Uncertainty and sentiment-driven equilibria

Jess Benhabib, Pengfei Wang and Yi Wen

No 2013-011, Working Papers from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Abstract: We construct a model to capture the Keynesian idea that production and employment decisions are based on expectations of aggregate demand driven by sentiments and that realized demand follows from the production and employment decisions of firms. We cast the Keynesian idea into a simple model with imperfect information about aggregate demand and we characterize the rational expectations equilibria of this model. We find that the equilibrium is not unique despite the absence of any non-convexities or strategic complementarity in the model. In addition to multiple fundamental equilibria, there can be serially correlated stochastic equilibria driven by self-fulfilling consumer sentiments. Furthermore, these sentiment-driven equilibria are not based on randomizations of the fundamental equilibria.

Keywords: Uncertainty; Equilibrium (Economics) (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mic
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (9)

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Related works:
Chapter: Uncertainty and Sentiment-Driven Equilibria (2017)
Working Paper: Uncertainty and Sentiment-Driven Equilibria (2013)
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DOI: 10.20955/wp.2013.011

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