Are State Economic Conditions a Harbinger of a National Recession?

Kevin Kliesen and Cassandra Marks

On the Economy from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Abstract: An analysis of state-level economic growth suggests that a certain number of contracting state economies could signal the start of a national recession.

Keywords: state economic conditions; recessions (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022-12-28
Note: A follow-up blog post using new data through November is available: https://www.stlouisfed.org/on-the-economy/2023/jan/are-state-economic-conditions-harbinger-recession-update
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:fip:l00001:95501

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