Research Working Paper
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- RWP 18-14: Forecasting Foreign Economic Growth Using Cross-Country Data

- Craig Hakkio and Jun Nie
- RWP 18-13: Reconciling VAR-based Forecasts with Survey Forecasts

- Taeyoung Doh and Andrew Smith
- RWP 18-12: Growth and Welfare Gains from Financial Integration Under Model Uncertainty

- Yulei Luo, Jun Nie and Eric Young
- RWP 18-11: The Optimal Monetary Instrument and the (Mis)Use of Causality Tests

- John W. Keating and Andrew Smith
- RWP 18-10: The Initial Effects of EMV Migration on Chargebacks in the United States

- Fumiko Hayashi, Zach Markiewicz and Sabrina Minhas
- RWP 18-9: The U.S. Syndicated Loan Market: Matching Data

- Gregory J. Cohen, Melanie Friedrichs, Kamran Gupta, William Hayes, Seung Jung Lee, W. Blake Marsh, Nathan Mislang, Maya Shaton and Martin Sicilian
- RWP 18-8: The Cyclical Behavior of Labor Force Participation

- Didem Tuzemen and Willem Van Zandweghe
- RWP 18-7: Effects of State Taxation on Investment: Evidence from the Oil Industry

- Jason Brown, Peter Maniloff and Dale Manning
- RWP 18-6: Reaching the Hard to Reach with Intermediaries: The Kansas City Fed’s LMI Survey

- Kelly Edmiston
- RWP 18-5: Uncertainty Shocks in a Model of Effective Demand: Reply

- Susanto Basu and Brent Bundick
- RWP 18-4: The Effect of the Conservation Reserve Program on Rural Economies: Deriving a Statistical Verdict from a Null Finding

- Jason Brown, Dayton Lambert and Timothy Wojan
- RWP 18-3: Job Polarization and the Natural Rate of Unemployment in the United States

- Didem Tuzemen
- RWP 18-2: Sovereign Default and Monetary Policy Tradeoffs

- Huixin Bi, Eric Leeper and Campbell Leith
- RWP 18-1: Does Communicating a Numerical Inflation Target Anchor Inflation Expectations? Evidence & Bond Market Implications

- Brent Bundick and Andrew Smith
- RWP 17-16: How Centralized is U.S. Metropolitan Employment?

- Jason Brown, Maeve Maloney, Jordan Rappaport and Aaron Smalter Hall
- RWP 17-15: The Persistence of Financial Distress

- Kartik B. Athreya, Jose Mustre-del-Rio and Juan Sanchez
- RWP 17-14: Faster Payments: Market Structure and Policy Considerations

- Fumiko Hayashi, Aaron Rosenbaum, Kylie Stewart, Mark D. Manuszak, Garth Baughman and Joanna Stavins
- RWP 17-13: Ignorance, Uncertainty, and Strategic Consumption-Portfolio Decisions

- Yulei Luo, Jun Nie and Haijun Wang
- RWP 17-12: The Labor Market Effects of Offshoring by U.S. Multinational Firms: Evidence from Changes in Global Tax Policies

- Brian K. Kovak, Lindsay Oldenski and Nicholas Sly
- RWP 17-11: Macroeconomic Indicator Forecasting with Deep Neural Networks

- Thomas Cook and Aaron Smalter Hall
- RWP 17-10: The U.S. Shale Oil Boom, the Oil Export Ban, and the Economy: A General Equilibrium Analysis Nida

- Nida Cakir Melek, Michael Plante and Mine Yucel
- RWP 17-9: Financial Vulnerability and Personal Finance Outcomes of Natural Disasters

- Kelly Edmiston
- RWP 17-8: Trend and Uncertainty in the Long-Term Real Interest Rate: Bayesian Exponential Tilting with Survey Data

- Taeyoung Doh
- RWP 17-7: Forward Guidance, Monetary Policy Uncertainty, and the Term Premium

- Brent Bundick, Trenton Herriford and Andrew Smith
- RWP 17-6: Competition and Bank Fragility

- Blake Marsh and Rajdeep Sengupta
- RWP 17-5: Response of Consumer Debt to Income Shocks: The Case of Energy Booms and Busts

- Jason Brown
- RWP 17-4: Communicating Monetary Policy Rules

- Troy Davig and Andrew Foerster
- RWP 17-3: Assessing Differences in Labor Market Outcomes Across Race, Age, and Educational Attainment

- Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Research Department
- RWP 17-2: Student Loan Relief Programs: Implications for Borrowers and the Federal Government

- Wenhua Di and Kelly Edmiston
- RWP 17-1: Monetary Policy and Macroeconomic Stability Revisited

- Yasuo Hirose, Takushi Kurozumi and Willem Van Zandweghe
- RWP 16-13: Sectoral Loan Concentration and Bank Performance (2001-2014)

- Kristen Regehr and Rajdeep Sengupta
- RWP 16-12: Asset Ownership, Windfalls, and Income: Evidence from Oil and Gas Royalties

- Jason Brown, Timothy Fitzgerald and Jeremy Weber
- RWP 16-11: The Equilibrium Term Structure of Equity and Interest Rates

- Taeyoung Doh and Shu Wu
- RWP 16-10: The Multinational Wage Premium and Wage Dynamics

- Nicholas Sly, Gianluca Orefice and Farid Toubal
- RWP 16-9: Price Dispersion and Inflation Persistence

- Takushi Kurozumi and Willem Van Zandweghe
- RWP 16-8: Do bank bailouts reduce or increase systemic risk? the effects of TARP on financial system stability

- Raluca Roman, Allen N. Berger and John Sedunov
- RWP 16-7: Optimal monetary policy regime switches

- Andrew Foerster and Jason Choi
- RWP 16-6: Recession forecasting using Bayesian classification

- Troy Davig and Aaron Smalter Hall
- RWP 16-5: Raising capital when the going gets tough: U.S. bank equity issuance from 2001 to 2014

- Rajdeep Sengupta, Lamont K. Black and Ioannis Floros
- RWP 16-4: Debt-dependent effects of fiscal expansions

- Huixin Bi, Wenyi Shen and Shu-Chun Yang
- RWP 16-3: Productivity, congested commuting, and metro size

- Jordan Rappaport
- RWP 16-2: The dynamic effects of forward guidance shocks

- Brent Bundick and Andrew Smith
- RWP 16-1: Chargebacks: another payment card acceptance cost for merchants

- Fumiko Hayashi, Zach Markiewicz and Richard Sullivan
- RWP 15-17: Monetary policy, trend inflation, and the Great Moderation: an alternative interpretation: comment based on system estimation

- Yasuo Hirose, Takushi Kurozumi and Willem Van Zandweghe
- RWP 15-16: Elastic attention, risk sharing, and international comovements

- Jun Nie, Yulei Luo and Wei Li
- RWP 15-15: Driver of choice? the cost of financial products for unbanked consumers

- Fumiko Hayashi, Josh Hanson and Jesse Leigh Maniff
- RWP 15-14: Robust permanent income in general equilibrium

- Yulei Luo, Jun Nie and Eric Young
- RWP 15-13: Did saving Wall Street really save Main Street: the real effects of TARP on local economic conditions

- Allen N. Berger and Raluca Roman
- RWP 15-12: Cash flow and risk premium dynamics in an equilibrium asset-pricing model with recursive preferences

- Taeyoung Doh and Shu Wu
- RWP 15-11: Did bank borrowers benefit from the TARP program: the effects of TARP on loan contract terms

- Allen N. Berger, Tanakorn Makaew and Raluca Roman
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