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Nonlinear adventures at the zero lower bound

Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde (), Grey Gordon, Pablo Guerron and Juan F Rubio-Ramirez ()

No 12-10, Working Papers from Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia

Abstract: Motivated by the recent experience of the U.S. and the Eurozone, the authors describe the quantitative properties of a New Keynesian model with a zero lower bound (ZLB) on nominal interest rates, explicitly accounting for the nonlinearities that the bound brings. Besides showing how such a model can be efficiently computed, the authors found that the behavior of the economy is substantially affected by the presence of the ZLB. In particular, the authors document 1) the unconditional and conditional probabilities of hitting the ZLB; 2) the unconditional and conditional probabilty distributions of the duration of a spell at the ZLB; 3) the responses of output to government expenditure shocks at the ZLB, 4) the distribution of shocks that send the economy to the ZLB; and 5) the distribution of shocks that keep the economy at the ZLB.

Keywords: Keynesian economics; Nonlinear theories; Interest rates (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mac
Date: 2012
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Journal Article: Nonlinear adventures at the zero lower bound (2015) Downloads
Working Paper: Nonlinear Adventures at the Zero Lower Bound (2012) Downloads
Working Paper: Nonlinear Adventures at the Zero Lower Bound (2012) Downloads
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