Working Papers

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2020-017: Seigniorage and Sovereign Default: The Response of Emerging Markets to COVID-19: Emilio Espino, Julian Kozlowski, Fernando Martin and Juan Sanchez
2020-016: A New Daily Federal Funds Rate Series and History of the Federal Funds Market, 1928-1954: Sriya Anbil, Mark Carlson, Christopher Hanes and David Wheelock
2020-015: Counterterrorism Policy: Spillovers, Regime Stability, and Corner Solutions: Subhayu Bandyopadhyay and Todd Sandler
2020-014: A Local-Spillover Decomposition of the Causal Effect of U.S. Defense Spending Shocks: Timothy Conley, Bill Dupor, Mahdi Ebsim, Jingchao Li and Peter McCrory
2020-013: Endogenous Social Distancing in an Epidemic: Guillaume Vandenbroucke
2020-012: Shadow Bank Runs: David Andolfatto and Ed Nosal
2020-011: Measuring Sectoral Supply and Demand Shocks during COVID-19: Pedro Brinca, Joao Duarte and Miguel Faria-e-Castro
2020-010: International Trade of Essential Goods During a Pandemic: Fernando Leibovici and Ana Maria Santacreu
2020-009: Scarring Body and Mind: The Long-Term Belief-Scarring Effects of COVID-19: Julian Kozlowski, Laura Veldkamp and Venky Venkateswaran
2020-008: Maturity Structure and Liquidity Risk: David Andolfatto
2020-007: Are Government Bonds Net Wealth or a Liability? ---Optimal Debt and Taxes in an OLG Model with Uninsurable Income Risk: YiLi Chien, Yi Wen and HsinJung Wu
2020-006: Fiscal Policy during a Pandemic: Miguel Faria-e-Castro
2020-005: FRED-QD: A Quarterly Database for Macroeconomic Research: Michael McCracken and Serena Ng
2020-004: The 2008 U.S. Auto Market Collapse: Bill Dupor, Rong Li, M. Saif Mehkari and Yi-Chan Tsai
2020-003: A Comparison of Fed "Tightening" Episodes since the 1980s: Kevin Kliesen
2020-002: Optimal Fiscal Policies under Market Failures: YiLi Chien and Yi Wen
2020-001: The Closing of a Major Airport: Immediate and Longer-Term Housing Market Effects: Jeffrey Cohen, Cletus Coughlin, Jonas C. Crews and Stephen Ross
2019-038: The Determination of Public Debt under both Aggregate and Idiosyncratic Uncertainty: YiLi Chien and Yi Wen
2019-037: Predicting Benchmarked US State Employment Data in Real Time: Scott Brave, Charles Gascon, William Kluender and Thomas Walstrum
2019-36: Policy Interventions in Sovereign Debt Restructurings: Maximiliano Dvorkin, Juan Sanchez, Horacio Sapriza and Emircan Yurdagul
2019-35: A Theory of Economic Unions: A Comment: Alexander Monge-Naranjo
2019-034: Tax Progressivity, Economic Booms, and Trickle-Up Economics: Laura E. Jackson, Christopher Otrok and Michael Owyang
2019-33: Crises in the Housing Market: Causes, Consequences, and Policy Lessons: Carlos Garriga and Aaron Hedlund
2019-32: MoNK: Mortgages in a New-Keynesian Model: Carlos Garriga, Finn Kydland and Roman Sustek
2019-031: International technology Diffusion: A Gravity Approach: Ana Maria Santacreu
2019-30: Bretton Woods and the Reconstruction of Europe: Lee Ohanian, Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria, Diana Van Patten and Mark Wright
2019-29: Binary Conditional Forecasts: Michael McCracken, Joseph McGillicuddy and Michael Owyang
2019-28: House Price Growth Interdependencies and Comovement: Jeffrey Cohen, Cletus Coughlin and Daniel Soques
2019-27: Negative Externalities and Real Asset Prices: Closing of Stapleton Airport and Effect on Nearby Housing Markets: Jeffrey Cohen, Cletus Coughlin, Jonas C. Crews and Stephen Ross
2019-026: How to Starve the Beast: Fiscal Policy Rules: Fernando Martin
2019-25: Consumption in the Great Recession: The Financial Distress Channel: Kartik Athreya, Ryan Mather, Jose Mustre-del-Rio and Juan Sanchez
2019-024: Macroeconomic Implications of Uniform Pricing: Diego Daruich and Julian Kozlowski
2019-23: What Does Financial Crisis Tell Us About Exporter Behavior and Credit Reallocation?: Yang Jiao and Yi Wen
2019-022: How Should Unemployment Insurance Vary over the Business Cycle?: Serdar Birinci and Kurt See
2019-19: What is the Value of Being a Superhost?: Aleksander Berentsen, Mariana Rojas-Breu and Christopher Waller
2019-018: Diverging Tests of Equal Predictive Ability: Michael McCracken
2019-17: Terror Externalities and Trade: An Empirical Analysis: Subhayu Bandyopadhyay, Chris Doucouliagos and Cong Pham
2019-16: Comparative Advantage and Moonlighting: Stéphane Auray, David Fuller and Guillaume Vandenbroucke
2019-015: The Nonlinear Effects of Fiscal Policy: Pedro Brinca, Miguel Faria-e-Castro, Miguel Ferreira and Hans Holter
2019-14: Contagious Switching: Michael Owyang, Jeremy Piger and Daniel Soques
2019-13: Occupation Mobility, Human Capital and the Aggregate Consequences of Task-Biased Innovations: Maximiliano Dvorkin and Alexander Monge-Naranjo
2019-012: New Estimates of the Lerner Index of Market Power for U.S. Banks: David Wheelock and Paul Wilson
2019-11: Tests of Conditional Predictive Ability: Some Simulation Evidence: Michael McCracken
2019-10: Business Cycles Across Space and Time: Neville Francis, Michael Owyang and Daniel Soques
2019-9: Optimal Monetary Policy for the Masses: James Bullard and Riccardo DiCecio
2019-008: A Quantitative Analysis of Countercyclical Capital Buffers: Miguel Faria-e-Castro
2019-007: Don’t Tax Capital — Optimal Ramsey Taxation in Heterogeneous Agent Economies with Quasi-Linear Preferences: YiLi Chien and Yi Wen
2019-6: The Tail that Wags the Economy: Beliefs and Persistent Stagnation: Julian Kozlowski, Laura Veldkamp and Venky Venkateswaran
2019-5: Time-Geographically Weighted Regressions and Residential Property Value Assessment: Jeffrey Cohen, Cletus Coughlin and Jeffrey Zabel
2019-4: Traffic Noise in Georgia: Sound Levels and Inequality: Jeffrey Cohen, Cletus Coughlin and Jonas C. Crews

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