Declining labor turnover and turbulence

Shigeru Fujita

No 11-44, Working Papers from Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia

Abstract: Superseded by Working Paper 15-29 The purpose of this paper is to identify possible sources of the secular decline in the aggregate job separation rate over the last three decades. The author first shows that aging of the labor force alone cannot account for the entire decline. To explore other sources, he uses a simple labor matching model with two types of workers, experienced and inexperienced, where the former type faces a risk of skill obsolescence during unemployment. When the skill depreciation occurs, the worker is required to restart his career and thus suffers a drop in earnings. The author shows that a higher skill depreciation risk results in a lower aggregate separation rate and a smaller earnings loss. The key mechanisms are that the experienced workers accept lower wages in exchange for keeping the job and that the reluctance to separate from the job produces a larger mass of low-quality matches. He also presents empirical evidence consistent with these predictions.

Pages: 44 pages
Date: 2011
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dge, nep-lab and nep-lma
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (17)

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Related works:
Journal Article: Declining labor turnover and turbulence (2018)
Working Paper: Declining Labor Turnover and Turbulence (2018)
Working Paper: Declining labor turnover and turbulence (2015)
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