International Trade of Essential Goods During a Pandemic
Fernando Leibovici () and
Ana Maria Santacreu
No 2020-010, Working Papers from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
This paper studies the role of international trade of essential goods during a pandemic. We consider a multi-country, multi-sector model with essential and non-essential goods. Essential goods provide utility relative to a reference consumption level, and a pandemic consists of an increase in this reference level. Each country produces domestic varieties of both types of goods using capital and labor subject to sectoral adjustment costs, and all varieties are traded internationally subject to trade barriers. We study the role of international trade of essential goods in mitigating or amplifying the impact of a pandemic. We find that the effects depend crucially on the countries' trade imbalances in essential goods. Net importers of these goods are relatively worse off during a pandemic than net exporters. The welfare losses of net importers are lower in a world with high trade barriers, while the reverse is the case for net exporters. Yet, once a pandemic arrives, net exporters of essential goods benefit from an increase in trade barriers, while net importers benefit from a decrease in them. These findings are consistent with preliminary evidence on changes in trade barriers across countries during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Keywords: essential goods; international trade; COVID-19; pandemic; trade policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F6 F5 F1 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 40 pages
Date: 2020-05-05, Revised 2020-05
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-int and nep-upt
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