Systematic Cojumps, Market Component Portfolios and Scheduled Macroeconomic Announcements

Robert G. Bowman, Kam Fong Chan and Christopher Neely

No 2017-11, Working Papers from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Abstract: This study provides evidence of common bivariate jumps (i.e., systematic cojumps) between the market index and style-sorted portfolios. Systematic cojumps are prevalent in book-to-market portfolios and hence, their risk cannot easily be diversified away by investing in growth or value stocks. Nonetheless, large-cap firms have less exposure to systematic cojumps than small-cap firms. Probit regression reveals that systematic cojump occurrences are significantly associated with worse-than-expected scheduled macroeconomic announcements, especially those pertaining to the Federal Funds target rate. Tobit regression shows that Federal Funds news surprises are also significantly related to the magnitude of systematic cojumps.

Keywords: Systematic cojumps; Scheduled macroeconomic announcements; Market component portfolios; federal funds rates (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C1 E44 G11 G12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 49 pages
Date: 2017-04-26
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mac
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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Journal Article: Systematic cojumps, market component portfolios and scheduled macroeconomic announcements (2017)
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DOI: 10.20955/wp.2017.011

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