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Working Papers

From Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
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1986-002: A note on the temporal stability of the interest rate-weekly money relationship Downloads
Michael Belongia, Rik Hafer and Richard Sheehan
1986-001: Stock prices, inflation and real activity: a test of the Fama hypothesis, 1920-84 Downloads
Rik Hafer and Clemens Kool
1985-015: Further evidence on stock price response to changes in weekly money and the discount rate Downloads
Rik Hafer
1985-014: Risk aversion, risk sharing, and joint bidding: a study of outer continental shelf petroleum auctions Downloads
Steven W. Millsaps and Mack Ott
1985-013: Is there a stable relationship between debt growth and the money stock? Downloads
Richard Sheehan
1985-012: Forecasting economic activity: comparing the accuracy of survey and time series predictions Downloads
Rik Hafer
1985-011: A vector autoregressive model of Saudi Arabian inflation Downloads
J. Barkley Rosser and Richard Sheehan
1985-010: Weighted monetary aggregates as intermediate targets Downloads
Dallas S. Batten and Daniel Thornton
1985-009: Investigating weekly survey forecasts of the federal funds rate Downloads
Rik Hafer
1985-008: Interest-bearing checkable deposits: are they \"money\"? Downloads
Michael Belongia and James Chalfant
1985-007: On the importance of being expected: insights to the weekly money puzzle Downloads
Michael Belongia and Richard Sheehan
1985-006: Inflation uncertainty and a test of the Friedman hypothesis Downloads
Rik Hafer
1985-005: Monetary shocks and the farm/nonfarm price ratio: empirical tests of competing hypotheses Downloads
Michael Belongia
1985-004: The efficient markets hypothesis and weekly money: some contrary evidence Downloads
Michael Belongia and Richard Sheehan
1985-003: A look at the ASA-NBER inflation forecasts: tests of rationality and formation Downloads
Rik Hafer
1985-002: Selecting an intermediate target for monetary policy Downloads
Dallas S. Batten and Michael T. Bolongia
1985-001: Comparing Multi-State Kalman Filter and ARIMA forecasts: an application to the money multiplier Downloads
Rik Hafer, Scott Hein and Clemens Kool
1984-029: Wage indexation and the effect of inflation uncertainty on employment: an empirical analysis Downloads
A. Steven Holland
1984-028: Monetary indicators of economic activity: a comment Downloads
Dallas S. Batten and Michael Belongia
1984-027: The effectiveness of combining forecasts: evidence using macroeconomic variables Downloads
Gail H. Hafer and Rik Hafer
1984-026: Derivation of the set of exact hedges for the financial portfolio Downloads
Michael Belongia and G. J. Santoni
1984-025: The impact of international factors on U. S. inflation: an empirical test of the currency substitution hypothesis Downloads
Dallas S. Batten and Rik Hafer
1984-024: Currency substitution and the link between money and GNP in the U.S.: 1972-83 Downloads
Dallas S. Batten and Rik Hafer
1984-023: The independence of farm output and macro variables: some evidence from the business cycle Downloads
Michael Belongia and Rik Hafer
1984-022: On the accuracy of time series, interest rate and survey forecasts of inflation Downloads
Rik Hafer and Scott Hein
1984-021: Relative price variability: evidence from supply and demand events Downloads
Lawrence Davidson and Rik Hafer
1984-020: Money and sectoral output dynamics in the United States, quarterly 1950/III to 1982/IV Downloads
K. Alec Chrystal
1984-019: Tests of price sluggishness in the U.K Downloads
K. Alec Chrystal and Daniel Thornton
1984-018: Money and disaggregate supply in the United States, 1950-1982 Downloads
K. Alec Chrystal
1984-017: What do Almon's endpoint constraints constrain? Downloads
Dallas S. Batten and Daniel Thornton
1984-016: Interest rate variability and output: further evidence Downloads
John Tatom
1984-015: A review of the performance of a reduced-form macroeconomic model Downloads
John Tatom
1984-014: Are energy prices cyclical? Downloads
Mack Ott and John Tatom
1984-013: The role of energy in the productivity slowdown: a comment Downloads
John Tatom
1984-012: Agricultural and financial market interdependence: another view Downloads
Michael Belongia
1984-011: Money and activity in the U.K. 1961-1983: surprise? surprise! Downloads
K. Alec Chrystal and David Peel
1984-010: How natural is the natural rate? Downloads
Monojit Chatterji and K. Alec Chrystal
1984-009: Risk aversion and weekly money: does the market expect the Fed to offset large increases in M1? Downloads
Michael Belongia and Fredric Kolb
1984-008: Estimates of the link between variable money growth and GNP: a supplement to Mascaro and Meltzer Downloads
Michael Belongia
1984-007: Price expectations and the demand for money: a comment Downloads
Rik Hafer and Daniel Thornton
1984-006: The money supply announcements puzzle: a comment Downloads
Michael Belongia and Fredric Kolb
1984-005: Choosing between M1 and debt as an intermediate target for monetary policy Downloads
Rik Hafer
1984-004: Some international evidence of output stability under floating exchange rates Downloads
Dallas S. Batten and Mack Ott
1984-003: On the treatment of the weighted initial observation in the AR(1) regression model Downloads
Daniel Thornton
1984-002: A note on the relative efficiency of the Cochrane-Orcutt and OLS estimators when the autocorrelation process has a finite past Downloads
Daniel Thornton
1984-001: Lag length selection and Granger causality Downloads
Dallas S. Batten and Daniel Thornton
1983-019: Alternative explanations of the 1982-1983 decline in velocity Downloads
John Tatom
1983-018: Beaches, beaver, buffalo and banks Downloads
G. J. Santoni
1983-017: Government direct loan and loan guarantee programs Downloads
Joel Fried
1983-016: Discount rate changes and the foreign exchange market Downloads
Dallas S. Batten and Daniel Thornton
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