Working Papers

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2013-004: Are government spending multipliers greater during periods of slack? evidence from 20th century historical data

Michael Owyang, Valerie Ramey and Sarah Zubairy

2013-003: Financial development and long-run volatility trends

Pengfei Wang, Yi Wen and Zhiwei Xu

2013-002: Regionalization vs. globalization

Hideaki Hirata, Ayhan Kose and Christopher Otrok

2013-001: Too big to cheat: Efficiency and Investment in Partnerships

Emilio Espino, Julian Kozlowski and Juan Sanchez

2013-001: Investment and Bilateral Insurance

Emilio Espino, Julian Kozlowski and Juan Sanchez

2012-063: How effective is central bank forward guidance?

Clemens Kool and Daniel Thornton

2012-062: Analysis of numerical errors

Adrian Peralta-Alva and Manuel Santos

2012-061: Possible Unintended Effects of Restrictions on Foreign Lobbying in a Customs Union

Subhayu Bandyopadhyay and Sajal Lahiri

2012-060: Multi-step ahead forecasting of vector time series

Michael McCracken and Tucker McElroy

2012-059: What inventories tell us about aggregate fluctuations -- a tractable approach to (S,s) policies

Pengfei Wang, Yi Wen and Zhiwei Xu

2012-058: Understanding the distributional impact of long-run inflation

Gabriele Camera and YiLi Chien

2012-057: Informal unemployment insurance and labor market dynamics

Kyle Herkenhoff

2012-056: The lender of last resort: lessons from the Fed’s first 100 years

Mark Carlson and David Wheelock

2012-055: Foreign firms and the diffusion of knowledge

Alexander Monge-Naranjo

2012-054: What do we know about the relationship between access to finance and international trade?

Silvio Contessi and Francesca de Nicola

2012-053: International trade, female labor, and entrepreneurship in MENA countries

Silvio Contessi, Francesca de Nicola and Li Li

2012-052: Interjurisdictional competition with adverse selection

Ruben Hernandez-Murillo

2012-051: Richer but more unequal? nutrition and caste gaps

Maria Canon and Florencia Lopez Boo

2012-050: The Federal Reserve’s response to the financial crisis: what it did and what it should have done

Daniel Thornton

2012-049: Asymptotic Inference for Performance Fees and the Predictability of Asset Returns

Michael McCracken and Giorgio Valente

2012-048: Endogenous credit limits with small default costs

Costas Azariadis and Leo Kaas

2012-047: Self-fulfilling credit cycles

Costas Azariadis and Leo Kaas

2012-046: Capital misallocation and aggregate factor productivity

Costas Azariadis and Leo Kaas

2012-045: A two-sector model of endogenous growth with leisure externalities

Costas Azariadis, Been-Lon Chen, Chia-Hui Lu and Yin-Chi Wang

2012-044: The optimal inflation target in an economy with limited enforcement

Gaetano Antinolfi, Costas Azariadis and James Bullard

2012-043: On the substitutability between foreign aid and international credit

Subhayu Bandyopadhyay, Sajal Lahiri and Javed Younas

2012-042: Bankruptcy and delinquency in a model of unsecured debt

Kartik Athreya, Juan Sanchez, Xuan Tam and Eric Young

2012-041: Optimal policy for macro-financial stability

Gianluca Benigno, Huigang Chen, Christopher Otrok, Alessandro Rebucci and Eric Young

2012-040: Why doesn’t technology flow from rich to poor countries?

Harold Cole, Jeremy Greenwood and Juan Sanchez

2012-039: Sentiments and aggregate demand fluctuations

Jess Benhabib, Pengfei Wang and Yi Wen

2012-038: Housing prices and the high Chinese saving rate puzzle

Xin Wang and Yi Wen

2012-037: Liquidity and welfare

Yi Wen

2012-036: Greenspan’s conundrum and the Fed’s ability to affect long-term yields

Daniel Thornton

2012-035: The case against patents

Michele Boldrin and David Levine

2012-034: An approximate dual-self model and paradoxes of choice under risk

Drew Fudenberg, David Levine and Zacharias Maniadis

2012-033: Evolving to the impatience trap: the example of the farmer-sheriff game

David Levine, Salvatore Modica, Federico Weinschelbaum and Felipe Zurita

2012-032: Conflict and the evolution of societies

David Levine and Salvatore Modica

2012-031: Codes of conduct, private information, and repeated games

Juan I. Block and David Levine

2012-030: Comment on \"Taylor rule exchange rate forecasting during the financial crisis\"

Michael McCracken

2012-029: Consistent testing for structural change at the ends of the sample

Michael McCracken

2012-028: International channels of the Fed’s unconventional monetary policy

Michael Bauer and Christopher Neely

2012-027: Loan regulation and child labor in rural India

Basab Dasgupta and Christian Zimmermann

2012-026: The zero lower bound and the dual mandate

William Gavin and Benjamin Keen

2012-025: Capital controls or exchange rate policy? a pecuniary externality perspective

Gianluca Benigno, Huigang Chen, Christopher Otrok, Alessandro Rebucci and Eric Young

2012-024: Unemployment insurance fraud and optimal monitoring

David Fuller, B Ravikumar and Yuzhe Zhang

2012-023: Academic rankings with RePEc

Christian Zimmermann

2012-022: A model of price swings in the housing market

Carlos Garriga, Rodolfo Manuelli and Adrian Peralta-Alva

2012-021: Did housing policies cause the postwar boom in homeownership?

Matthew Chambers, Carlos Garriga and Don Schlagenhauf

2012-020: Monetary policy: why money matters, and interest rates don’t

Daniel Thornton

2012-019: U.S. monetary policy: a view from macro theory

William Gavin and Benjamin Keen