by Neighborhood Socioeconomic Status

Lisa Barrow, Marisa de la Torre and Lauren Sartain

2016: Tax Credits and the Debt Position of U.S. Households

Leslie McGranahan

2016: The Interplay Between Financial Conditions and Monetary Policy Shocks

Marco Bassetto, Luca Benzoni and Trevor Serrao

2016: Constrained Discretion and Central Bank Transparency

Francesco Bianchi and Leonardo Melosi

2016: The Effect of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act Medicaid Expansions on Financial Wellbeing

Luojia Hu, Robert Kaestner, Bhashkar Mazumder, Sarah Miller and Ashley Wong

2016: Escaping the Great Recession

Francesco Bianchi and Leonardo Melosi

2016: Signaling Effects of Monetary Policy

Leonardo Melosi

2016: Accounting for Central Neighborhood Change, 1980-2010

Nathaniel Baum-Snow and Daniel Hartley

2016: Optimal Monetary Policy in an Open Emerging Market Economy

Tara Iyer

2016: Forward Guidance and Macroeconomic Outcomes Since the Financial Crisis

Jeffrey Campbell, Jonas Fisher, Alejandro Justiniano and Leonardo Melosi

2016: Forecasting Economic Activity with Mixed Frequency Bayesian VARs

Scott Brave, R. Andrew Butters and Alejandro Justiniano

2016: Insurance in Human Capital Models with Limited Enforcement

Tom Krebs, Moritz Kuhn and Mark Wright

2016: The Life Insurance Industry and Systemic Risk: A Bond Market Perspective

Anna Paulson and Richard Rosen

2016: Allocating Effort and Talent in Professional Labor Markets

Gadi Barlevy and Derek Neal

2016: Firm Entry and Macroeconomic Dynamics: A State-level Analysis

Francois Gourio, Todd Messer and Michael Siemer

2016: Measuring Interest Rate Risk in the Life Insurance Sector: The U.S. and the U.K

Daniel Hartley, Anna Paulson and Richard Rosen

2015: The Global Diffusion of Ideas

Francisco Buera and Ezra Oberfield

2015: Estimating the Tax and Credit-Event Risk Components of Credit Spreads

Luca Benzoni and Robert S. Goldstein

2015: What Does Anticipated Monetary Policy Do?

Stefania D'Amico and Thomas King

2015: Bad Investments and Missed Opportunities? Postwar Capital Flows to Asia and Latin America

Lee Ohanian, Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria and Mark Wright

2015: Simpler Bootstrap Estimation of the Asymptotic Variance of U-statistic Based Estimators

Bo E. Honore and Luojia Hu

2015: Does Physician Pay Affect Procedure Choice and Patient Health? Evidence from Medicaid C-section Use

Diane Alexander

2015: The Value and Risk of Human Capital

Luca Benzoni and Olena Chyruk

2015: Backtesting Systemic Risk Measures During Historical Bank Runs

Christian Brownlees, Benjamin Chabot, Eric Ghysels and Christopher J. Kurz

2015: External and Public Debt Crises

Cristina Arellano, Andrew Atkeson and Mark Wright

2015: Estimating the Intergenerational Elasticity and Rank Association in the U.S.: Overcoming the Current Limitations of Tax Data

Bhashkar Mazumder

2015: Risk Management for Monetary Policy Near the Zero Lower Bound

Charles Evans, Jonas Fisher, Francois Gourio and Spencer Krane

2015: Revisiting the Role of Home Production in Life-Cycle Labor Supply

Jason Faberman

2015: Poor (Wo)man’s Bootstrap

Bo E. Honore and Luojia Hu

2014: Access to Refinancing and Mortgage Interest Rates: HARPing on the Importance of Competition

Gene Amromin and Caitlin Kearns

2014: Early Life Environment and Racial Inequality in Education and Earnings in the United States

Kenneth Chay, Jonathan Guryan and Bhashkar Mazumder

2014: Momentum Trading, Return Chasing and Predictable Crashes

Benjamin Chabot, Eric Ghysels and Ravi Jagannathan

2014: What Drives Bank Funding Spreads?

Thomas King and Kurt Lewis

2014: Private Takings

Alessandro Marchesiani and Ed Nosal

2014: Quantitative Easing in Joseph's Egypt with Keynesian Producers

Jeffrey Campbell

2014: The Impact of Chicago's Small High School Initiative

Lisa Barrow, Amy Claessens and Diane Schanzenbach

2014: More on Middlemen: Equilibrium Entry and Efficiency in Intermediated Markets

Ed Nosal, Linda Wong and Randall Wright

2014: Adverse Selection, Risk Sharing and Business Cycles

Marcelo Veracierto

2014: Human Capital Risk, Contract Enforcement, and the Macroeconomy

Tom Krebs, Moritz Kuhn and Mark Wright

2014: On the Structural Interpretation of the Smets-Wouters “Risk Premium” Shock

Jonas Fisher

2014: AIG in Hindsight

Robert McDonald and Anna Paulson

2014: The Evolution of Comparative Advantage: Measurement and Implications

Andrei Levchenko and Jing Zhang

2014: Saving Europe?: The Unpleasant Arithmetic of Fiscal Austerity in Integrated Economies

Enrique Mendoza, Linda Tesar and Jing Zhang

2014: The Effect of Vehicle Fuel Economy Standards on Technology Adoption

Thomas Klier and Joshua Linn

2014: Preventing Bank Runs

David Andolfatto, Ed Nosal and Bruno Sultanum

2014: Escaping the Great Recession

Francesco Bianchi and Leonardo Melosi

2014: Credit Supply and the Housing Boom

Alejandro Justiniano, Giorgio Primiceri and Andrea Tambalotti

2014: Constrained Discretion and Central Bank Transparency

Francesco Bianchi and Leonardo Melosi

2014: Liquidity Traps and Monetary Policy: Managing a Credit Crunch

Francisco Buera and Juan Pablo Nicolini

2014: The Stock of External Sovereign Debt: Can We Take the Data at ‘Face Value’?

Daniel Dias, Christine Richmond and Mark Wright

2014: Interpreting the Pari Passu Clause in Sovereign Bond Contracts: It's All Hebrew (and Aramaic) to Me

Mark Wright

2014: Mandatory Disclosure and Financial Contagion

Fernando Alvarez and Gadi Barlevy

2014: Early Public Banks

William Roberds and Francois Velde

2014: The Effects of the Massachusetts Health Reform on Financial Distress

Bhashkar Mazumder and Sarah Miller

2014: Can Intangible Capital Explain Cyclical Movements in the Labor Wedge?

Francois Gourio and Leena Rudanko

2014: Inflation Uncertainty and Disagreement in Bond Risk Premia

Stefania D'Amico and Athanasios Orphanides