Working Papers

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1987-001: Relative price risk in the open economy-the case of fixed exchange rates

Manfred J. M. Neumann and Juergen von Hagen

1986-011: Will a weaker dollar mean a stronger economy?

John Tatom

1986-010: Unanticipated money and the anticipated liquidity effect: some further evidence

Daniel Thornton

1986-009: Policy inference using VAR models: the effects of alternative lag structures

Rik Hafer and Richard Sheehan

1986-008: Exchange rate movements and external imbalance

Dallas S. Batten

1986-007: The effects of federal credit programs on farm output

Michael Belongia and R. Gilbert

1986-006: The changing empirical definition of money: some estimates from a model of the demand for money substitutes

Michael Belongia and James Chalfant

1986-005: Commercial bank lending to agriculture: a comparison of rural independent banks and holding company subsidiaries

Michael Belongia and R. Gilbert

1986-004: A model of global aggregate supply and demand using vector autoregressive techniques

Ehsan Ahmed, J. Barkley Rosser and Richard Sheehan

1986-003: Federal government debt and inflation: evidence from Granger causality tests

Rik Hafer and Scott Hein

1986-002: A note on the temporal stability of the interest rate-weekly money relationship

Michael Belongia, Rik Hafer and Richard Sheehan

1986-001: Stock prices, inflation and real activity: a test of the Fama hypothesis, 1920-84

Rik Hafer and Clemens Kool

1985-015: Further evidence on stock price response to changes in weekly money and the discount rate

Rik Hafer

1985-014: Risk aversion, risk sharing, and joint bidding: a study of outer continental shelf petroleum auctions

Steven W. Millsaps and Mack Ott

1985-013: Is there a stable relationship between debt growth and the money stock?

Richard Sheehan

1985-012: Forecasting economic activity: comparing the accuracy of survey and time series predictions

Rik Hafer

1985-011: A vector autoregressive model of Saudi Arabian inflation

J. Barkley Rosser and Richard Sheehan

1985-010: Weighted monetary aggregates as intermediate targets

Dallas S. Batten and Daniel Thornton

1985-009: Investigating weekly survey forecasts of the federal funds rate

Rik Hafer

1985-008: Interest-bearing checkable deposits: are they \"money\"?

Michael Belongia and James Chalfant

1985-007: On the importance of being expected: insights to the weekly money puzzle

Michael Belongia and Richard Sheehan

1985-006: Inflation uncertainty and a test of the Friedman hypothesis

Rik Hafer

1985-005: Monetary shocks and the farm/nonfarm price ratio: empirical tests of competing hypotheses

Michael Belongia

1985-004: The efficient markets hypothesis and weekly money: some contrary evidence

Michael Belongia and Richard Sheehan

1985-003: A look at the ASA-NBER inflation forecasts: tests of rationality and formation

Rik Hafer

1985-002: Selecting an intermediate target for monetary policy

Dallas S. Batten and Michael T. Bolongia

1985-001: Comparing Multi-State Kalman Filter and ARIMA forecasts: an application to the money multiplier

Rik Hafer, Scott Hein and Clemens Kool

1984-029: Wage indexation and the effect of inflation uncertainty on employment: an empirical analysis

A. Steven Holland

1984-028: Monetary indicators of economic activity: a comment

Dallas S. Batten and Michael Belongia

1984-027: The effectiveness of combining forecasts: evidence using macroeconomic variables

Gail H. Hafer and Rik Hafer

1984-026: Derivation of the set of exact hedges for the financial portfolio

Michael Belongia and G. J. Santoni

1984-025: The impact of international factors on U. S. inflation: an empirical test of the currency substitution hypothesis

Dallas S. Batten and Rik Hafer

1984-024: Currency substitution and the link between money and GNP in the U.S.: 1972-83

Dallas S. Batten and Rik Hafer

1984-023: The independence of farm output and macro variables: some evidence from the business cycle

Michael Belongia and Rik Hafer

1984-022: On the accuracy of time series, interest rate and survey forecasts of inflation

Rik Hafer and Scott Hein

1984-021: Relative price variability: evidence from supply and demand events

Lawrence Davidson and Rik Hafer

1984-020: Money and sectoral output dynamics in the United States, quarterly 1950/III to 1982/IV

K. Alec Chrystal

1984-019: Tests of price sluggishness in the U.K

K. Alec Chrystal and Daniel Thornton

1984-018: Money and disaggregate supply in the United States, 1950-1982

K. Alec Chrystal

1984-017: What do Almon's endpoint constraints constrain?

Dallas S. Batten and Daniel Thornton

1984-016: Interest rate variability and output: further evidence

John Tatom

1984-015: A review of the performance of a reduced-form macroeconomic model

John Tatom

1984-014: Are energy prices cyclical?

Mack Ott and John Tatom

1984-013: The role of energy in the productivity slowdown: a comment

John Tatom

1984-012: Agricultural and financial market interdependence: another view

Michael Belongia

1984-011: Money and activity in the U.K. 1961-1983: surprise? surprise!

K. Alec Chrystal and David Peel

1984-010: How natural is the natural rate?

Monojit Chatterji and K. Alec Chrystal

1984-009: Risk aversion and weekly money: does the market expect the Fed to offset large increases in M1?

Michael Belongia and Fredric Kolb

1984-008: Estimates of the link between variable money growth and GNP: a supplement to Mascaro and Meltzer

Michael Belongia

1984-007: Price expectations and the demand for money: a comment

Rik Hafer and Daniel Thornton