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Rising Household Debt: Increasing Demand or Increasing Supply?

Max Livingston, Wilbert van der Klaauw () and Basit Zafar

No 20140528, Liberty Street Economics from Federal Reserve Bank of New York

Abstract: Total consumer debt continued to increase in the first quarter of this year, marking the first time since the recession that aggregate debt had grown for three consecutive quarters, according to the May 2014 Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit. Is this increase in household debt driven by changes in supply or demand? The January 2014 and April 2014 Senior Loan Officer Opinion Surveys (SLOOS) show an increase in lenders? willingness to make consumer loans over the last several quarters and an increase in the number of lenders reporting looser lending standards, which indicates that credit supply is increasing. To get a better sense of the underlying factors in the evolution of household credit conditions, in February we surveyed 1,110 respondents of the New York Fed?s Survey of Consumer Expectations (SCE) about their ability to obtain credit over the past twelve months and their expectations about future credit access.

Keywords: credit demand; credit expectations; household debt (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D1 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014-05-28
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mac
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