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Unconventional Monetary Policy, (A)Synchronicity and the Yield Curve

Karlye Dilts Stedman ()

No RWP 19-9, Research Working Paper from Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City

Abstract: This paper examines international spillovers from unconventional monetary policy between the United States, the euro area, the United Kingdom and Japan, and assesses the influence of asynchronous policy normalization on the slope of the yield curve. Using high frequency futures data to identify monetary policy surprises and controlling for contemporaneous news, I find that spillovers increase during periods of unconventional monetary policy and strengthen during asynchronous policy normalization. Local projections suggest persistent spillovers from the Federal Reserve, whereas other spillovers fade quickly. Through the lens of a shadow rate term structure model, I find that such spillovers elicit revisions, domestically and internationally, to both the expected path of short-term interest rates and required risk compensation, with the latter gaining importance at the effective lower bound of interest rates.

Keywords: Monetary Policy; Spillovers (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E5 F42 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba, nep-eec, nep-mac, nep-mon and nep-opm
Date: 2019-10-31
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:fip:fedkrw:rwp19-09

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DOI: 10.18651/RWP2019-09

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