Working Papers

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2022-012: Employer Reallocation During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Validation and Application of a Do-It-Yourself CPS

Alexander Bick and Adam Blandin

2022-011: Did Doubling Reserve Requirements Cause the 1937-38 Recession? New Evidence on the Impact of Reserve Requirements on Bank Reserve Demand and Lending

Charles Calomiris, Joseph R. Mason and David Wheelock

2022-010: The Jobs Effect of Ending Pandemic Unemployment Benefits: A State-Level Analysis

Iris Arbogast and Bill Dupor

2022-009: The Ramsey Steady-State Conundrum in Heterogeneous-Agent Economies

YiLi Chien and Yi Wen

2022-008: Work from Home Before and After the COVID-19 Outbreak

Alexander Bick, Adam Blandin and Karel Mertens

2022-007: Politically influenced counterterrorism policy and welfare efficiency

Subhayu Bandyopadhyay and Todd Sandler

2022-006: Structural Change in Labor Supply and Cross-Country Differences in Hours Worked

Alexander Bick, Nicola Fuchs-Schündeln, David Lagakos and Hitoshi Tsujiyama

2022-005: Hours and Wages

Alexander Bick, Adam Blandin and Richard Rogerson

2022-004: Attention and a Paradox of Uncertainty

Yu-Ting Chiang

2022-003: On the Real-Time Predictive Content of Financial Conditions Indices for Growth

Aaron Amburgey and Michael McCracken

2022-002: Anatomy of Lifetime Earnings Inequality: Heterogeneity in Job Ladder Risk vs. Human Capital

Fatih Karahan, Serdar Ozkan and Jae Song

2022-001: Reconsidering the Fed's Inflation Forecasting Advantage

Amy Guisinger, Michael McCracken and Michael Owyang

2021-015: Earnings Dynamics and Its Intergenerational Transmission: Evidence from Norway

Elin Halvorsen, Serdar Ozkan and Sergio Salgado Ibáñez

2021-014: International trade and labor reallocation: misclassification errors, mobility, and switching costs

Maximiliano Dvorkin

2021-013: Paving the Road for Replications: Experimental Results from an Online Research Bibliography

Tom Coupé, W. Reed and Christian Zimmermann

2021-012: Evergreening

Miguel Faria-e-Castro, Pascal Paul and Juan Sanchez

2021-011: The Impact of Juvenile Conviction on Human Capital and Labor Market Outcomes

Limor Golan, Rong Hai and Hayley Wabiszewski

2021-010: Dynamic Gains from Trade Agreements with Intellectual Property Provisions

Ana Maria Santacreu

2021-009: Financial Frictions and International Trade

David Kohn, Fernando Leibovici and Michal Szkup

2021-008: Effects of Defensive and Proactive Measures on Competition Between Terrorist Groups

Subhayu Bandyopadhyay and Todd Sandler

2021-007: What Determines State Heterogeneity in Response to US Tariff Changes?

Ana Maria Santacreu, Michael Sposi and Jing Zhang

2021-006: The Local-Spillover Decomposition of an Aggregate Causal Effect

Timothy Conley, Bill Dupor, Mahdi Ebsim, Jingchao Li and Peter McCrory

2021-005: The Impact of Health and Economic Policies on the Spread of COVID-19 and Economic Activity

Matthew Famiglietti and Fernando Leibovici

2021-004: The Allocation of Immigrant Talent: Macroeconomic Implications for the U.S. and Across Countries

Serdar Birinci, Fernando Leibovici and Kurt See

2021-003: The Alpha Beta Gamma of the Labor Market

Victoria Gregory, Guido Menzio and David Wiczer

2021-002: Are Unconditional Lump-sum Transfers a Good Idea?

Yunmin Chen, YiLi Chien, Yi Wen and C. C. Yang

2021-001: The Poverty of Macroeconomics --- What the Chemical Revolution Tells Us about Neoclassical Production Function

Yi Wen

2020-052: Industrial Connectedness and Business Cycle Comovements

Amy Guisinger, Michael Owyang and Daniel Soques

2020-051: Supply and demand shifts of shorts before Fed announcements during QE1–QE3

Thomas McInish, Christopher Neely and Jade Planchon

2020-050: Tests of Conditional Predictive Ability: Existence, Size, and Power

Michael McCracken

2020-046: Optimal Management of an Epidemic: Lockdown, Vaccine and Value of Life

Carlos Garriga, Rodolfo Manuelli and Siddhartha Sanghi

2020-043: More Stories of Unconventional Monetary Policy

Evan Karson and Christopher Neely

2020-042: The Impact of Bretton Woods International Capital Controls on the Global Economy and the Value of Geopolitical Stability: A General Equilibrium Analysis

Lee Ohanian, Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria, Diana Van Patten and Mark Wright

2020-041: Wage Setting Under Targeted Search

Anton Cheremukhin and Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria

2020-040: Fiscal Dominance

Fernando Martin

2020-039: Technology Adoption, Mortality, and Population Dynamics

John Hejkal, B Ravikumar and Guillaume Vandenbroucke

2020-038: No Credit, No Gain: Trade Liberalization Dynamics, Production Inputs, and Financial Development

David Kohn, Fernando Leibovici and Michal Szkup

2020-037: Time-Inconsistent Optimal Quantity of Debt

YiLi Chien and Yi Wen

2020-036: Firms as Learning Environments: Implications for Earnings Dynamics and Job Search

Victoria Gregory

2020-035: Credit and Liquidity Policies during Large Crises

Mahdi Ebsim, Miguel Faria-e-Castro and Julian Kozlowski

2020-034: Enduring Relationships in an Economy with Capital and Private Information

Aubhik Khan, Latchezar Popov and B Ravikumar

2020-033: Should Capital Be Taxed?

Yunmin Chen, YiLi Chien, Yi Wen and C.C. Yang

2020-032: Eggs in One Basket: Security and Convenience of Digital Currencies

Charles Kahn, Francisco Rivadeneyra and Russell Wong

2020-031: FRED-SD: A Real-Time Database for State-Level Data with Forecasting Applications

Kathryn Bokun, Laura E. Jackson, Kevin Kliesen and Michael Owyang

2020-030: Collaboration in Bipartite Networks, with an Application to Coauthorship Networks

Chih-Sheng Hsieh, Michael König, Xiaodong Liu and Christian Zimmermann

2020-029: The Role of Establishment Size in the City-Size Earnings Premium

Charly Porcher, Hannah Rubinton and Clara Santamaria

2020-028: Forecasting Low Frequency Macroeconomic Events with High Frequency Data

Ana Galvão and Michael Owyang

2020-027: Convergence to Rational Expectations in Learning Models: A Note of Caution

YiLi Chien, Inkoo Cho and B Ravikumar

2020-026: Monetary Policy and Economic Performance since the Financial Crisis

Dario Caldara, Etienne Gagnon, Enrique Martínez García and Christopher Neely

2020-025: Home Production and Leisure During the COVID-19 Recession

Oksana Leukhina and Zhixiu Yu