Working Papers

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2020-050: Tests of Conditional Predictive Ability: Existence, Size, and Power: Michael McCracken
2020-046: Optimal Management of an Epidemic: Lockdown, Vaccine and Value of Life: Carlos Garriga, Rodolfo Manuelli and Siddhartha Sanghi
2020-043: More Stories of Unconventional Monetary Policy: Evan Karson and Christopher Neely
2020-042: The Impact of Bretton Woods International Capital Controls on the Global Economy and the Value of Geopolitical Stability: A General Equilibrium Analysis: Lee Ohanian, Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria, Diana Van Patten and Mark Wright
2020-041: Wage Setting Under Targeted Search: Anton Cheremukhin and Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria
2020-040: Fiscal Dominance: Fernando Martin
2020-039: Technology Adoption, Mortality, and Population Dynamics: John Hejkal, B Ravikumar and Guillaume Vandenbroucke
2020-038: No Credit, No Gain: Trade Liberalization Dynamics, Production Inputs, and Financial Development: David Kohn, Fernando Leibovici and Michal Szkup
2020-037: Time-Inconsistent Optimal Quantity of Debt: YiLi Chien and Yi Wen
2020-036: Firms as Learning Environments: Implications for Earnings Dynamics and Job Search: Victoria Gregory
2020-035: Credit and Liquidity Policies during Large Crises: Mahdi Ebsim, Miguel Faria-e-Castro and Julian Kozlowski
2020-034: Enduring Relationships in an Economy with Capital and Private Information: Aubhik Khan, Latchezar Popov and B Ravikumar
2020-033: Should Capital Be Taxed?: Yunmin Chen, YiLi Chien, Yi Wen and C.C. Yang
2020-032: Eggs in One Basket: Security and Convenience of Digital Currencies: Charles Kahn, Francisco Rivadeneyra and Russell Wong
2020-031: FRED-SD: A Real-Time Database for State-Level Data with Forecasting Applications: Kathryn Bokun, Laura E. Jackson, Kevin Kliesen and Michael Owyang
2020-030: Collaboration in Bipartite Networks, with an Application to Coauthorship Networks: Chih-Sheng Hsieh, Michael König, Xiaodong Liu and Christian Zimmermann
2020-029: The Role of Establishment Size in the City-Size Earnings Premium: Charly Porcher, Hannah Rubinton and Clara Santamaria
2020-028: Forecasting Low Frequency Macroeconomic Events with High Frequency Data: Ana Galvão and Michael Owyang
2020-027: Convergence to Rational Expectations in Learning Models: A Note of Caution: YiLi Chien, Inkoo Cho and B Ravikumar
2020-026: Monetary Policy and Economic Performance since the Financial Crisis: Dario Caldara, Etienne Gagnon, Enrique Martínez García and Christopher Neely
2020-025: Home Production and Leisure During the COVID-19 Recession: Oksana Leukhina and Zhixiu Yu
2020-024: Labor Market Policies During an Epidemic: Serdar Birinci, Fatih Karahan, Yusuf Mercan and Kurt See
2020-023: Job Applications and Labor Market Flows: Serdar Birinci, Kurt See and Shu Lin Wee
2020-022: Managing a New Policy Framework: Paul Volcker, the St. Louis Fed, and the 1979-82 War on Inflation: Kevin Kliesen and David Wheelock
2020-021: Inequality in the Welfare Costs of Disinflation: Benjamin Pugsley and Hannah Rubinton
2020-020: The Geography of Business Dynamism and Skill-Biased Technical Change: Hannah Rubinton
2020-019: Hot Money for a Cold Economy: David Andolfatto
2020-018: On the Essentiality of Credit and Banking at the Friedman Rule: Paola Boel and Christopher Waller
2020-017: Domestic Policies and Sovereign Default: Emilio Espino, Julian Kozlowski, Fernando Martin and Juan Sanchez
2020-016: A New Daily Federal Funds Rate Series and History of the Federal Funds Market, 1928-1954: Sriya Anbil, Mark Carlson, Christopher Hanes and David Wheelock
2020-015: Counterterrorism Policy: Spillovers, Regime Stability, and Corner Solutions: Subhayu Bandyopadhyay and Todd Sandler
2020-014: A Local-Spillover Decomposition of the Causal Effect of U.S. Defense Spending Shocks: Timothy Conley, Bill Dupor, Mahdi Ebsim, Jingchao Li and Peter McCrory
2020-013: The Mechanics of Individually- and Socially-Optimal Decisions during an Epidemic: Guillaume Vandenbroucke
2020-012: Shadow Bank Runs: David Andolfatto and Ed Nosal
2020-011: Measuring Labor Supply and Demand Shocks during COVID-19: Pedro Brinca, Joao Duarte and Miguel Faria-e-Castro
2020-010: Shortages of Critical Goods in a Global Economy: Optimal Trade and Industrial Policy: Fernando Leibovici and Ana Maria Santacreu
2020-009: Scarring Body and Mind: The Long-Term Belief-Scarring Effects of COVID-19: Julian Kozlowski, Laura Veldkamp and Venky Venkateswaran
2020-008: Maturity Structure and Liquidity Risk: David Andolfatto
2020-007: Are Government Bonds Net Wealth or a Liability? ---Optimal Debt and Taxes in an OLG Model with Uninsurable Income Risk: YiLi Chien, Yi Wen and HsinJung Wu
2020-006: Fiscal Policy during a Pandemic: Miguel Faria-e-Castro
2020-005: FRED-QD: A Quarterly Database for Macroeconomic Research: Michael McCracken and Serena Ng
2020-004: The 2008 U.S. Auto Market Collapse: Bill Dupor, Rong Li, M. Saif Mehkari and Yi-Chan Tsai
2020-003: A Comparison of Fed "Tightening" Episodes since the 1980s: Kevin Kliesen
2020-002: Optimal Fiscal Policy under Capital Overaccumulation: YiLi Chien and Yi Wen
2020-001: The Closing of a Major Airport: Immediate and Longer-Term Housing Market Effects: Jeffrey Cohen, Cletus Coughlin, Jonas C. Crews and Stephen Ross
2019-038: The Determination of Public Debt under both Aggregate and Idiosyncratic Uncertainty: YiLi Chien and Yi Wen
2019-037: Predicting Benchmarked US State Employment Data in Real Time: Scott Brave, Charles Gascon, William Kluender and Thomas Walstrum
2019-36: Improving Sovereign Debt Restructurings: Maximiliano Dvorkin, Juan Sanchez, Horacio Sapriza and Emircan Yurdagul
2019-35: A Theory of Economic Unions: A Comment: Alexander Monge-Naranjo
2019-034: Tax Progressivity, Economic Booms, and Trickle-Up Economics: Laura E. Jackson, Christopher Otrok and Michael Owyang

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