Working Papers

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2008-013: Why money growth determines inflation in the long run: answering the Woodford critique

Edward Nelson

2008-012: Inflation, monetary policy and stock market conditions: quantitative evidence from a hybrid latent-variable VAR

Michael Bordo, Michael Dueker and David Wheelock

2008-011: Monetary policy: why money matters and interest rates don't

Daniel Thornton

2008-010: Non-linear predictability in stock and bond returns: when and where is it exploitable?

Massimo Guidolin, Stuart Hyde, David McMillan and Sadayuki Ono

2008-009: Oil and the U.S. macroeconomy: an update and a simple forecasting exercise

Kevin Kliesen

2008-008: Input and output inventory dynamics

Yi Wen

2008-007: When does determinacy imply expectational stability?

James Bullard and Stefano Eusepi

2008-006: The dynamic interaction of order flows and the CAD/USD exchange rate

Nikola Gradojevic and Christopher Neely

2008-005: Equity portfolio diversification under time-varying predictability and comovements: evidence from Ireland, the US, and the UK

Massimo Guidolin and Stuart Hyde

2008-004: Income and lottery sales: transfers trump income from work and wealth

Cletus Coughlin and Thomas Garrett

2008-003: Offshoring, economic insecurity, and the demand for social insurance

Richard Anderson and Charles Gascon

2008-002: Convergence in the United States: a tale of migration and urbanization

Riccardo DiCecio and Charles Gascon

2008-001: Multivariate Markov switching with weighted regime determination: giving France more weight than Finland

Michael Dueker and Martin Sola

2007-054: Comment on Harding and Pagan 'The econometric analysis of some constructed binary time series'

Michael Dueker

2007-053: The tax treatment of homeowners and landlords and the progressivity of income taxation

Matthew Chambers, Carlos Garriga and Don Schlagenhauf

2007-052: The microstructure of the U.S. treasury market

Bruce Mizrach and Christopher Neely

2007-051: A general equilibrium theory of college with education subsidies, in-school labor supply, and borrowing constraints

Carlos Garriga and Mark P. Keightley

2007-050: States and the business cycle

Michael Owyang, David E. Rapach and Howard Wall

2007-049: Equilibrium mortgage choice and housing tenure decisions with refinancing

Matthew Chambers, Carlos Garriga and Don Schlagenhauf

2007-048: The impact of Milton Friedman on modern monetary economics: setting the record straight on Paul Krugman’s 'Who Was Milton Friedman?

Edward Nelson and Anna Schwartz

2007-047: Multivariate forecast evaluation and rationality testing

Ivana Komunjer and Michael Owyang

2007-046: Urban crime and labor mobility

Subhayu Bandyopadhyay and Christopher Wheeler

2007-045: Human capital externalities and adult mortality in the U.S

Christopher Wheeler

2007-044: Lending to uncreditworthy borrowers

Rajdeep Sengupta

2007-043: The labor supply of married women: why does it differ across U.S. cities?

Dan Black, Natalia Kolesnikova and Lowell Taylor

2007-042: Inter-temporal differences in the income elasticity of demand for lottery tickets

Cletus Coughlin and Thomas Garrett

2007-041: Optimal response to a transitory demographic shock in Social Security financing

Juan Carlos Conesa and Carlos Garriga

2007-040: Mortgage contracts and housing tenure decisions

Matthew Chambers, Carlos Garriga and Don Schlagenhauf

2007-039: The unusual behavior of the federal funds and 10-year Treasury rates: a conundrum or Goodhart’s Law?

Daniel Thornton

2007-038: Political asymmetry and common external tariff in a customs union

Subhayu Bandyopadhyay, Sajal Lahiri and Suryadipta Roy

2007-037: The optimal inflation target in an economy with limited enforcement

Gaetano Antinolfi, Costas Azariadis and James Bullard

2007-036: Optimal taxation with imperfect competition and aggregate returns to specialization

Javier Coto-Martinez, Carlos Garriga and Fernando Sánchez-Losada

2007-035: Optimal fiscal policy in the design of Social Security reforms

Juan Carlos Conesa and Carlos Garriga

2007-034: Accounting for changes in the homeownership rate

Matthew Chambers, Carlos Garriga and Don Schlagenhauf

2007-033: Incomplete information and self-fulfilling prophecies

Pengfei Wang and Yi Wen

2007-032: Jumps, cojumps and macro announcements

Jerome Lahaye, Sébastien Laurent and Christopher Neely

2007-031: Earnings functions when wages and prices vary by location

Dan Black, Natalia Kolesnikova and Lowell Taylor

2007-030: Managing international portfolios with small capitalization stocks

Massimo Guidolin and Giovanna Nicodano

2007-029: Global indeterminacy in locally determinate RBC models

Tarek Coury and Yi Wen

2007-028: Do donors care about declining trade revenues from liberalization? an analysis of aid allocation

Subhayu Bandyopadhyay and Javed Younas

2007-027: Learning and the Great Moderation

James Bullard and Aarti Singh

2007-026: An overhaul of doctrine: the underpinning of U.K. inflation targeting

Edward Nelson

2007-025: Monetary policy and natural disasters in a DSGE model: how should the Fed have responded to Hurricane Katrina?

Benjamin Keen and Michael Pakko

2007-024: Trade and child labor: a general equilibrium analysis

Subhayu Bandyopadhyay and Sudeshna C. Bandyopadhyay

2007-023: Foreign aid and export performance: a panel data analysis of developing countries

Subhayu Bandyopadhyay, Arabinda Basistha and Jonathan Munemo

2007-022: Corruption and trade protection: evidence from panel data

Subhayu Bandyopadhyay and Suryadipta Roy

2007-021: Nash equilibrium tariffs and illegal immigration: an analysis of preferential trade liberalization

Subhayu Bandyopadhyay and Ryo Takashima

2007-020: Monetary policy and stock market booms and busts in the 20th century

Michael Bordo, Michael Dueker and David Wheelock

2007-019: Multivariate contemporaneous threshold autoregressive models

Michael Dueker, Zacharias Psaradakis, Martin Sola and Fabio Spagnolo

2007-018: Understanding the puzzling effects of technology shocks

Pengfei Wang and Yi Wen