Working Papers

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97224: A journal ranking based on central bank citations

Raphael Auer, Giulio Cornelli and Christian Zimmermann

96849: On the Transition to Sustained Growth: The Importance of Recent Agricultural Employment

B Ravikumar and Guillaume Vandenbroucke

96848: Income Differences and Health Disparities: Roles of Preventive vs. Curative Medicine

Serdar Ozkan

96831: Real Wage Growth at the Micro Level

Victoria Gregory and Elisabeth Harding

96828: Marriage Market Sorting in the U.S

Anton Cheremukhin, Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria and Antonella Tutino

96776: The Heterogeneous Impacts of Job Displacement: Evidence from Canadian Job Separation Records

Serdar Birinci, Youngmin Park and Kurt See

96679: Impulse Response Functions for Self-Exciting Nonlinear Models

Neville Francis, Michael Owyang and Daniel Soques

96594: Growth-at-Risk is Investment-at-Risk

Aaron Amburgey and Michael McCracken

96591: Trade Liberalization versus Protectionism: Dynamic Welfare Asymmetries

B Ravikumar, Ana Maria Santacreu and Michael Sposi

96540: How Much Should We Trust Regional-Exposure Designs?

Jeremy Majerovitz and Karthik Sastry

96497: Decomposing the Government Transfer Multiplier

Timothy Conley, Bill Dupor, Rong Li and Yijiang Zhou

96490: Testing for Multi-Asset Systemic Tail Risk

Deniz Erdemlioglu, Christopher Neely and Xiye Yang

96478: Artificial Intelligence and Inflation Forecasts

Miguel Faria-e-Castro and Fernando Leibovici

96348: Immigration from a terror-prone nation: destination nation’s optimal immigration and counterterrorism policies

Subhayu Bandyopadhyay, Khusrav Gaibulloev and Todd Sandler

96270: Mind Your Language: Market Responses to Central Bank Speeches

Maximilian Ahrens, Deniz Erdemlioglu, Michael McMahon, Christopher Neely and Xiye Yang

96238: Time Averaging Meets Labor Supplies of Heckman, Lochner, and Taber

Sebastian Graves, Victoria Gregory, Lars Ljungqvist and Thomas Sargent

96160: Firm Exit and Liquidity: Evidence from the Great Recession

Fernando Leibovici and David Wiczer

96079: Pandemic labor force participation and net worth fluctuations

Miguel Faria-e-Castro and Samuel Jordan-Wood

96078: Optimal Dynamic Tax-Transfer Policies in Heterogeneous-Agents Economies

YiLi Chien and Yi Wen

96067: Theodore Roosevelt, the Election of 1912, and the Founding of the Federal Reserve

Matthew Jaremski and David Wheelock

95960: On the Economic Mechanics of Warfare

Guillaume Vandenbroucke

95866: From Population Growth to TFP Growth

Hiroshi Inokuma and Juan Sanchez

95863: Heterogeneous Agents Dynamic Spatial General Equilibrium

Maximiliano Dvorkin

95842: Why Are the Wealthiest So Wealthy? A Longitudinal Empirical Investigation

Elin Halvorsen, Joachim Hubmer, Serdar Ozkan and Sergio Salgado Ibáñez

95736: Subjective Earnings Risk

Andrew Caplin, Victoria Gregory, Eungik Lee, Søren Leth-Petersen and Johan Sæverud

95708: Navigating the Waves of Global Shipping: Drivers and Aggregate Implications

Jason Dunn and Fernando Leibovici

95578: Welfare-enhancing inflation and liquidity premia

David Andolfatto and Fernando Martin

95250: On Terms of Trade, Offshoring Ties, and the Enforcement of Trade Agreements

Subhayu Bandyopadhyay, Arnab Basu, Nancy Chau and Devashish Mitra

95204: Financial Intermediation and Aggregate Demand: A Sufficient Statistics Approach

Yu-Ting Chiang and Piotr Żoch

95203: The Evolution of Regional Beveridge Curves

Michael Owyang, Hannah Shell and Daniel Soques

94907: The Impact of Racial Segregation on College Attainment in Spatial Equilibrium

Victoria Gregory, Julian Kozlowski and Hannah Rubinton

94856: Technology and the Task Content of Jobs across the Development Spectrum

Julieta Caunedo, Elisa Keller and Yongseok Shin

94854: TFP, Capital Deepening, and Gains from trade

B Ravikumar, Ana Maria Santacreu and Michael Sposi

94821: A Quantitative Analysis of Bank Lending Relationships

Kyle Dempsey and Miguel Faria-e-Castro

94820: Financial market reactions to the Russian invasion of Ukraine

Christopher Neely

94817: An Elementary Model of VC Financing and Growth

Jeremy Greenwood, Pengfei Han, Hiroshi Inokuma and Juan Sanchez

94816: The Economic Impact of COVID-19 around the World

Fernando Martin, Juan Sanchez and Olivia Wilkinson

94811: EBITDA Add-backs in Debt Contracting: A Step Too Far?

Miguel Faria-e-Castro, Radhakrishnan Gopalan, Avantika Pal, Juan Sanchez and Vijay Yerramilli

94810: COVID-19: fiscal implications and financial stability in developing countries

Praew Grittayaphong and Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria

94809: Labor Force Exiters around Recessions: Who Are They?

Victoria Gregory

94805: Causes and Consequences of Student-College Mismatch

Lutz Hendricks, Tatyana Koreshkova and Oksana Leukhina

94804: Lifetime Work Hours and the Evolution of the Gender Wage Gap

Oksana Leukhina and Guillaume Vandenbroucke

94799: Dissecting Idiosyncratic Earnings Risk

Elin Halvorsen, Hans Holter, Serdar Ozkan and Kjetil Storesletten

94769: Voluntary participation in a terror group and counterterrorism policy

Subhayu Bandyopadhyay and Todd Sandler

94765: Liquidity and Investment in General Equilibrium

Nicolas Caramp, Julian Kozlowski and Keisuke Teeple

94749: The Dual Beveridge Curve

Anton Cheremukhin and Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria

94716: Interbank Networks and the Interregional Transmission of Financial Crises: Evidence from the Panic of 1907

Matthew Jaremski and David Wheelock

94714: Demand-Supply imbalance during the COVID-19 pandemic: The role of fiscal policy

François de Soyres, Ana Maria Santacreu and Henry L. Young

94688: Policy Rules and Large Crises in Emerging Markets

Emilio Espino, Julian Kozlowski, Fernando Martin and Juan Sanchez

94687: Shipping Prices and Import Price Inflation

Maggie Isaacson and Hannah Rubinton