Working Papers

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2023-023: Marriage Market Sorting in the U.S

Anton Cheremukhin, Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria and Antonella Tutino

2023-022: The Heterogeneous Impacts of Job Displacement: Evidence from Canadian Job Separation Records

Serdar Birinci, Youngmin Park and Kurt See

2023-021: Impulse Response Functions for Self-Exciting Nonlinear Models

Neville Francis, Michael Owyang and Daniel Soques

2023-020: Growth-at-Risk is Investment-at-Risk

Aaron Amburgey and Michael McCracken

2023-019: Trade Liberalization versus Protectionism: Dynamic Welfare Asymmetries

B Ravikumar, Ana Maria Santacreu and Michael Sposi

2023-018: How Much Should We Trust Regional-Exposure Designs?

Jeremy Majerovitz and Karthik Sastry

2023-017: Decomposing the Government Transfer Multiplier

Timothy Conley, Bill Dupor, Rong Li and Yijiang Zhou

2023-016: Systemic Tail Risk: High-Frequency Measurement, Evidence and Implications

Deniz Erdemlioglu, Christopher Neely and Xiye Yang

2023-015: Artificial Intelligence and Inflation Forecasts

Miguel Faria-e-Castro and Fernando Leibovici

2023-014: Immigration from a terror-prone nation: destination nation’s optimal immigration and counterterrorism policies

Subhayu Bandyopadhyay, Khusrav Gaibulloev and Todd Sandler

2023-013: Mind Your Language: Market Responses to Central Bank Speeches

Maximilian Ahrens, Deniz Erdemlioglu, Michael McMahon, Christopher Neely and Xiye Yang

2023-012: Time Averaging Meets Labor Supplies of Heckman, Lochner, and Taber

Sebastian Graves, Victoria Gregory, Lars Ljungqvist and Thomas Sargent

2023-011: Firm Exit and Liquidity: Evidence from the Great Recession

Fernando Leibovici and David Wiczer

2023-010: Pandemic labor force participation and net worth fluctuations

Miguel Faria-e-Castro and Samuel Jordan-Wood

2023-009: Optimal Dynamic Tax-Transfer Policies in Heterogeneous-Agents Economies

YiLi Chien and Yi Wen

2023-008: Theodore Roosevelt, the Election of 1912, and the Founding of the Federal Reserve

Matthew Jaremski and David Wheelock

2023-007: On the Economic Mechanics of Warfare

Guillaume Vandenbroucke

2023-006: From Population Growth to TFP Growth

Hiroshi Inokuma and Juan Sanchez

2023-005: Heterogeneous Agents Dynamic Spatial General Equilibrium

Maximiliano Dvorkin

2023-004: Why Are the Wealthiest So Wealthy? A Longitudinal Empirical Investigation

Elin Halvorsen, Joachim Hubmer, Serdar Ozkan and Sergio Salgado Ibáñez

2023-003: Subjective Earnings Risk

Andrew Caplin, Victoria Gregory, Eungik Lee, Søren Leth-Petersen and Johan Sæverud

2023-002: Navigating the Waves of Global Shipping: Drivers and Aggregate Implications

Jason Dunn and Fernando Leibovici

2023-001: Welfare-enhancing inflation and liquidity premia

David Andolfatto and Fernando Martin

2022-039: On Terms of Trade, Offshoring Ties, and the Enforcement of Trade Agreements

Subhayu Bandyopadhyay, Arnab Basu, Nancy Chau and Devashish Mitra

2022-038: Financial Intermediation and Aggregate Demand: A Sufficient Statistics Approach

Yu-Ting Chiang and Piotr Żoch

2022-037: The Evolution of Regional Beveridge Curves

Michael Owyang, Hannah Shell and Daniel Soques

2022-036: The Impact of Racial Segregation on College Attainment in Spatial Equilibrium

Victoria Gregory, Julian Kozlowski and Hannah Rubinton

2022-035: Technology and the Task Content of Jobs across the Development Spectrum

Julieta Caunedo, Elisa Keller and Yongseok Shin

2022-034: TFP, Capital Deepening, and Gains from trade

B Ravikumar, Ana Maria Santacreu and Michael Sposi

2022-033: A Quantitative Analysis of Bank Lending Relationships

Kyle Dempsey and Miguel Faria-e-Castro

2022-032: Financial market reactions to the Russian invasion of Ukraine

Christopher Neely

2022-031: An Elementary Model of VC Financing and Growth

Jeremy Greenwood, Pengfei Han, Hiroshi Inokuma and Juan Sanchez

2022-030: The Economic Impact of COVID-19 around the World

Fernando Martin, Juan Sanchez and Olivia Wilkinson

2022-029: EBITDA Add-backs in Debt Contracting: A Step Too Far?

Miguel Faria-e-Castro, Radhakrishnan Gopalan, Avantika Pal, Juan Sanchez and Vijay Yerramilli

2022-028: COVID-19: fiscal implications and financial stability in developing countries

Praew Grittayaphong and Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria

2022-027: Labor Force Exiters around Recessions: Who Are They?

Victoria Gregory

2022-026: Causes and Consequences of Student-College Mismatch

Lutz Hendricks, Tatyana Koreshkova and Oksana Leukhina

2022-025: Lifetime Work Hours and the Evolution of the Gender Wage Gap

Oksana Leukhina and Guillaume Vandenbroucke

2022-024: Dissecting Idiosyncratic Earnings Risk

Elin Halvorsen, Hans Holter, Serdar Ozkan and Kjetil Storesletten

2022-023: Voluntary participation in a terror group and counterterrorism policy

Subhayu Bandyopadhyay and Todd Sandler

2022-022: Liquidity and Investment in General Equilibrium

Nicolas Caramp, Julian Kozlowski and Keisuke Teeple

2022-021: The Dual Beveridge Curve

Anton Cheremukhin and Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria

2022-020: Interbank Networks and the Interregional Transmission of Financial Crises: Evidence from the Panic of 1907

Matthew Jaremski and David Wheelock

2022-019: Demand-Supply imbalance during the COVID-19 pandemic: The role of fiscal policy

François de Soyres, Ana Maria Santacreu and Henry L. Young

2022-018: Policy Rules and Large Crises in Emerging Markets

Emilio Espino, Julian Kozlowski, Fernando Martin and Juan Sanchez

2022-017: Shipping Prices and Import Price Inflation

Maggie Isaacson and Hannah Rubinton

2022-016: Labor Market Shocks and Monetary Policy

Serdar Birinci, Fatih Karahan, Yusuf Mercan and Kurt See

2022-015: Age and Gender Differentials in Unemployment and Hysteresis

Amy Guisinger, Laura Jackson Young and Michael Owyang

2022-014: The Sine Aggregatio Approach to Applied Macro

Timothy Conley, Bill Dupor and Mahdi Ebsim

2022-013: Private Information and Optimal Infant Industry Protection

B Ravikumar, Raymond Riezman and Yuzhe Zhang