Working Papers

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2019-029: Binary Conditional Forecasts

Michael McCracken, Joseph McGillicuddy and Michael Owyang

2019-028: House Price Growth Interdependencies and Comovement

Jeffrey Cohen, Cletus Coughlin and Daniel Soques

2019-27: Negative Externalities and Real Asset Prices: Closing of Stapleton Airport and Effect on Nearby Housing Markets

Jeffrey Cohen, Cletus Coughlin, Jonas C. Crews and Stephen Ross

2019-026: How to Starve the Beast: Fiscal Policy Rules

Fernando Martin

2019-025: The Effects of Macroeconomic Shocks: Household Financial Distress Matters

Kartik Athreya, Ryan Mather, Jose Mustre-del-Rio and Juan Sanchez

2019-024: Macroeconomic Implications of Uniform Pricing

Diego Daruich and Julian Kozlowski

2019-23: What Does Financial Crisis Tell Us About Exporter Behavior and Credit Reallocation?

Yang Jiao and Yi Wen

2019-022: Labor Market Responses to Unemployment Insurance: The Role of Heterogeneity

Serdar Birinci and Kurt See

2019-021: What Do Survey Data Tell Us about US Businesses?

Anmol Bhandari, Serdar Birinci, Ellen McGrattan and Kurt See

2019-020: Spousal Labor Supply Response to Job Displacement and Implications for Optimal Transfers

Serdar Birinci

2019-19: What is the Value of Being a Superhost?

Aleksander Berentsen, Mariana Rojas-Breu and Christopher Waller

2019-018: Diverging Tests of Equal Predictive Ability

Michael McCracken

2019-017: Effects of Neighboring Nation Terrorism on Imports

Subhayu Bandyopadhyay, Chris Doucouliagos and Cong Pham

2019-016: Comparative Advantage and Moonlighting

Stéphane Auray, David Fuller and Guillaume Vandenbroucke

2019-015: The Nonlinear Effects of Fiscal Policy

Pedro Brinca, Miguel Faria-e-Castro, Miguel H. Ferreira and Hans Holter

2019-014: Contagious Switching

Michael Owyang, Jeremy Piger and Daniel Soques

2019-13: Occupation Mobility, Human Capital and the Aggregate Consequences of Task-Biased Innovations

Maximiliano Dvorkin and Alexander Monge-Naranjo

2019-012: New Estimates of the Lerner Index of Market Power for U.S. Banks

David Wheelock and Paul Wilson

2019-11: Tests of Conditional Predictive Ability: Some Simulation Evidence

Michael McCracken

2019-010: Business Cycles Across Space and Time

Neville Francis, Michael Owyang and Daniel Soques

2019-009: Optimal Monetary Policy for the Masses

James Bullard and Riccardo DiCecio

2019-008: A Quantitative Analysis of Countercyclical Capital Buffers

Miguel Faria-e-Castro

2019-007: Optimal Ramsey Taxation in Heterogeneous Agent Economies with Quasi-Linear Preferences

YiLi Chien and Yi Wen

2019-6: The Tail that Wags the Economy: Beliefs and Persistent Stagnation

Julian Kozlowski, Laura Veldkamp and Venky Venkateswaran

2019-5: Time-Geographically Weighted Regressions and Residential Property Value Assessment

Jeffrey Cohen, Cletus Coughlin and Jeffrey Zabel

2019-4: Traffic Noise in Georgia: Sound Levels and Inequality

Jeffrey Cohen, Cletus Coughlin and Jonas C. Crews

2019-3: Should the central bank issue e-money?

Charles Kahn, Francisco Rivadeneyra and Russell Wong

2019-2: The Founding of the Federal Reserve, the Great Depression and the Evolution of the U.S. Interbank Network

Matthew Jaremski and David Wheelock

2019-001: Interbank Connections, Contagion and Bank Distress in the Great Depression

Charles Calomiris, Matthew Jaremski and David Wheelock

2018-038: International Stock Comovements with Endogenous Clusters

Laura Coroneo, Laura E. Jackson and Michael Owyang

2018-37: The Baby Boomers and the Productivity Slowdown

Guillaume Vandenbroucke

2018-035: The Nonlinear Effects of Uncertainty Shocks

Laura E. Jackson, Kevin Kliesen and Michael Owyang

2018-34: Endogenous Debt Maturity: Liquidity Risk vs. Default Risk

Rodolfo Manuelli and Juan Sanchez

2018-033: News, sovereign debt maturity, and default risk

Maximiliano Dvorkin, Juan Sanchez, Horacio Sapriza and Emircan Yurdagul

2018-32: Natural Resources and Sovereign Risk in Emerging Economies: A Curse and a Blessing

Franz Hamann, Enrique Mendoza and Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria

2018-31: Capital Gains Taxation and Investment Dynamics

Sung Ki Hong and Terry S. Moon

2018-30: The Real Term Premium in a Stationary Economy with Segmented Asset Markets

YiLi Chien and Junsang Lee

2018-29: The Macroeconomic Consequences of Early Childhood Development Policies

Diego Daruich

2018-28: Superstar Economists: Coauthorship networks and research output

Chih-Sheng Hsieh, Michael König, Xiaodong Liu and Christian Zimmermann

2018-27: Reconciling Orthodox and Heterodox Views on Money and Banking

David Andolfatto

2018-026: Assessing the Impact of Central Bank Digital Currency on Private Banks

David Andolfatto

2018-24: Understanding Lowflation

David Andolfatto and Andrew Spewak

2018-023: Fiscal Multipliers and Financial Crises

Miguel Faria-e-Castro

2018-22: Why did Rich Families Increase their Fertility? Inequality and Marketization of Child Care

Michael Bar, Moshe Hazan, Oksana Leukhina, David Weiss and Hosny Zoabi

2018-21: On the Benefits of Currency Reform

R. Vijay Krishna and Oksana Leukhina

2018-020: Insurance and Inequality with Persistent Private Information

Alex Bloedel, R. Vijay Krishna and Oksana Leukhina

2018-19: The 2008 U.S. Auto Market Collapse

Bill Dupor, Rong Li, M. Saif Mehkari and Yi-Chan Tsai

2018-18: Imperfect Information Transmission from Banks to Investors: Macroeconomic Implications

Nicolas Figueroa, Oksana Leukhina and Carlos Ramírez

2018-17: A Search-Based Neoclassical Model of Capital Reallocation

Feng Dong, Pengfei Wang and Yi Wen

2018-16: Bank runs without sequential service

David Andolfatto and Ed Nosal