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Working Papers

From Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
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20-47: What Future for History Dependence in Spatial Economics?
Jeffrey Lin and Ferdinand Rauch
20-46: Lockdowns and Innovation: Evidence from the 1918 Flu Pandemic
Enrico Berkes, Olivier Deschenes, Ruben Gaetani, Jeffrey Lin and Christopher Severen
20-45: Financial Instability with Circulating Debt Claims and Endogenous Debt Limits
Daniel Sanches
20-44: Firm Technology Upgrading Through Emerging Work
Enghin Atalay
WP 20-43: Corporate Bond Liquidity During the COVID-19 Crisis
Mahyar Kargar, Benjamin Lester, David Lindsay, Shuo Liu, Pierre-Olivier Weill and Diego Zuniga
20-42: Missouri’s Medicaid Contraction and Consumer Financial Outcomes Downloads
James Bailey, Nathan Blascak and Vyacheslav Mikhed
20-41: Evidence of Accelerating Mismeasurement of Growth and Inflation in the U.S. in the 21st Century Downloads
Leonard Nakamura
20-40: The Role of Government and Private Institutions in Credit Cycles in the U.S. Mortgage Market Downloads
Manuel Adelino, W. Ben McCartney and Antoinette Schoar
20-39: A Quantitative Theory of the Credit Score Downloads
Satyajit Chatterjee, P. Dean Corbae, Kyle Dempsey and Jose-Victor Rios-Rull
20-38: The Geography of Travel Behavior in the Early Phase of the COVID-19 Pandemic Downloads
Jeffrey Brinkman and Kyle Mangum
20-37: Mortgage Loss Severities: What Keeps Them So High? Downloads
Xudong An and Lawrence R. Cordell
20-36: Post-Merger Product Repositioning: An Empirical Analysis Downloads
Enghin Atalay, Alan Sorensen, Christopher Sullivan and Wanjia Zhu
20-35: High-Dimensional DSGE Models: Pointers on Prior, Estimation, Comparison, and Prediction∗ Downloads
Siddhartha Chib, Minchul Shin and Fei Tan
20-33: Financial Consequences of Identity Theft Downloads
Nathan Blascak, Julia Cheney, Robert Hunt, Vyacheslav Mikhed, Dubravka Ritter and Michael Vogan
20-32: The Credit Card Act and Consumer Debt Structure Downloads
Yiwei Dou, Julapa Jagtiani, Ramain Quinn Maingi and Joshua Ronen
20-31/R: Probability Forecast Combination via Entropy Regularized Wasserstein Distance Downloads
Ryan Cumings-Menon and Minchul Shin
20-30: Bank Stress Test Results and Their Impact on Consumer Credit Markets Downloads
Sumit Agarwal, Xudong An, Lawrence R. Cordell and Raluca Roman
20-29: The Firm Size and Leverage Relationship and Its Implications for Entry and Business Concentration Downloads
Satyajit Chatterjee and Burcu Eyigungor
20-28: VACANCY CHAINS Downloads
Michael Elsby, Ryan Michaels and David Ratner
20-27: Labor Supply Within the Firm Downloads
Michele Battisti, Ryan Michaels and Choonsung Park
20-26: Real-Time Forecasting with a (Standard) Mixed-Frequency VAR During a Pandemic Downloads
Frank Schorfheide and Dongho Song
20-25: Identification Through Sparsity in Factor Models Downloads
Simon Freyaldenhoven
20-24: Rational Inattention via Ignorance Equivalence Downloads
Roc Armenter, Michèle Müller-Itten and Zachary Stangebye
20-23: The Cyclicality of Labor Force Participation Flows: The Role of Labor Supply Elasticities and Wage Rigidity Downloads
Isabel Cairó, Shigeru Fujita and Camilo Morales-Jimenez
20-22: Forecasting Consumption Spending Using Credit Bureau Data Downloads
Dean Croushore and Stephanie Wilshusen
20-21: A Survey of Fintech Research and Policy Discussion Downloads
Franklin Allen and Julapa Jagtiani
20-20: Partisanship and Fiscal Policy in Economic Unions: Evidence from U.S. States Downloads
Gerald Carlino, Thorsten Drautzburg and Robert P. Inman
20-19: Central Bank Digital Currency: Central Banking for All? Downloads
Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Daniel Sanches and Harald Uhlig
20-18: Extended Loan Terms and Auto Loan Default Risk Downloads
Xudong An and Lawrence R. Cordell
20-17: Family Job Search and Wealth: The Added Worker Effect Revisited Downloads
J. Ignacio Garcia-Perez and Silvio Rendon
20-16: Effects of Gentrification on Homeowners: Evidence from a Natural Experiment Downloads
Lei Ding and Jackelyn Hwang
20-15: Important Factors Determining Fintech Loan Default: Evidence from the LendingClub Consumer Platform Downloads
Julapa Jagtiani
20-14: Responding to COVID-19: A Note Downloads
Lukasz Drozd and Marina Tavares
20-13: Piecewise-Linear Approximations and Filtering for DSGE Models with Occasionally Binding Constraints Downloads
S. Boragan Aruoba, Pablo Cuba-Borda and Frank Schorfheide
20-12: Real Estate Taxes and Home Value: Winners and Losers of TCJA Downloads
Wenli Li and Edison Yu
20-11: Bargaining Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations Downloads
Thorsten Drautzburg, Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde and Pablo Guerron-Quintana
20-10: Expanded GDP for Welfare Measurement in the 21st Century Downloads
Charles R. Hulten and Leonard Nakamura
20-09: From Incurred Loss to Current Expected Credit Loss (CECL): A Forensic Analysis of the Allowance for Loan Losses in Unconditionally Cancelable Credit Card Portfolios Downloads
Jose J. Canals-Cerda
20-08: “Don’t Know What You Got Till It’s Gone”—The Community Reinvestment Act in a Changing Financial Landscape Downloads
Lei Ding and Leonard Nakamura
20-07: Supply Shock Versus Demand Shock: The Local Effects of New Housing in Low-Income Areas Downloads
Brian Asquith, Evan Mast and Davin Reed
20-06: Debt Collection Agencies and the Supply of Consumer Credit Downloads
Viktar Fedaseyeu
20-05: Health Insurance as an Income Stabilizer Downloads
Nathan Blascak, Emily Gallagher, Michal Grinstein-Weiss and Stephen Roll
20-04R: Concentration in Mortgage Markets: GSE Exposure and Risk-Taking in Uncertain Times Downloads
Ronel Elul, Deeksha Gupta and David K. Musto
20-03: Self-Fulfilling Debt Crises, Revisited Downloads
Mark Aguiar, Satyajit Chatterjee, Harold Cole and Zachary Stangebye
20-02: Capital Income Taxation with Housing Downloads
Makoto Nakajima
20-01: The Trade-Comovement Puzzle Downloads
Lukasz Drozd, Sergey Kolbin and Jaromir Nosal
19-55: Population Aging, Credit Market Frictions, and Chinese Economic Growth Downloads
Michael Dotsey, Wenli Li and Fang Yang
19-54: Financial Consequences of Health Insurance: Evidence from the ACA’s Dependent Coverage Mandate Downloads
Nathan Blascak and Vyacheslav Mikhed
19-53: Owner-Occupancy Fraud and Mortgage Performance Downloads
Ronel Elul, Aaron Payne and Sebatian Tilson
19-52: Financial Constraints of Entrepreneurs and the Self-Employed Downloads
Vyacheslav Mikhed, Sahil Raina and Barry Scholnick
Page updated 2021-01-16
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