Fiscal policy: ex ante and ex post
Dean Croushore and
Simon van Norden ()
No 14-22, Working Papers from Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Abstract:
The surge in fiscal deficits since 2008 has put a renewed focus on the authors? understanding of fiscal policy. The interaction of fiscal and monetary policy during this period has also been the subject of much discussion and analysis. This paper gives new insight into past fiscal policy and its influence on monetary policy by examining the U.S. Federal Reserve Board staff?s Greenbook forecasts of fiscal policy. The authors create a real-time database of the Greenbook forecasts of fiscal policy, examine the forecast performance in terms of bias and effciency, and explore the implications for the interaction of fiscal policy and monetary policy. The authors also attempt to provide advice for fiscal policy by showing how policymakers learn over time about the trajectory of the U.S. federal government?s fiscal balance as well as the changing roles of structural and cyclical factors.
Keywords: Fiscal policy; Deficits; Forecasting; FOMC; Greenbook (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E62 H68 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 53 pages
Date: 2014-09-22
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mac, nep-pbe and nep-pub
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)
Downloads: (external link)
https://www.philadelphiafed.org/-/media/frbp/asset ... ers/2014/wp14-22.pdf (application/pdf)
Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
HTML/Text
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:fip:fedpwp:14-22
Ordering information: This working paper can be ordered from
Access Statistics for this paper
More papers in Working Papers from Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Beth Paul ().