Research Working Paper

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RWP 01-06: The economics of labor adjustment: mind the gap

Russell Cooper and Jonathan Willis

RWP 01-05: Liquidity provision vs. deposit insurance: preventing bank panics without moral hazard?

Antoine Martin

RWP 01-04: Should monetary policy respond to asset price bubbles?: some experimental results

Andrew Filardo

RWP 01-03: Dynamic specifications in optimizing trend-deviation macro models

Sharon Kozicki and Peter Tinsley

RWP 01-02: What do you expect?: imperfect policy credibility and tests of the expectations hypothesis?

Sharon Kozicki and Peter Tinsley

RWP 01-01: Fiscal reaction rules in numerical macro models

Richard L. Johnson

RWP 00-11: How does openness to capital flows affect growth?

Jordan Rappaport

RWP 00-10: Is the speed of convergence constant?

Jordan Rappaport

RWP 00-09: The effect of old-age insurance on male retirement: evidence from historical cross-country data

Richard L. Johnson

RWP 00-08: Government budgetary policies, economic growth, and currency substitution in a small open economy

Jill A. Holman

RWP 00-07: Estimation of adjustment costs in a model of state-dependent pricing

Jonathan Willis

RWP 00-06: Risk sharing and industrial specialization; regional and international evidence

Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan, Bent Sorensen and Oved Yosha

RWP 00-05: Can out-of-sample forecast comparisons help prevent overfitting?

Todd Clark

RWP 00-04: Consumption and aggregate constraints: evidence from U.S. states and Canadian provinces

Charlotte Ostergaard, Bent Sorensen and Oved Yosha

RWP 00-03: Market makers' supply and pricing of financial market liquidity

Pu Shen and Ross M. Starr

RWP 00-02: On the importance of geographic and technological proximity for R&D spillovers: an empirical investigation

Michael Orlando

RWP 00-01: Private money, settlement, and discount: a comment

Stacey Schreft

RWP 99-13: Why are population flows so persistent?

Jordan Rappaport

99-12: How does labor mobility affect income convergence?

Jordan Rappaport

99-11: Tests of equal forecast accuracy and encompassing for nested models

Todd Clark and Michael McCracken

99-10: Forecast-based monetary policy

Jeffery D. Amato and Thomas Laubach

RWP 99-09: Monetary policy in an estimated optimization-based model with sticky prices and wages

Jeffery D. Amato and Thomas Laubach

99-08: Implications of rounding and rebasing for empirical analysis using consumer price inflation

Barak Hoffman and Sharon Kozicki

RWP 99-07: Borders and business cycles

Todd Clark and Eric van Wincoop

99-06: Industrial specialization and the asymmetry of shocks across regions

Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan, Bent Sorensen and Oved Yosha

99-05: Output fluctuations and fiscal policy: U.S. state and local governments 1978-1994

Bent Sorensen, Lisa Wu and Oved Yosha

99-04: International transmission of anticipated inflation under alternative exchange-rate regimes

Jill A. Holman and Felix Rioja

99-03: Do the spreads between the E/P ratio and interest rates contain information on future equity market movements?

Douglas Rolph and Pu Shen

99-02: The evolution of cash transactions: some implications for monetary policy

Stacey Schreft and Bruce Smith

99-01: Financial fragility with rational and irrational exuberance

Roger Lagunoff and Stacey Schreft

98-09: Choosing information variables for transition probabilities in a time-varying transition probability Markov switching model

Andrew Filardo

98-08: Credit spreads and interest rates: a cointegration approach

Charles Morris, Robert Neal and Douglas Rolph

98-07: Term structure views of monetary policy

Sharon Kozicki and Peter Tinsley

98-06: Market reaction to monetary policy nonannouncements

V. Vance Roley and Gordon H. Sellon

98-05: The real-time (in)significance of M2

Jeffery D. Amato

98-04: The sources of fluctuations within and across countries

Todd Clark and Kwanho Shin

98-03: Vector rational error correction

Sharon Kozicki and Peter Tinsley

98-02: Predicting inflation with the term structure spread

Sharon Kozicki

98-01: A model of financial fragility

Roger Lagunoff and Stacey Schreft

97-14: An investigation into the magnitude of foreign conflicts

Gregory Hess and Athanasios Orphanides

97-13: Measuring the NAIRU: evidence from seven economies

Thomas Laubach

97-12: Inflation and relative price variability: durables vs. nondurables and services

David G. Bishop and John E. Golob

97-11: Using near-VARs to examine phase-dependent monetary and fiscal policy

Andrew Filardo

97-10: Inverse productivity: land quality, labor markets, and risk

Russell L. Lamb

97-09: Do producer prices help predict consumer prices?

Todd Clark

97-08: Shifting endpoints in the term structure of interest rates

Sharon Kozicki and Peter Tinsley

97-07: Risk sharing by households within and across regions and industries

Gregory Hess and Kwanho Shin

97-06: Breathing room for beta

Sharon Kozicki and Pu Shen

97-05: The effect of monetary policy actions on exchange rates under interest-rate targeting

Catherine Bonser-Neal, V. Vance Roley and Gordon H. Sellon

97-04: Monetary actions, intervention, and exchange rates: a re-examination of the empirical relationships using federal funds rate target data

Catherine Bonser-Neal, V. Vance Roley and Gordon H. Sellon