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Working Papers

From Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
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2020-024: Labor Market Policies During an Epidemic Downloads
Serdar Birinci, Fatih Karahan, Yusuf Mercan and Kurt See
2020-023: Job Applications and Labor Market Flows Downloads
Serdar Birinci, Kurt See and Shu Lin Wee
2020-022: Managing a New Policy Framework: Paul Volcker, the St. Louis Fed, and the 1979-82 War on Inflation Downloads
Kevin Kliesen and David Wheelock
2020-021: Inequality in the Welfare Costs of Disinflation Downloads
Benjamin Pugsley and Hannah Rubinton
2020-020: The Geography of Business Dynamism and Skill-Biased Technical Change Downloads
Hannah Rubinton
2020-019: Hot Money for a Cold Economy Downloads
David Andolfatto
2020-018: On the Essentiality of Credit and Banking at the Friedman Rule Downloads
Paola Boel and Christopher Waller
2020-017: Domestic Policies and Sovereign Default Downloads
Emilio Espino, Julian Kozlowski, Fernando Martin and Juan Sanchez
2020-016: A New Daily Federal Funds Rate Series and History of the Federal Funds Market, 1928-1954 Downloads
Sriya Anbil, Mark Carlson, Christopher Hanes and David Wheelock
2020-015: Counterterrorism Policy: Spillovers, Regime Stability, and Corner Solutions Downloads
Subhayu Bandyopadhyay and Todd Sandler
2020-014: A Local-Spillover Decomposition of the Causal Effect of U.S. Defense Spending Shocks Downloads
Timothy Conley, Bill Dupor, Mahdi Ebsim, Jingchao Li and Peter McCrory
2020-013: The Mechanics of Individually- and Socially-Optimal Decisions during an Epidemic Downloads
Guillaume Vandenbroucke
2020-012: Shadow Bank Runs Downloads
David Andolfatto and Ed Nosal
2020-011: Measuring Labor Supply and Demand Shocks during COVID-19 Downloads
Pedro Brinca, Joao Duarte and Miguel Faria-e-Castro
2020-010: Shortages of Critical Goods in a Global Economy: Optimal Trade and Industrial Policy Downloads
Fernando Leibovici and Ana Maria Santacreu
2020-009: Scarring Body and Mind: The Long-Term Belief-Scarring Effects of COVID-19 Downloads
Julian Kozlowski, Laura Veldkamp and Venky Venkateswaran
2020-008: Maturity Structure and Liquidity Risk Downloads
David Andolfatto
2020-007: Are Government Bonds Net Wealth or a Liability? ---Optimal Debt and Taxes in an OLG Model with Uninsurable Income Risk Downloads
YiLi Chien, Yi Wen and HsinJung Wu
2020-006: Fiscal Policy during a Pandemic Downloads
Miguel Faria-e-Castro
2020-005: FRED-QD: A Quarterly Database for Macroeconomic Research Downloads
Michael McCracken and Serena Ng
2020-004: The 2008 U.S. Auto Market Collapse Downloads
Bill Dupor, Rong Li, M. Saif Mehkari and Yi-Chan Tsai
2020-003: A Comparison of Fed "Tightening" Episodes since the 1980s Downloads
Kevin Kliesen
2020-002: Optimal Fiscal Policy under Capital Overaccumulation Downloads
YiLi Chien and Yi Wen
2020-001: The Closing of a Major Airport: Immediate and Longer-Term Housing Market Effects Downloads
Jeffrey Cohen, Cletus Coughlin, Jonas C. Crews and Stephen Ross
2019-038: The Determination of Public Debt under both Aggregate and Idiosyncratic Uncertainty Downloads
YiLi Chien and Yi Wen
2019-037: Predicting Benchmarked US State Employment Data in Real Time Downloads
Scott Brave, Charles Gascon, William Kluender and Thomas Walstrum
2019-36: Improving Sovereign Debt Restructurings Downloads
Maximiliano Dvorkin, Juan Sanchez, Horacio Sapriza and Emircan Yurdagul
2019-35: A Theory of Economic Unions: A Comment Downloads
Alexander Monge-Naranjo
2019-034: Tax Progressivity, Economic Booms, and Trickle-Up Economics Downloads
Laura E. Jackson, Christopher Otrok and Michael Owyang
2019-33: Crises in the Housing Market: Causes, Consequences, and Policy Lessons Downloads
Carlos Garriga and Aaron Hedlund
2019-32: MoNK: Mortgages in a New-Keynesian Model Downloads
Carlos Garriga, Finn Kydland and Roman Sustek
2019-031: International Technology Licensing, Intellectual Property Rights, and Tax Havens Downloads
Ana Maria Santacreu
2019-30: Bretton Woods and the Reconstruction of Europe Downloads
Lee Ohanian, Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria, Diana Van Patten and Mark Wright
2019-029: Binary Conditional Forecasts Downloads
Michael McCracken, Joseph McGillicuddy and Michael Owyang
2019-028: House Price Growth Interdependencies and Comovement Downloads
Jeffrey Cohen, Cletus Coughlin and Daniel Soques
2019-27: Negative Externalities and Real Asset Prices: Closing of Stapleton Airport and Effect on Nearby Housing Markets Downloads
Jeffrey Cohen, Cletus Coughlin, Jonas C. Crews and Stephen Ross
2019-026: How to Starve the Beast: Fiscal Policy Rules Downloads
Fernando Martin
2019-025: The Effects of Macroeconomic Shocks: Household Financial Distress Matters Downloads
Kartik Athreya, Ryan Mather, Jose Mustre-del-Rio and Juan Sanchez
2019-024: Macroeconomic Implications of Uniform Pricing Downloads
Diego Daruich and Julian Kozlowski
2019-23: What Does Financial Crisis Tell Us About Exporter Behavior and Credit Reallocation? Downloads
Yang Jiao and Yi Wen
2019-022: Labor Market Responses to Unemployment Insurance: The Role of Heterogeneity Downloads
Serdar Birinci and Kurt See
2019-021: What Do Survey Data Tell Us about US Businesses? Downloads
Anmol Bhandari, Serdar Birinci, Ellen McGrattan and Kurt See
2019-020: Spousal Labor Supply Response to Job Displacement and Implications for Optimal Transfers Downloads
Serdar Birinci
2019-19: What is the Value of Being a Superhost? Downloads
Aleksander Berentsen, Mariana Rojas-Breu and Christopher Waller
2019-018: Diverging Tests of Equal Predictive Ability Downloads
Michael McCracken
2019-017: Effects of Neighboring Nation Terrorism on Imports Downloads
Subhayu Bandyopadhyay, Chris Doucouliagos and Cong Pham
2019-016: Comparative Advantage and Moonlighting Downloads
Stéphane Auray, David Fuller and Guillaume Vandenbroucke
2019-015: The Nonlinear Effects of Fiscal Policy Downloads
Pedro Brinca, Miguel Faria-e-Castro, Miguel H. Ferreira and Hans Holter
2019-014: Contagious Switching Downloads
Michael Owyang, Jeremy Piger and Daniel Soques
2019-13: Occupation Mobility, Human Capital and the Aggregate Consequences of Task-Biased Innovations Downloads
Maximiliano Dvorkin and Alexander Monge-Naranjo
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