Research Working Paper

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RWP 23-13: Financing Modes and Lender Monitoring

Arturo Anton, Kaniska Dam and Rajdeep Sengupta

RWP 23-12: Evaluating Local Language Models: An Application to Bank Earnings Calls

Thomas R. Cook, Sophia Kazinnik, Anne Lundgaard Hansen and Peter McAdam

RWP 23-11: An Experimental Analysis of Quality Misperception in Food Labels

Francisco Scott

RWP 23-10: Economic Benefits and Social Costs of Legalizing Recreational Marijuana

Jason Brown, Elior Cohen and Alison Felix

RWP 23-09: Threshold Endogeneity in Threshold VARs: An Application to Monetary State Dependence

Dimitris Christopoulos, Peter McAdam and Elias Tzavalis

RWP 23-08: Which Types of Unbanked Households Are More (or Less) Likely to Open a Bank Account?

Fumiko Hayashi, Aditi Routh and Ying Lei Toh

RWP 23-07: Understanding Models and Model Bias with Gaussian Processes

Thomas R. Cook and Nathan M. Palmer

RWP 23-06: Drought and Cattle: Implications for Ranchers

Cortney Cowley, Jacob Dice and David Rodziewicz

RWP 23-05: R&D Capital and the Idea Production Function

Jakub Growiec, Peter McAdam and Jakub Mućk

RWP 23-04: Janus's Money Demand and Time Inconsistency: A New Impossibility Theorem?

João Ricardo Faria and Peter McAdam

RWP 23-03: Equilibrium Evictions

Dean Corbae, Andrew Glover and Michael Nattinger

RWP 23-02: The Missing Tail Risk in Option Prices

Jason Brown, Nida Çakır Melek, Johannes Matschke and Sai Sattiraju

RWP 23-01: Employer Credit Checks: Poverty Traps versus Matching Efficiency

Dean Corbae and Andrew Glover

RWP 22-15: Unconventional Monetary Policy and Local Fiscal Policy

Huixin Bi and Nora Traum

RWP 22-14: Prior Fraud Exposure and Precautionary Credit Market Behavior

Nathan Blascak and Ying Lei Toh

RWP 22-13: The Economic Effects of a Rapid Increase in the Minimum Wage: Evidence from South Korea Experiments

Taeyoung Doh, Kyoo il Kim, Sungil Kim, Hwanoong Lee and Kyungho Song

RWP 2022-12: Immigration Disruptions and the Wages of Unskilled Labor in the 1920s

Jeff Biddle and Elior Cohen

RWP 22-11: Leaning Against the Data: Policymaker Communications under State-Based Forward Guidance

Taeyoung Doh, Joseph Gruber and Dongho Song

RWP 22-10: Downward Wage Rigidities and Recession Dynamics in Advanced and Emerging Economies*

Johannes Matschke and Jun Nie

RWP 22-09: Credit Guarantee and Fiscal Costs

Huixin Bi, Yongquan Cao and Wei Dong

RWP 22-08: Foreign Reserve Management and U.S. Money Market Liquidity: A Cost of Exorbitant Privilege

Ron Alquist, Karlye Dilts Stedman and Robert Kahn

RWP 22-07: Attention Allocation and Heterogenous Consumption Responses

Yulei Luo, Jun Nie and Penghui Yin

RWP 22-06: The Supply and Demand of Agricultural Loans

Ty Kreitman, Todd Kuethe, David Oppedahl and Francisco Scott

RWP 2022-05: Rational but Not Prescient: Borrowing during the Fracking Boom

Daniel Berkowitz, Andrew J. dup Boslett, Jason Brown and Jeremy Weber

RWP 22-04: Assessing Regulatory Responses to Banking Crises

Padma Sharma

RWP 2022-03: The Effect of Housing First Programs on Future Homelessness and Socioeconomic Outcomes

Elior Cohen

RWP 2022-02: The Term Structure of Monetary Policy Uncertainty

Brent Bundick, Trenton Herriford and Andrew Smith

RWP 22-01: Supervisory Stringency, Payout Restrictions, and Bank Equity Prices

W. Blake Marsh

RWP 21-19: Shared Destinies? Small Banks and Small Business Consolidation

Claire Brennecke, Stefan Jacewitz and Jonathan Pogach

RWP 21-18: The Income Share of Energy and Substitution: A Macroeconomic Approach

Nida Cakir Melek and Musa Orak

RWP 21-17: Wealth in the Utility Function and Consumption Inequality

Yulei Luo, Jun Nie and Heng-Fu Zou

RWP 21-16: Spillovers at the Extremes: The Macroprudential Stance and Vulnerability to the Global Financial Cycle

Anusha Chari, Karlye Dilts Stedman and Kristin J. Forbes

RWP 21-15: Optimal Age-Based Vaccination and Economic Mitigation Policies for the Second Phase of the COVID-19 Pandemic

Andrew Glover, Jonathan Heathcote, Dirk Krueger and José-Víctor Ríos-Rull

RWP 21-14: Safeguarding Research: A Review of Economics Journals’ Preservation Policies for Published Code and Data Files

Courtney Butler, Brett Currier and Kira Lillard

RWP 21-13: National Interests, Spillovers and Macroprudential Coordination

Johannes Matschke

RWP 21-12: Explaining Machine Learning by Bootstrapping Partial Dependence Functions and Shapley Values

Thomas Cook, Greg Gupton, Zach Modig and Nathan Palmer

RWP 21-11: Does Access to Free Pre-Kindergarten Increase Maternal Labor Supply?

Elias Ilin, Samantha Shampine and Ellyn Terry

RWP 21-10: Macroprudential Policy Interlinkages

Johannes Matschke

RWP 21-09: The Effect of Immigration on Local Labor Markets: Lessons from the 1920s Border Closure

Ran Abramitzky, Philipp Ager, Leah Boustan, Elior Cohen and Casper Hansen

RWP 21-08: Capital Controls and the Global Financial Cycle

Marina Lovchikova and Johannes Matschke

RWP 21-07: Shadow Insurance? Money Market Fund Investors and Bank Sponsorship

Stefan Jacewitz, Haluk Unal and Chengjun Wu

RWP 21-06: Financial Constraints, Sectoral Heterogeneity, and the Cyclicality of Investment

Cooper Howes

RWP 21-05: Production and Inventory Dynamics under Ambiguity Aversion

Yulei Luo, Jun Nie, Xiaowen Wang and Eric Young

RWP 21-04: From Deviations to Shortfalls: The Effects of the FOMC’s New Employment Objective

Brent Bundick and Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau

RWP 21-03: Government Loan Guarantees during a Crisis: The Effect of the PPP on Bank Lending and Profitability

W. Blake Marsh and Padma Sharma

RWP 21-02: The Size of U.S. Metropolitan Areas

McKenzie Humann and Jordan Rappaport

RWP 21-01: Local Projections, Autocorrelation, and Efficiency

Amaze Lusompa

RWP 20-23: The Financial Market Effects of Unwinding the Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet

Andrew Smith and Victor (Vic) Valcarcel

RWP 20-22: Minimum Wage Increases and Vacancies

Marianna Kudlyak, Murat Tasci and Didem Tuzemen

RWP 20-21: Market Integration and Bank Risk-Taking

Kaniska Dam and Rajdeep Sengupta