Research Working Paper

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RWP 02-11: The cost of labor adjustment: inferences from the gap

Russell Cooper and Jonathan Willis

RWP 02-10: Reconciling Bagehot with the Fed's response to Sept. 11

Antoine Martin

RWP 02-09: Why does the cyclical behavior of real wages change over time?

Kevin Huang, Zheng Liu and Louis Phaneuf

RWP 02-08: Implementing Arrow-Debreu equilibria by trading infinitely-lived securities

Kevin Huang and Jan Werner

RWP 02-07: Term premia: endogenous constraints on monetary policy

Sharon Kozicki and Peter Tinsley

RWP 02-06: Measuring R & D spillovers: on the importance of geographic and technological proximity

Michael Orlando

RWP 02-05: Forecast-based model selection in the presence of structural breaks

Todd Clark and Michael McCracken

RWP 02-04: Coyote crossings: the role of smugglers in illegal immigration and border enforcement

Mark Guzman, Joseph Haslag and Pia Orrenius

RWP 02-03: Endogenous multiple currencies

Antoine Martin

RWP 02-02: Optimal pricing of intra-day liquidity

Antoine Martin

RWP 02-01: Market timing strategies that worked

Pu Shen

RWP 01-15: Magazine prices revisited

Jonathan Willis

RWP 01-14: Evaluating long-horizon forecasts

Todd Clark and Michael McCracken

RWP 01-13: The birth and growth of the social-insurance state: explaining old-age and medical insurance across countries

David Cutler and Richard L. Johnson

RWP 01-12: Implications of real-time data for forecasting and modeling expectations

Sharon Kozicki

RWP 01-11: The U.S. as a coastal nation

Jordan Rappaport and Jeffrey D. Sachs

RWP 01-10: A bottleneck capital model of development

Jordan Rappaport

RWP 01-09: The conduct of monetary policy with a shrinking stock of government debt

Stacey Schreft and Bruce Smith

RWP 01-08: Effects of old-age insurance on female retirement: evidence from cross-country time-series data

Richard L. Johnson

RWP 01-07: When should labor contracts be nominal?

Antoine Martin and Cyril Monnet

RWP 01-06: The economics of labor adjustment: mind the gap

Russell Cooper and Jonathan Willis

RWP 01-05: Liquidity provision vs. deposit insurance: preventing bank panics without moral hazard?

Antoine Martin

RWP 01-04: Should monetary policy respond to asset price bubbles?: some experimental results

Andrew Filardo

RWP 01-03: Dynamic specifications in optimizing trend-deviation macro models

Sharon Kozicki and Peter Tinsley

RWP 01-02: What do you expect?: imperfect policy credibility and tests of the expectations hypothesis?

Sharon Kozicki and Peter Tinsley

RWP 01-01: Fiscal reaction rules in numerical macro models

Richard L. Johnson

RWP 00-11: How does openness to capital flows affect growth?

Jordan Rappaport

RWP 00-10: Is the speed of convergence constant?

Jordan Rappaport

RWP 00-09: The effect of old-age insurance on male retirement: evidence from historical cross-country data

Richard L. Johnson

RWP 00-08: Government budgetary policies, economic growth, and currency substitution in a small open economy

Jill A. Holman

RWP 00-07: Estimation of adjustment costs in a model of state-dependent pricing

Jonathan Willis

RWP 00-06: Risk sharing and industrial specialization; regional and international evidence

Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan, Bent Sorensen and Oved Yosha

RWP 00-05: Can out-of-sample forecast comparisons help prevent overfitting?

Todd Clark

RWP 00-04: Consumption and aggregate constraints: evidence from U.S. states and Canadian provinces

Charlotte Ostergaard, Bent Sorensen and Oved Yosha

RWP 00-03: Market makers' supply and pricing of financial market liquidity

Pu Shen and Ross M. Starr

RWP 00-02: On the importance of geographic and technological proximity for R&D spillovers: an empirical investigation

Michael Orlando

RWP 00-01: Private money, settlement, and discount: a comment

Stacey Schreft

RWP 99-13: Why are population flows so persistent?

Jordan Rappaport

99-12: How does labor mobility affect income convergence?

Jordan Rappaport

99-11: Tests of equal forecast accuracy and encompassing for nested models

Todd Clark and Michael McCracken

99-10: Forecast-based monetary policy

Jeffery D. Amato and Thomas Laubach

RWP 99-09: Monetary policy in an estimated optimization-based model with sticky prices and wages

Jeffery D. Amato and Thomas Laubach

99-08: Implications of rounding and rebasing for empirical analysis using consumer price inflation

Barak Hoffman and Sharon Kozicki

RWP 99-07: Borders and business cycles

Todd Clark and Eric van Wincoop

99-06: Industrial specialization and the asymmetry of shocks across regions

Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan, Bent Sorensen and Oved Yosha

99-05: Output fluctuations and fiscal policy: U.S. state and local governments 1978-1994

Bent Sorensen, Lisa Wu and Oved Yosha

99-04: International transmission of anticipated inflation under alternative exchange-rate regimes

Jill A. Holman and Felix Rioja

99-03: Do the spreads between the E/P ratio and interest rates contain information on future equity market movements?

Douglas Rolph and Pu Shen

99-02: The evolution of cash transactions: some implications for monetary policy

Stacey Schreft and Bruce Smith

99-01: Financial fragility with rational and irrational exuberance

Roger Lagunoff and Stacey Schreft