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Working Papers

From Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
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2024-003: Where Did the Workers Go? The Effect of COVID Immigration Restrictions on Post-Pandemic Labor Market Tightness Downloads
Maggie Isaacson, Cassandra Marks, Lowell Ricketts and Hannah Rubinton
2024-002: Structural Change and the Rise in Markups Downloads
Ricardo Marto
2024-001: Heterogeneous Responses to Job Mobility Shocks in a HANK Model with a Frictional Labor Market Downloads
Serdar Birinci, Fatih Karahan, Yusuf Mercan and Kurt See
2023-031: Cross-border Patenting, Globalization, and Development Downloads
Jesse LaBelle, Inmaculada Martínez-Zarzoso, Ana Maria Santacreu and Yoto Yotov
2023-030: Risk Management in Monetary Policymaking: The 1994-95 Fed Tightening Episode Downloads
Kevin Kliesen
2023-029: Bootstrapping out-of-sample predictability tests with real-time data Downloads
Silvia Goncalves, Michael McCracken and Yongxu Yao
2023-028: What about Japan? Downloads
YiLi Chien, Harold Cole and Hanno Lustig
2023-027: A journal ranking based on central bank citations Downloads
Raphael Auer, Giulio Cornelli and Christian Zimmermann
2023-026: On the Transition to Modern Growth Downloads
B Ravikumar and Guillaume Vandenbroucke
2023-025: Preventive vs. Curative Medicine: A Macroeconomic Analysis of Health Care over the Life Cycle Downloads
Serdar Ozkan
2023-024: Real Wage Growth at the Micro Level Downloads
Victoria Gregory and Elisabeth Harding
2023-023: Marriage Market Sorting in the U.S Downloads
Anton Cheremukhin, Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria and Antonella Tutino
2023-022: Uncovering the Differences among Displaced Workers: Evidence from Canadian Job Separation Records Downloads
Serdar Birinci, Youngmin Park, Thomas Pugh and Kurt See
2023-021: Impulse Response Functions for Self-Exciting Nonlinear Models Downloads
Neville Francis, Michael Owyang and Daniel Soques
2023-020: Growth-at-Risk is Investment-at-Risk Downloads
Aaron Amburgey and Michael McCracken
2023-019: Trade Liberalization versus Protectionism: Dynamic Welfare Asymmetries Downloads
B Ravikumar, Ana Maria Santacreu and Michael Sposi
2023-018: How Much Should We Trust Regional-Exposure Designs? Downloads
Jeremy Majerovitz and Karthik Sastry
2023-017: Decomposing the Government Transfer Multiplier Downloads
Timothy Conley, Bill Dupor, Rong Li and Yijiang Zhou
2023-016: Systemic Tail Risk: High-Frequency Measurement, Evidence and Implications Downloads
Deniz Erdemlioglu, Christopher Neely and Xiye Yang
2023-015: Artificial Intelligence and Inflation Forecasts Downloads
Miguel Faria-e-Castro and Fernando Leibovici
2023-014: Immigration from a terror-prone nation: destination nation’s optimal immigration and counterterrorism policies Downloads
Subhayu Bandyopadhyay, Khusrav Gaibulloev and Todd Sandler
2023-013: Mind Your Language: Market Responses to Central Bank Speeches Downloads
Maximilian Ahrens, Deniz Erdemlioglu, Michael McMahon, Christopher Neely and Xiye Yang
2023-012: Time Averaging Meets Labor Supplies of Heckman, Lochner, and Taber Downloads
Sebastian Graves, Victoria Gregory, Lars Ljungqvist and Thomas J. Sargent
2023-011: Firm Exit and Liquidity: Evidence from the Great Recession Downloads
Fernando Leibovici and David Wiczer
2023-010: Pandemic labor force participation and net worth fluctuations Downloads
Miguel Faria-e-Castro and Samuel Jordan-Wood
2023-009: Optimal Dynamic Tax-Transfer Policies in Heterogeneous-Agents Economies Downloads
YiLi Chien and Yi Wen
2023-008: Theodore Roosevelt, the Election of 1912, and the Founding of the Federal Reserve Downloads
Matthew Jaremski and David Wheelock
2023-007: On the Economic Mechanics of Warfare Downloads
Guillaume Vandenbroucke
2023-006: From Population Growth to TFP Growth Downloads
Hiroshi Inokuma and Juan Sanchez
2023-005: Heterogeneous Agents Dynamic Spatial General Equilibrium Downloads
Maximiliano Dvorkin
2023-004: Why Are the Wealthiest So Wealthy? A Longitudinal Empirical Investigation Downloads
Elin Halvorsen, Joachim Hubmer, Serdar Ozkan and Sergio Salgado Ibáñez
2023-003: Subjective Earnings Risk Downloads
Andrew Caplin, Victoria Gregory, Eungik Lee, Søren Leth-Petersen and Johan Sæverud
2023-002: Navigating the Waves of Global Shipping: Drivers and Aggregate Implications Downloads
Jason Dunn and Fernando Leibovici
2023-001: Welfare-enhancing inflation and liquidity premia Downloads
David Andolfatto and Fernando Martin
2022-039: On Terms of Trade, Offshoring Ties, and the Enforcement of Trade Agreements Downloads
Subhayu Bandyopadhyay, Arnab Basu, Nancy Chau and Devashish Mitra
2022-038: Financial Intermediation and Aggregate Demand: A Sufficient Statistics Approach Downloads
Yu-Ting Chiang and Piotr Żoch
2022-037: The Evolution of Regional Beveridge Curves Downloads
Michael Owyang, Hannah Shell and Daniel Soques
2022-036: The Impact of Racial Segregation on College Attainment in Spatial Equilibrium Downloads
Victoria Gregory, Julian Kozlowski and Hannah Rubinton
2022-035: Technology and the Task Content of Jobs across the Development Spectrum Downloads
Julieta Caunedo, Elisa Keller and Yongseok Shin
2022-034: TFP, Capital Deepening, and Gains from trade Downloads
B Ravikumar, Ana Maria Santacreu and Michael Sposi
2022-033: A Quantitative Theory of Relationship Lending Downloads
Kyle Dempsey and Miguel Faria-e-Castro
2022-032: Financial market reactions to the Russian invasion of Ukraine Downloads
Christopher Neely
2022-031: An Elementary Model of VC Financing and Growth Downloads
Jeremy Greenwood, Pengfei Han, Hiroshi Inokuma and Juan Sanchez
2022-030: The Economic Impact of COVID-19 around the World Downloads
Fernando Martin, Juan Sanchez and Olivia Wilkinson
2022-029: EBITDA Add-backs in Debt Contracting: A Step Too Far? Downloads
Miguel Faria-e-Castro, Radhakrishnan Gopalan, Avantika Pal, Juan Sanchez and Vijay Yerramilli
2022-028: COVID-19: fiscal implications and financial stability in developing countries Downloads
Praew Grittayaphong and Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria
2022-027: Labor Force Exiters around Recessions: Who Are They? Downloads
Victoria Gregory
2022-026: Causes and Consequences of Student-College Mismatch Downloads
Lutz Hendricks, Tatyana Koreshkova and Oksana Leukhina
2022-025: The Evolution of Lifetime Hours and the Gender Wage Gap Downloads
Oksana Leukhina and Guillaume Vandenbroucke
2022-024: Dissecting Idiosyncratic Earnings Risk Downloads
Elin Halvorsen, Hans Holter, Serdar Ozkan and Kjetil Storesletten
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