Research Working Paper

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RWP 06-02: Combining forecasts from nested models

Todd Clark and Michael McCracken

RWP 06-01: Net exports, consumption volatility, and international real business cycle models

Andrea Raffo

RWP 05-13: Generalizing the Taylor principle

Troy Davig and Eric Leeper

RWP 05-12: Monetary and fiscal policy switching

Hess Chung, Troy Davig and Eric Leeper

RWP 05-11: Convenient prices, currency, and nominal rigidity: theory with evidence from newspaper prices

Edward Knotek

RWP 05-10: The impact of wildlife recreation on farmland values

Jason Henderson and Sean Moore

RWP 05-09: A park by any other name: national park designation as a natural experiment in signaling

Stephan Weiler

RWP 05-08: Discretionary monetary policy and the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates

Klaus Adam and Roberto Billi

RWP 05-07: Optimal monetary policy under commitment with a zero bound on nominal interest rates

Klaus Adam and Roberto Billi

RWP 05-06: Term structure transmission of monetary policy

Sharon Kozicki and Peter Tinsley

RWP 05-05: Approximately normal tests for equal predictive accuracy in nested models

Todd Clark and Kenneth West

RWP 05-04: Perhaps the FOMC did what it said it did: an alternative interpretation of the Great Inflation

Sharon Kozicki and Peter Tinsley

RWP 05-03: Minding the gap: central bank estimates of the unemployment natural rate

Sharon Kozicki and Peter Tinsley

RWP 05-02: Do we really know how inflation targeters set interest rates?

Marcela Meirelles Aurelio

RWP 05-01: The performance of monetary and fiscal rules in an open economy with imperfect capital mobility

Marcela Meirelles Aurelio

RWP 04-12: A simple model of city crowdedness

Jordan Rappaport

RWP 04-11: Barriers to network-specific innovation

Antoine Martin and Michael Orlando

RWP 04-10: Improving forecast accuracy by combining recursive and rolling forecasts

Todd Clark and Michael McCracken

RWP 04-09: Identification and normalization in Markov switching models of \"business cycles\"

Penelope Smith and Peter Summers

RWP 04-08: Estimating equilibrium real interest rates in real time

Todd Clark and Sharon Kozicki

RWP 04-07: Aggregate consumption-wealth ratio and the cross-section of stock returns: some international evidence

Paul Gao and Kevin Huang

RWP 04-06: Specific factors meet intermediate inputs: implications for strategic complementarities and persistence

Kevin Huang

RWP 04-05: Multiple stages of processing and the quantity anomaly in international business cycle models

Kevin Huang and Zheng Liu

RWP 04-04: Production interdependence and welfare

Kevin Huang and Zheng Liu

RWP 04-03: Using out-of-sample mean squared prediction errors to test the Martingale difference hypothesis

Todd Clark and Kenneth West

RWP 04-02: Financial intermediaries, markets, and growth

Falko Fecht, Kevin Huang and Antoine Martin

RWP 04-01: Heterogeneity, redistribution, and the Friedman rule

Joydeep Bhattacharya, Joseph Haslag and Antoine Martin

RWP 03-13: Is auditor independence endogenous: evidence and implications for public policy

Dino Falaschetti and Michael Orlando

RWP 03-12: Dynamics of labor demand: evidence from plant-level observations and aggregate implications

Russell Cooper, John Haltiwanger and Jonathan Willis

RWP 03-11: Disaggregate evidence on the persistence of consumer price inflation

Todd Clark

RWP 03-10: Inflation to target: what inflation to target?

Kevin Huang and Zheng Liu

RWP 03-09: Permanent and transitory policy shocks in an empirical macro model with asymmetric information

Sharon Kozicki and Peter Tinsley

RWP 03-08: Portfolio choice in tax-deferred and Roth-type savings accounts

Richard L. Johnson

RWP 03-07: Moving to nice weather

Jordan Rappaport

RWP 03-06: The predictive content of the output gap for inflation: resolving in-sample and out-of-sample evidence

Todd Clark and Michael McCracken

RWP 03-05: The economics of labor adjustment: mind the gap

Russell Cooper and Jonathan Willis

RWP 03-04: Currency competition: a partial vindication of Hayek

Antoine Martin and Stacey Schreft

RWP 03-03: Optimality of the Friedman rule in overlapping generations model with spatial separation

Joseph Haslag and Antoine Martin

RWP 03-02: The social value of risk-free government debt

Stacey Schreft and Bruce Smith

RWP 03-01: An examination of rating agencies' actions around the investment-grade boundary

Richard L. Johnson

RWP 02-12: Alternative sources of the lag dynamics of inflation

Sharon Kozicki and Peter Tinsley

RWP 02-11: The cost of labor adjustment: inferences from the gap

Russell Cooper and Jonathan Willis

RWP 02-10: Reconciling Bagehot with the Fed's response to Sept. 11

Antoine Martin

RWP 02-09: Why does the cyclical behavior of real wages change over time?

Kevin Huang, Zheng Liu and Louis Phaneuf

RWP 02-08: Implementing Arrow-Debreu equilibria by trading infinitely-lived securities

Kevin Huang and Jan Werner

RWP 02-07: Term premia: endogenous constraints on monetary policy

Sharon Kozicki and Peter Tinsley

RWP 02-06: Measuring R & D spillovers: on the importance of geographic and technological proximity

Michael Orlando

RWP 02-05: Forecast-based model selection in the presence of structural breaks

Todd Clark and Michael McCracken

RWP 02-04: Coyote crossings: the role of smugglers in illegal immigration and border enforcement

Mark Guzman, Joseph Haslag and Pia Orrenius

RWP 02-03: Endogenous multiple currencies

Antoine Martin